Rockets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Grizzlies NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Rockets
119
109
Mar 28, 12AM FedExForum
Grizzlies
Mar 28, 12AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Rockets
32 24 43 20 119
Grizzlies
30 19 44 16 109
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
RocketsHOU
Win %
>99%
<1%
GrizzliesMEM
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
32 24 43 20 119
Grizzlies
30 19 44 16 109
Q4 00:24 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip layup
Q4 1:01 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:22
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q4 00:24
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
119-109
Q4 00:32
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q4 00:34
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
117-109
Q4 00:53
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
115-109
Q4 00:58
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point tip layup
113-106
Q4 00:58
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 1:01
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q4 1:01
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:02
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q4 1:02
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:05
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:14
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q4 1:17
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point running dunk (Cedric Coward assists)
113-106
Q4 1:43
Rockets turnover
Q4 1:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:45
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 1:45
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q4 2:08
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point cutting dunk (Cam Spencer assists)
113-106
Q4 2:17
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Q4 2:19
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:38
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:41
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:57
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q4 3:00
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:20
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
113-106
Q4 3:30
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
113-106
Q4 3:49
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
106-96
Q4 3:54
Kevin Durant turnover
Q4 4:08
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
113-106
Q4 4:19
+2
Tari Eason makes two point hook shot
113-104
Q4 4:22
Taylor Hendricks turnover (Tari Eason steals)
Q4 4:25
Tyler Burton shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
Q4 4:25
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 4:25
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-106
Q4 4:25
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
Q4 4:28
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q4 4:31
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:49
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 4:49
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 4:49
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 4:49
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 5:13
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
113-106
Q4 5:14
DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
Q4 5:17
Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:31
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
113-106
Q4 5:32
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q4 5:37
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:42
Rockets turnover
Q4 5:45
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Q4 5:47
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:03
Tyler Burton personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Q4 6:03
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-106
Q4 6:03
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q4 6:03
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 6:04
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q4 6:06
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:22
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
113-106
Q4 6:25
Grizzlies turnover
Q4 6:30
DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
Q4 6:33
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:46
Tari Eason personal foul (Tyler Burton draws the foul)
Q4 6:46
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 6:46
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
Q4 6:48
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Q4 6:52
Tyler Burton misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:03
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)
99-93
Q4 7:10
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 7:10
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
Q4 7:10
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
Q4 7:21
+2
DeJon Jarreau makes two point jump shot
96-93
Q4 7:28
DeJon Jarreau defensive rebound
Q4 7:30
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:48
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
99-93
Q4 8:10
Grizzlies personal foul
Q4 8:10
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-106
Q4 8:10
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Tyler Burton, Cedric Coward)
Q4 8:10
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 8:10
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 8:28
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
113-106
Q4 8:34
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover
Q4 8:47
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 8:49
GG Jackson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 9:05
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:05
Rockets offensive rebound
Q4 9:05
Clint Capela offensive foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
Q4 9:05
Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 9:06
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:18
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q4 9:22
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:37
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
113-106
Q4 9:52
Rockets personal foul
Q4 9:52
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-106
Q4 9:52
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 10:06
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Q4 10:06
+2
Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
99-93
Q4 10:08
Reed Sheppard misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:14
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Q4 10:14
Cam Spencer technical foul (Double)
Q4 10:14
Javon Small personal foul
Q4 10:14
Jabari Smith Jr. technical foul (Double)
Q4 10:22
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 10:26
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:29
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:38
Javon Small offensive rebound
Q4 10:41
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:45
Rockets turnover
Q4 10:59
Taj Gibson personal foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)
Q4 10:59
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q4 11:13
Alperen Sengun personal foul
Q4 11:13
+1
Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-104
Q4 11:13
+1
Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-106
Q4 11:13
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday)
Q4 11:21
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point tip dunk
99-93
Q4 11:21
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q4 11:25
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:43
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Q4 11:45
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Tari Eason misses heave shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Rockets personal foul
Q3 00:00
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-104
Q3 00:00
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-104
Q4 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Taj Gibson, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q3 00:13
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q3 00:19
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:25
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 00:31
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q3 00:33
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:42
+2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
99-93
Q3 00:43
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Q3 00:45
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:58
Tari Eason misses two point tip layup
Q3 00:58
Taj Gibson defensive rebound
Q3 00:59
Taj Gibson defensive rebound
Q3 1:02
Taj Gibson personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
Q3 1:02
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 1:02
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 1:02
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 1:14
Rockets personal foul
Q3 1:14
+1
Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-104
Q3 1:14
Grizzlies lineup change (Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q3 1:14
+1
Taj Gibson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-104
Q3 1:28
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
113-104
Q3 1:30
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Q3 1:34
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:43
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q3 1:46
GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:58
