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Jazz vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Nuggets NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
129
135
Mar 28, 1AM Ball Arena
Mar 28, 1AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 39 | 64 | 7 | 19 | 129 |
Nuggets | 43 | 52 | 6 | 34 | 135 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 39 | 64 | 7 | 19 | 129 |
Nuggets | 43 | 52 | 6 | 34 | 135 |
Q4 00:16 Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Cameron Johnson makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 00:50 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Elijah Harkless misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:55 Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
Jazz 60 second timeout
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot
129-135
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz turnover
+2
Cameron Johnson makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
129-131
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
129-129
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
129-129
Jazz turnover
Elijah Harkless defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bez Mbeng personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Elijah Harkless misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
126-121
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
126-121
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot
Jazz 60 second timeout
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Bez Mbeng defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point jump shot
129-135
Elijah Harkless turnover
Elijah Harkless personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-121
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-121
Elijah Harkless turnover
Nuggets offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Jump ball. (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Cameron Johnson personal foul (Double)
Ace Bailey turnover (offensive foul)
Ace Bailey offensive foul (Cameron Johnson draws the foul)
Cameron Johnson personal foul (Ace Bailey draws the foul)
Ace Bailey turnover (offensive foul)
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Bez Mbeng offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
124-119
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Kennedy Chandler misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kennedy Chandler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Bez Mbeng, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, John Konchar, Ace Bailey)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
124-117
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
124-114
Cody Williams personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-119
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-119
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
122-112
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
129-135
Elijah Harkless personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
129-135
+2
Elijah Harkless makes two point jump shot
129-135
Peyton Watson shooting foul (Elijah Harkless draws the foul)
+1
Elijah Harkless makes regular free throw 1 of 1
129-135
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Bez Mbeng shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-135
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
+3
Ace Bailey makes three point stepback jump shot (Kennedy Chandler assists)
122-112
Nuggets turnover
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point jump shot
129-135
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
122-112
Bez Mbeng personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
112-104
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Bez Mbeng, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
110-104
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
John Konchar blocks Bruce Brown's two point putback layup
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Elijah Harkless makes three point jump shot (Kennedy Chandler assists)
129-135
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot
110-101
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses three point running pullup jump shot
Elijah Harkless defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses two point jump shot
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
Elijah Harkless misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones personal foul (Kennedy Chandler draws the foul)
+2
Peyton Watson makes two point jump shot
110-101
Jazz defensive rebound
Peyton Watson offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spencer Jones misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Kennedy Chandler personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
110-101
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, John Konchar, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson)
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point pullup jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
110-101
Jazz lineup change (Bez Mbeng, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, John Konchar, Ace Bailey)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Cody Williams draws the foul)
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-135
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-135
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets turnover
+3
Kennedy Chandler makes three point jump shot
110-101
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
110-101
+2
John Konchar makes two point putback layup
110-101
John Konchar offensive rebound
Bez Mbeng misses two point jump shot
Peyton Watson turnover
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Peyton Watson makes three point jump shot
110-101
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
110-101
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
110-101
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Bez Mbeng shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
110-101
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
129-135
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
129-135
Cody Williams turnover
Jazz lineup change (Bez Mbeng, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
129-135
Oscar Tshiebwe offensive rebound
+2
Oscar Tshiebwe makes two point jump shot
110-101
Nikola Jokic personal foul
+1
Oscar Tshiebwe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
129-135
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+2
Cody Williams makes two point jump shot
110-101
Nuggets personal foul
Cody Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
110-101
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-80
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-101
Jazz personal foul
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Cody Williams draws the foul)
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-135
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-135
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
129-135
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Oscar Tshiebwe personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-101
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-135
+2
Kennedy Chandler makes two point jump shot
87-75
Nuggets turnover
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
110-101
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
110-101
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Bez Mbeng, Kennedy Chandler, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-135
John Konchar offensive rebound
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Elijah Harkless misses three point running jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-135
Nuggets turnover
Jazz turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
129-135
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-135
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-129
Nuggets turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-129
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
73-71
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, John Konchar)
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-69
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-69
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
Cameron Johnson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
129-129
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
73-67
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
73-67
Jazz personal foul
Jazz personal foul
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-129
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
129-129
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
73-69
+2
Cody Williams makes two point driving layup (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
73-71
Aaron Gordon turnover (bad pass)
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point alley-oop layup
+3
Kyle Filipowski makes three point jump shot (Cody Williams assists)
73-71
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Jazz lineup change (Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
103-95
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses three point running jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point running jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
103-95
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-95
Christian Braun shooting foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-95
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-95
