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Wizards vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Warriors NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
126
131
Mar 28, 2AM Chase Center
Mar 28, 2AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 25 | 48 | 19 | 32 | 126 |
Warriors | 38 | 38 | 16 | 37 | 131 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 25 | 48 | 19 | 32 | 126 |
Warriors | 38 | 38 | 16 | 37 | 131 |
Q4 00:14 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Jaden Hardy makes three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:19 Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Justin Champagnie misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 1:43 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Wizards turnover
Wizards personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-129
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
124-129
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-126
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Warriors personal foul
+3
Jaden Hardy makes three point stepback jump shot
124-129
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-124
Wizards personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-123
Draymond Green personal foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Brandin Podziemski turnover (traveling)
Gui Santos offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie misses two point floating jump shot
Will Riley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
117-123
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
116-123
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
106-104
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot
116-123
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Justin Champagnie turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
106-104
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos personal foul
Will Riley personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-129
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
+2
Will Riley makes two point jump shot
106-104
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
124-129
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Jaden Hardy personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-104
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
Wizards 60 second timeout
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-104
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Will Riley misses two point pullup jump shot
Justin Champagnie personal foul
+2
Gui Santos makes two point driving reverse layup
106-104
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
124-129
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Gui Santos makes two point jump shot
106-104
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
106-104
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-104
Wizards personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-104
+3
Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot
106-104
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
106-104
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Justin Champagnie turnover (bad pass)
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors turnover
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot
124-129
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
124-129
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Wizards personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-129
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Anthony Gill turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-92
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 3
92-92
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 3
92-92
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 3 of 3
92-92
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green shooting foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
Wizards offensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Riley personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Wizards personal foul
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II personal foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Justin Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+2
Pat Spencer makes two point bank jump shot
92-92
+2
Anthony Gill makes two point jump shot
92-92
Wizards offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+1
Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-129
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Will Riley misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
92-92
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
+2
Anthony Gill makes two point jump shot (Sharife Cooper assists)
92-92
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
90-92
+3
Will Riley makes three point running jump shot (Sharife Cooper assists)
92-92
Brandin Podziemski turnover
+2
Sharife Cooper makes two point fadeaway jump shot
92-92
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot
92-92
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Leaky Black misses two point jump shot
Omer Yurtseven personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
Omer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Sharife Cooper, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Justin Champagnie misses three point running jump shot
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Sharife Cooper makes two point layup
92-92
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
78-84
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Will Riley makes two point driving layup
92-92
Warriors turnover
Wizards turnover
+2
Sharife Cooper makes two point running layup
90-92
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Anthony Gill blocks Gui Santos's two point jump shot
+3
Bub Carrington makes three point jump shot (Anthony Gill assists)
92-92
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski, LJ Cryer)
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Gary Payton II turnover
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Sharife Cooper, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Will Riley)
Gary Payton II turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
78-84
Wizards turnover
+1
Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-82
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Alex Sarr personal foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
124-129
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Sharife Cooper, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
124-129
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Sharife Cooper, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
92-92
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bub Carrington misses three point jump shot
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
92-92
+3
Bub Carrington makes three point jump shot
92-92
Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green blocks Bilal Coulibaly's two point driving layup
Warriors personal foul
Wizards offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
LJ Cryer personal foul
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
+3
Tre Johnson makes three point jump shot
73-76
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+3
Bilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot (Leaky Black assists)
73-76
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Gui Santos misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
73-76
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Leaky Black misses three point jump shot
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Will Richard assists)
73-76
+3
Bilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot
73-76
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Will Richard misses three point jump shot
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point turnaround hook shot
62-73
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Alex Sarr shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-76
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Bilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
92-92
+3
Bilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot
73-76
Bub Carrington personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-76
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Draymond Green blocks Alex Sarr's two point putback layup
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses three point jump shot
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
+3
Bilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot
73-76
Leaky Black offensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses three point bank jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-76
Tre Johnson shooting foul (Gary Payton II draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Bub Carrington turnover (lost ball) (Draymond Green steals)
Leaky Black defensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
+2
Tre Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)
52-67
Wizards 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
52-67
Bub Carrington turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
LJ Cryer misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
Alex Sarr kicked ball violation
+2
Tre Johnson makes two point jump shot
52-67
+3
LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
52-67
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
73-76
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
73-76
+3
Gui Santos makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
52-67
Warriors 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr)
Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point driving floating jump shot
73-76
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
52-67
+3
Alex Sarr makes three point jump shot (Bilal Coulibaly assists)
46-54
Will Riley shooting foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-67
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-92
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gui Santos, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis)
+3
Will Riley makes three point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)
52-67
Will Richard personal foul (Tre Johnson draws the foul)
Tre Johnson personal foul
Brandin Podziemski turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr, Will Riley)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Alex Sarr, Will Riley)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Leaky Black misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Malevy Leons misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
92-92
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Alex Sarr misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Malevy Leons, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis)
Gary Payton II personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Malevy Leons, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Malevy Leons, Omer Yurtseven, Brandin Podziemski)
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
+3
Gui Santos makes three point jump shot
52-67
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
52-67
Gui Santos turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Gill steals)
+2
Anthony Gill makes two point jump shot
52-67
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
36-46
+2
Will Riley makes two point driving finger roll layup
52-67
Pat Spencer personal foul (Leaky Black draws the foul)
Warriors defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II blocks Leaky Black's two point driving floating bank jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Leaky Black, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Gui Santos, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, LJ Cryer)
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot
92-92
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
78-84
Leaky Black defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses two point tip dunk
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 27 | W. Riley | 22 | 5 | 5 |
| F | 16 | A. Gill | 14 | 1 | 3 |
| G-F | 9 | J. Champagnie | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 8 | J. Hardy | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 14 | L. Black | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 27 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 2 | B. Podziemski | 22 | 10 | 7 |
| F | 23 | D. Green | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| C | 7 | K. Porzingis | 28 | 8 | 3 |
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Wizards vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Wizards vs. Warriors
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 249.5
- Moneyline Odds: Wizards +567, Warriors -614
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Wizards: 18%
- Warriors: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 110-121 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 18%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Chase Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Wizards vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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