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
94-86
Q3 2:20
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
94-86
Q3 2:43
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-86
Q3 2:57
Rockets personal foul
Q3 2:57
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-86
Q3 2:57
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
Q3 2:57
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
Q3 2:57
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-86
Q3 3:04
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
94-86
Q3 3:26
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
94-86
Q3 3:42
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
94-86
Q3 4:02
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
94-86
Q3 4:21
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
75-67
Q3 4:21
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 4:21
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Q3 4:21
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
Q3 4:29
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q3 4:32
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:46
+2
Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
73-67
Q3 5:02
+2
Tyler Burton makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
71-67
Q3 5:24
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
71-67
Q3 5:37
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q3 5:40
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:51
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Q3 5:56
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:04
+2
DeJon Jarreau makes two point jump shot
69-67
Q3 6:04
DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
Q3 6:04
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q3 6:08
Walter Clayton Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:15
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Q3 6:17
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:28
Rockets personal foul
Q3 6:28
Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 6:28
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q3 6:28
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-67
Q3 6:41
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 6:41
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-67
Q3 6:41
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-67
Q3 6:50
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 6:50
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
Q3 6:50
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 6:50
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Q3 6:58
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 7:00
Tyler Burton misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:17
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q3 7:17
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 7:17
Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
Q3 7:17
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-67
Q3 7:17
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 7:17
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 7:17
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 7:18
Amen Thompson misses two point layup
Q3 7:23
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 7:23
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q3 7:42
+2
Javon Small makes two point jump shot
66-64
Q3 8:00
Tyler Burton shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
Q3 8:00
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 8:00
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q3 8:00
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 3
67-64
Q3 8:00
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton)
Q3 8:00
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
71-67
Q3 8:11
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 8:15
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:27
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
Q3 8:27
Amen Thompson turnover (bad pass)
Q3 8:27
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q3 8:27
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 8:35
Grizzlies turnover
Q3 8:51
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q3 8:53
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:05
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 9:07
Rockets personal foul
Q3 9:07
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-64
Q3 9:07
Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 9:08
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:09
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Q3 9:10
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Q3 9:10
GG Jackson misses two point tip layup
Q3 9:12
GG Jackson misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q3 9:29
Grizzlies personal foul
Q3 9:29
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 9:29
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 9:29
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-62
Q3 9:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:37
Grizzlies violation
Q3 9:49
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
63-60
Q3 9:49
Rockets personal foul
Q3 9:49
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-61
Q3 9:51
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Q3 9:54
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:17
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
63-58
Q3 10:22
Rockets personal foul
Q3 10:30
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-55
Q3 10:51
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
61-55
Q3 11:10
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
61-52
Q3 11:30
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
58-52
Q3 11:46
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
58-49
Q2 00:00
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
Q3 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q2 00:03
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
56-49
Q2 00:09
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q2 00:10
DeJon Jarreau offensive rebound
Q2 00:10
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:15
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:24
Walter Clayton Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 00:33
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:36
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 00:37
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q2 00:37
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:41
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:03
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
54-49
Q2 1:07
Rockets turnover
Q2 1:21
Rockets personal foul
Q2 1:21
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-46
Q2 1:21
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-47
Q2 1:33
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
53-45
Q2 1:33
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 1:33
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-45
Q2 1:54
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
51-45
Q2 2:12
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-43
Q2 2:24
Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
Q2 2:27
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:29
Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
Q2 2:32
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:35
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 2:45
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 2:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:45
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 2:45
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
Q2 2:45
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, Cedric Coward)
Q2 2:47
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:02
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:17
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Q2 3:19
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:25
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 3:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:27
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Q2 3:27
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 3:27
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-43
Q2 3:27
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 3:27
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton)
Q2 3:27
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 3:28
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:57
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
48-43
Q2 4:15
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
48-40
Q2 4:35
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
46-40
Q2 4:47
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-38
Q2 4:53
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Q2 4:58
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:06
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q2 5:09
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:27
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
44-38
Q2 5:43
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Q2 5:45
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:55
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Q2 5:58
Taylor Hendricks misses two point driving layup
Q2 6:06
Javon Small defensive rebound
Q2 6:09
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 6:09
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:13
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:18