Jazz lineup change (Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, John Konchar)
Aaron Gordon personal foul (Cody Williams draws the foul)
Nuggets turnover
Jazz turnover
Brice Sensabaugh personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-71
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, John Konchar, Ace Bailey)
Nuggets offensive rebound
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
103-95
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
103-95
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
87-80
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
50-56
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
50-54
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
48-54
Nuggets personal foul
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-51
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Cameron Johnson misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
47-50
Jazz personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-51
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
47-48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
50-54
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Kyle Filipowski personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)
Julian Strawther offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
56-60
Nuggets turnover
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
Jazz 60 second timeout
+2
Kennedy Chandler makes two point driving layup
50-54
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
Peyton Watson turnover
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Elijah Harkless misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-51
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-60
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-43
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Peyton Watson personal foul
Peyton Watson offensive foul (Elijah Harkless draws the foul)
Peyton Watson turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Christian Braun, Julian Strawther)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
47-51
John Konchar offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
John Konchar defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, John Konchar)
Jazz turnover
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point jump shot
44-48
Jazz 60 second timeout
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-60
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
50-54
Julian Strawther personal foul (Oscar Tshiebwe draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Peyton Watson, Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Peyton Watson blocks Elijah Harkless's two point running layup
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
32-40
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot
56-60
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
56-60
Kennedy Chandler defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Oscar Tshiebwe offensive rebound
Oscar Tshiebwe turnover (lost ball) (Spencer Jones steals)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Nuggets violation
John Konchar defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
39-43
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Kennedy Chandler, Elijah Harkless, Kyle Filipowski, John Konchar)
Nuggets lineup change (Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Cameron Johnson)
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Oscar Tshiebwe personal foul
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-40
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cody Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Jazz 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Cody Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Kennedy Chandler, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-40
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-40
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)
24-36
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses two point jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point running pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
24-33
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Elijah Harkless misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)
24-30
+2
Oscar Tshiebwe makes two point layup
24-28
Oscar Tshiebwe offensive rebound
Elijah Harkless misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point putback layup
22-28
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Oscar Tshiebwe makes two point layup (Elijah Harkless assists)
22-26
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Peyton Watson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
20-26
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon blocks Oscar Tshiebwe's two point layup
Elijah Harkless defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+1
Oscar Tshiebwe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-24
+1
Oscar Tshiebwe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-24
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Oscar Tshiebwe draws the foul)
Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 3 of 3
18-24
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 3
18-22
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 3
18-23
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic)
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
18-21
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (bad pass) (Tim Hardaway Jr. steals)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point driving layup (Jamal Murray assists)
18-19
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point running jump shot
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot
Cody Williams misses two point running layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
+2
Brice Sensabaugh makes two point pullup jump shot
18-17
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point putback layup
16-17
Christian Braun misses two point tip layup
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Ace Bailey personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses three point stepback jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
Jazz 60 second timeout
+2
Christian Braun makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)
16-15
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point driving layup (Cody Williams assists)
16-13
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
14-13
+2
Cody Williams makes two point running layup (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
14-11
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses two point running layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Christian Braun makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
12-11
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-7
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-8
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point running layup (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
12-6
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Filipowski assists)
10-6
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
8-6
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot
8-4
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Cody Williams makes two point running dunk (Kyle Filipowski assists)
8-2
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point running dunk (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
6-2
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Brice Sensabaugh steals)
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
4-2
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-1
Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-2
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
2-0
Elijah Harkless defensive rebound
Cameron Johnson misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Elijah Harkless blocks Aaron Gordon's two point pullup jump shot
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point running jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Elijah Harkless blocks Christian Braun's two point cutting layup
Start of 1st Quarter
Kyle Filipowski vs. Nikola Jokic (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
Jazz lineup change (Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 0 | K. Chandler | 16 | 1 | 7 |
| G | 21 | B. Mbeng | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 55 | J. Konchar | 16 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 16 | E. Harkless | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 19 | A. Bailey | 15 | 7 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 33 | 15 | 12 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 31 | 6 | 14 |
| F | 32 | A. Gordon | 17 | 7 | 1 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 23 | C. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 0 |
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Jazz vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Nuggets
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -18.5
- Total (Over/Under): 263.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +1941, Nuggets -2100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 8%
- Nuggets: 92%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 114-131 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 8%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 92%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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