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Pistons vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Thunder NBA game on March 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
114
Mar 31, 1:30AM Paycom Center
Mar 31, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 24 | 19 | 40 | 18 | 9 | 110 |
Thunder | 31 | 22 | 32 | 16 | 13 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 24 | 19 | 40 | 18 | 9 | 110 |
Thunder | 31 | 22 | 32 | 16 | 13 | 114 |
OT1 00:01 Pistons misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:06 Pistons makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:09 Pistons makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:19 Thunder makes three point jump shot
OT1 1:40 Pistons misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:09 Thunder misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:26 Pistons makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:26 Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
OT1 2:30 Pistons misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:34 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
End of 1st OT.
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-113
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-114
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
110-112
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Pistons personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-112
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-111
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-111
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
106-109
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
106-110
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
106-111
Instant replay
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
106-108
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
104-108
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
104-105
Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-105
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-103
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jump ball. (Javonte Green gains possession)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
(Pistons gains possession)
Thunder personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons turnover
Pistons defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-101
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-101
Thunder 60 second timeout
Pistons personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-100
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-101
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons 60 second timeout
Ajay Mitchell blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-99
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
99-96
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-96
Pistons turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-94
Pistons personal foul
Tolu Smith turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Pistons personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-91
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-92
Thunder 60 second timeout
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
97-90
Tolu Smith offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tolu Smith offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-90
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Pistons personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-90
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
93-89
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green)
Thunder turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
90-89
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-89
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-87
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
87-85
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Ronald Holland II blocks Jaylin Williams's two point pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams turnover (lost ball)
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+2
Paul Reed makes two point layup (Kevin Huerter assists)
97-90
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Marcus Sasser, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Marcus Sasser, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-85
Thunder turnover
Ausar Thompson offensive foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
Caris LeVert turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
83-85
Thunder turnover
+2
Paul Reed makes two point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)
80-85
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point running jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)
78-85
Pistons turnover
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
80-85
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
78-85
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-85
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace)
Pistons personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Tolu Smith defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
83-85
Caris LeVert offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Marcus Sasser misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Marcus Sasser misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point alley-oop dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
71-79
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons personal foul
Ronald Holland II turnover (offensive foul)
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point jump shot
71-77
Caris LeVert shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-79
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-79
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Chaz Lanier, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ronald Holland II)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-79
Pistons turnover
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Caris LeVert makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)
60-64
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-79
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Tolu Smith draws the foul)
+1
Tolu Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-64
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Tolu Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-79
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving reverse layup
71-77
+2
Tolu Smith makes two point cutting layup (Caris LeVert assists)
60-64
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Tolu Smith, Ronald Holland II)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-79
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
71-79
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
71-79
+2
Caris LeVert makes two point jump shot
60-64
Paul Reed shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-79
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-79
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Pistons turnover
Pistons defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-64
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
+3
Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot
60-64
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
57-62
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Pistons 60 second timeout
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Ausar Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-64
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
60-64
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
60-64
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-64
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-64
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-64
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
60-64
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kevin Huerter makes two point jump shot
43-53
Ajay Mitchell shooting foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)
Kevin Huerter misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
60-64
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Pistons turnover
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-53
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Chaz Lanier, Paul Reed)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-52
Ronald Holland II personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Chaz Lanier, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Chaz Lanier, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
43-50
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Thunder turnover
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-50
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-46
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Ausar Thompson personal foul (Jared McCain draws the foul)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
43-50
Tolu Smith defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-46
+1
Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-48
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder personal foul
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-50
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-50
Pistons personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-50
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-50
Pistons lineup change (Chaz Lanier, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Tolu Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Tolu Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-50
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams turnover (lost ball)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
31-41
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Kevin Huerter misses two point bank jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
33-41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-41
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Thunder personal foul
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point driving hook shot
26-34
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Daniss Jenkins shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins blocks Kenrich Williams's two point running layup
Kenrich Williams turnover (bad pass)
Pistons turnover
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Thunder turnover
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point layup
Thunder offensive rebound
+2
Ronald Holland II makes two point jump shot
33-41
Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Marcus Sasser misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Caris LeVert shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-31
Marcus Sasser blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Caris LeVert misses two point pullup jump shot
Marcus Sasser shooting foul (Jared McCain draws the foul)
+2
Jared McCain makes two point running layup
24-29
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-30
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Chaz Lanier misses two point pullup jump shot
Tolu Smith defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Tolu Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams blocks Ronald Holland II's two point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons offensive rebound
Tolu Smith offensive rebound
Marcus Sasser misses two point running pullup jump shot
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
+3
Marcus Sasser makes three point jump shot (Ronald Holland II assists)
24-27
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses three point running jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Caris LeVert misses three point pullup jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Ronald Holland II draws the foul)
Pistons 60 second timeout
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-26
Marcus Sasser shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-27
+2
Caris LeVert makes two point pullup jump shot (Tolu Smith assists)
21-25
+2
Jared McCain makes two point driving floating jump shot
19-25
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams blocks Ronald Holland II's two point cutting layup
Alex Caruso personal foul (Marcus Sasser draws the foul)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-23
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-22
Tolu Smith shooting foul (Ajay Mitchell draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Chaz Lanier, Marcus Sasser, Tolu Smith, Ronald Holland II)
Tolu Smith misses two point cutting layup
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point driving layup
19-21
Instant replay
Javonte Green personal foul (Cason Wallace draws the foul)
Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Tolu Smith, Ronald Holland II)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Daniss Jenkins makes two point pullup jump shot
19-19
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Ajay Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
36-46
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-19
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green)
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Tolu Smith, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
16-19
+2
Daniss Jenkins makes two point cutting layup (Paul Reed assists)
16-17
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Wiggins assists)
14-17
Paul Reed turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Wiggins steals)
Ajay Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Javonte Green steals)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Kevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
14-15
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-15
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
11-14
Ausar Thompson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Kevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
11-12
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point cutting layup (Ajay Mitchell assists)
9-12
+3
Javonte Green makes three point jump shot (Paul Reed assists)
9-10
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Paul Reed misses two point cutting layup
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Paul Reed personal foul (Loose ball) (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Paul Reed misses two point tip layup
Daniss Jenkins misses two point running layup
Chet Holmgren turnover (lost ball) (Daniss Jenkins steals)
+2
Paul Reed makes two point turnaround hook shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
6-10
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point pullup jump shot
4-10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Cason Wallace shooting foul (Ausar Thompson draws the foul)
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
4-8
+2
Paul Reed makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ausar Thompson assists)
4-5
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Javonte Green offensive rebound
+2
Javonte Green makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
2-5
Ausar Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
Pistons violation
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Kevin Huerter misses two point reverse layup
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
0-5
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Daniss Jenkins misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving layup
0-2
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Paul Reed vs. Chet Holmgren (Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Pistons lineup change (Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter, Ausar Thompson, Paul Reed, Javonte Green)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Pistons vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Thunder
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +545, Thunder -545
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 18%
- Thunder: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 104-115 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 18%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