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 6:29
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 6:32
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:36
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:36
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 6:36
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 6:36
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 6:55
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
41-38
Q2 7:08
Rockets turnover
Q2 7:26
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
41-36
Q2 7:42
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 7:42
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:42
Rockets violation
Q2 7:43
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:56
Rockets lineup change (Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
Q2 7:56
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
Q2 7:56
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q2 8:02
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 8:04
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:16
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Q2 8:21
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:26
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q2 8:30
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:47
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Q2 8:49
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:07
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-34
Q2 9:20
Grizzlies personal foul
Q2 9:20
Taj Gibson turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 9:20
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q2 9:35
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-34
Q2 9:57
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
37-34
Q2 10:13
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
37-32
Q2 10:27
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
34-32
Q2 10:41
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-30
Q2 10:54
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:58
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:02
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 11:05
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:26
Grizzlies turnover
Q2 11:37
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Q2 11:43
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
32-30
Q1 00:00
Instant replay
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Javon Small, Taj Gibson, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q1 00:01
Rockets turnover
Q1 00:24
Rockets defensive rebound
Q1 00:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:26
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
32-27
Q1 00:49
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
30-27
Q1 1:03
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 1:03
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-25
Q1 1:03
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-25
Q1 1:09
Rockets personal foul
Q1 1:09
+1
Cedric Coward makes technical free throw 1 of 1
28-25
Q1 1:16
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
28-24
Q1 1:19
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 1:19
Rockets turnover
Q1 1:24
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
28-22
Q1 1:36
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 1:39
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:04
Rockets defensive rebound
Q1 2:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 2:04
Grizzlies lineup change (Taj Gibson, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson, Cedric Coward)
Q1 2:06
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:19
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
26-22
Q1 2:22
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 2:25
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:44
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
24-22
Q1 2:44
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q1 2:44
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
Q1 2:53
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 2:56
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:05
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 3:05
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-22
Q1 3:05
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Aaron Holiday)
Q1 3:05
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Walter Clayton Jr., Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Tyler Burton, GG Jackson)
Q1 3:05
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-22
Q1 3:20
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-22
Q1 3:38
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
20-20
Q1 3:45
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 3:46
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:01
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
17-20
Q1 4:16
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
14-20
Q1 4:31
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
14-18
Q1 4:49
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
11-18
Q1 4:53
Tyler Burton offensive rebound
Q1 4:56
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:01
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q1 5:04
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:18
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 5:21
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:30
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:35
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:47
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q1 5:49
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:06
Rockets turnover
Q1 6:06
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q1 6:06
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Tyler Burton)
Q1 6:06
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday)
Q1 6:12
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 6:14
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:25
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
11-15
Q1 6:46
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
9-15
Q1 6:48
DeJon Jarreau defensive rebound
Q1 6:52
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:07
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q1 7:11
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:22
Rockets personal foul
Q1 7:22
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday, Alperen Sengun)
Q1 7:22
Grizzlies lineup change (DeJon Jarreau, Cam Spencer, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Tyler Burton)
Q1 7:32
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
9-12
Q1 7:35
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Q1 7:38
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:42
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q1 7:45
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:02
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
7-12
Q1 8:05
Rockets turnover
Q1 8:08
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 8:10
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:13
Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
Q1 8:15
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:19
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Q1 8:21
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:36
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 8:39
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:45
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Q1 8:49
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:56
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:56
Grizzlies personal foul
Q1 9:03
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
7-10
Q1 9:16
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-8
Q1 9:19
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Q1 9:24
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:28
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Q1 9:30
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:36
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 9:42
Javon Small defensive rebound
Q1 9:44
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:02
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
5-8
Q1 10:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
5-5
Q1 10:28
Grizzlies turnover
Q1 10:33
Rockets turnover
Q1 10:46
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
3-5
Q1 10:58
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
3-2
Q1 11:18
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
0-2
Q1 11:21
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Rockets
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F17 T. Eason 16 7 1
F10 J. Smith Jr. 21 16 4
F7 K. Durant 25 6 10
C28 A. Sengun 14 8 7
G1 A. Thompson 18 8 3
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F18 O. Prosper 31 7 2
G10 J. Small 14 3 5
F45 G. Jackson 14 4 0
G23 C. Coward 10 4 2
G24 C. Spencer 11 3 10

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Rockets vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Grizzlies
  • Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -809, Grizzlies +733

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 86%
  • Grizzlies: 14%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 120-107 Grizzlies.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 86%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 14%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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