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Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Warriors NBA game on April 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
127
113
Apr 2, 2AM Chase Center
Apr 2, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 68 | 2 | 26 | 31 | 127 |
Warriors | 47 | 2 | 34 | 30 | 113 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 68 | 2 | 26 | 31 | 127 |
Warriors | 47 | 2 | 34 | 30 | 113 |
Q4 00:25 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
127-113
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
127-111
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
127-108
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
127-105
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-105
Spurs turnover
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs violation
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
124-103
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
122-103
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
121-100
Warriors personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-100
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
118-99
Spurs personal foul
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-100
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
118-97
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Omer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot
116-97
Omer Yurtseven offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
116-95
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
116-93
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
116-90
Warriors turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
113-90
Warriors 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Spurs personal foul
Malevy Leons turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Carter Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Malevy Leons draws the foul)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
110-90
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-90
Warriors personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-90
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-90
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
103-87
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-90
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
105-90
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point driving dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
101-83
Warriors 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
99-83
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Nate Williams makes two point putback layup
96-83
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Nate Williams's two point running layup
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
101-83
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-83
+2
Omer Yurtseven makes two point jump shot (Malevy Leons assists)
92-74
Warriors personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-83
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-83
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
96-83
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
LJ Cryer turnover (offensive foul)
LJ Cryer offensive foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point pullup jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
101-83
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
89-74
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
92-74
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-74
Malevy Leons defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-74
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Malevy Leons makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-74
Spurs turnover
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
LJ Cryer turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes clear path free throw 1 of 2
87-67
Instant replay
Devin Vassell misses clear path free throw 2 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving floating jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
86-67
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-90
Spurs 60 second timeout
Dylan Harper turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-90
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-90
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Omer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-83
Warriors turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
101-83
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-83
Warriors personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
101-83
Warriors personal foul
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Omer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Omer Yurtseven misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Devin Vassell personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
Spurs personal foul
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
101-83
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
101-83
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
101-83
+2
LJ Cryer makes two point jump shot
101-83
Spurs personal foul
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
105-90
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-90
Spurs personal foul
Spurs turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
70-52
End of 1st Half.
Instant replay (Request: Stands)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Will Richard, LJ Cryer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-55
Spurs turnover
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer, Seth Curry)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-55
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
68-47
Seth Curry defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
68-44
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
65-44
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Seth Curry)
Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
70-55
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-74
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-74
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-74
Will Richard defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-47
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
70-49
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-55
+1
LJ Cryer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-55
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-37
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-37
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-37
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point tip layup
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Seth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (LJ Cryer assists)
53-37
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
73-55
+2
Seth Curry makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
53-37
Seth Curry defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
73-55
Warriors lineup change (Nate Williams, Will Richard, Omer Yurtseven, LJ Cryer, Seth Curry)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-74
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-74
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Will Richard, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-74
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-74
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Will Richard defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-74
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
92-74
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point tip layup
40-33
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper)
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-47
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-74
Spurs personal foul
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
68-47
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
89-74
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
87-67
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-67
Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors turnover
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
Spurs offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-55
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Omer Yurtseven personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-24
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pat Spencer misses three point jump shot
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point running dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
34-24
Pat Spencer turnover (lost ball) (De'Aaron Fox steals)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point finger roll layup (Harrison Barnes assists)
32-24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses three point running pullup jump shot
De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball) (Pat Spencer steals)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Malevy Leons makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
30-24
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant)
Malevy Leons misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-21
Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
Mason Plumlee turnover (offensive goaltending)
Spurs violation
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point pullup jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
30-20
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-18
Malevy Leons shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-18
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-17
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-18
Dylan Harper shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Malevy Leons assists)
28-16
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
+2
Nate Williams makes two point running pullup jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
28-13
Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Nate Williams steals)
Nate Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
28-11
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Mason Plumlee, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Mason Plumlee, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Seth Curry misses three point jump shot
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Draymond Green blocks Keldon Johnson's three point jump shot
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point driving floating jump shot
25-11
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point running alley-oop layup (Dylan Harper assists)
25-9
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Omer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
Warriors offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Nate Williams's two point driving layup
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-9
Nate Williams personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-9
+2
Nate Williams makes two point driving layup
21-9
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running layup (Devin Vassell assists)
21-7
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-7
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper)
De'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-6
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving layup
19-5
Omer Yurtseven personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+2
Seth Curry makes two point pullup jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)
17-5
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
17-3
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, Omer Yurtseven, Seth Curry)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop layup (Stephon Castle assists)
14-3
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point finger roll layup
Victor Wembanyama kicked ball violation
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
12-3
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
10-3
Julian Champagnie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point turnaround jump shot
10-0
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
8-0
Draymond Green personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point driving hook shot
Will Richard shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-0
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-0
Warriors personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Nate Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point running finger roll layup
5-0
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving floating jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
3-0
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
2-0
Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama vs. Draymond Green (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Brandin Podziemski, Nate Williams, Will Richard, LJ Cryer)
Start of 1st Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, April 1, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -733, Warriors +770
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 86%
- Warriors: 14%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 120-108 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 86%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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