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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 4 of 2026 Finals
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Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Raptors NBA game on April 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
95
121
Apr 7, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Apr 7, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 95 |
Raptors | 32 | 32 | 30 | 27 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 24 | 25 | 19 | 95 |
Raptors | 32 | 32 | 30 | 27 | 121 |
Q4 00:35 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Myron Gardner misses two point running reverse layup
Q4 1:13 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:38 A.J. Lawson misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:48 Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
Q4 1:58 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-120
+1
Gradey Dick makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-121
Heat turnover
Vladislav Goldin offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
95-119
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses two point running reverse layup
Raptors turnover
Heat personal foul
Raptors personal foul
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-119
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-119
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Gradey Dick offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jonathan Mogbo defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
A.J. Lawson misses two point driving layup
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
+3
Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
95-119
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
95-121
Heat violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
95-121
+2
Jamison Battle makes two point pullup jump shot
95-121
Bam Adebayo misses two point running pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Keshad Johnson, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Jonathan Mogbo, Gradey Dick, A.J. Lawson, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Ja'Kobe Walter offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
95-121
Raptors personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-121
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
95-121
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
95-121
Raptors turnover
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
95-121
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-106
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
Heat turnover
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Raptors turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-104
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
83-104
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-102
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
80-102
Heat violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-100
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
78-100
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware)
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Jakob Poeltl blocks Kel'el Ware's two point reverse layup
Raptors offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-100
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl)
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-97
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
76-97
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jakob Poeltl makes regular free throw 1 of 2
76-95
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Sandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
Heat turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
76-94
Heat turnover
+3
Scottie Barnes makes three point jump shot (Ja'Kobe Walter assists)
76-92
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Scottie Barnes misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Ja'Kobe Walter offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-92
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-92
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
76-92
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Brandon Ingram misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
76-92
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-92
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point tip layup
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
76-92
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Andrew Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Jakob Poeltl turnover (offensive goaltending)
Raptors personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-87
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-87
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
68-87
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
68-87
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
68-87
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-73
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
58-73
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
RJ Barrett makes two point jump shot
58-73
Jakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Raptors 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-73
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-73
+2
RJ Barrett makes two point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)
58-73
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-73
+3
Brandon Ingram makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)
56-71
Pelle Larsson turnover
Raptors turnover
Raptors personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-68
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-68
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
54-68
Heat turnover
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
+2
Scottie Barnes makes two point jump shot
54-66
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Scottie Barnes draws the foul)
Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
54-64
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
Raptors turnover
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-64
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-64
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-64
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
47-64
Heat turnover
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
47-61
Heat personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-62
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Collin Murray-Boyles, Scottie Barnes)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-59
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
46-59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-57
Heat personal foul
+1
Sandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-57
Sandro Mamukelashvili misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat defensive rebound
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
44-56
Heat personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes technical free throw 1 of 1
44-54
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-53
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-53
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
40-53
Heat 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
40-51
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
40-49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-46
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
38-45
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 1
38-46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-43
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-43
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-41
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
36-39
Heat violation
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
Heat turnover
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
36-36
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-34
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-34
Raptors turnover
Raptors personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-34
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-34
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Raptors violation
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
32-34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-32
Raptors turnover
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
30-32
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Ja'Kobe Walter, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
27-32
Immanuel Quickley offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
27-29
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-29
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
22-29
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Immanuel Quickley, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes)
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
22-27
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
22-25
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-22
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
21-22
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-19
Raptors 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-19
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
17-19
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
17-17
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
14-17
Ja'Kobe Walter offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-14
Raptors turnover
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-14
Raptors personal foul
Brandon Ingram turnover (offensive foul)
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Collin Murray-Boyles, Jamal Shead, Jakob Poeltl)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
10-14
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-13
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-14
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Jamal Shead, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-12
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
4-11
Heat personal foul
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
4-12
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
4-9
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
4-6
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-4
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Raptors turnover
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Raptors personal foul
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
2-4
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
0-2
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Raptors lineup change (RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl)
Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Scottie Barnes gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Heat vs. Raptors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Raptors
- Date: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Raptors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +131, Raptors -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 41%
- Raptors: 59%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 119-121 Raptors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 41%, while the Raptors have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Raptors are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Raptors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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