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Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
LIVE
2nd 12:00
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
2nd 12:00
Updating LIVE
NBA
27
:
40
Mar 27, 11:30PM Rocket Arena
Mar 27, 11:30PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Cavaliers | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
23%
77%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Cavaliers | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
Q1 00:00 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:13 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q1 00:36 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q1 00:48 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:03 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q1 1:16 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q1 1:24 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:32 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:54 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q1 1:58 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-40
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
25-40
Heat personal foul
Keon Ellis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
25-37
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
22-37
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-34
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-32
Cavaliers turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-32
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
18-32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-29
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
16-29
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-27
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
14-27
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
14-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-21
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (James Harden gains possession)
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat challenge timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Sam Merrill misses two point driving layup
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-21
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-21
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-21
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-21
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-19
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-17
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-16
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-17
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-15
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-15
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
2-13
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-8
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
0-8
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
0-3
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
0-4
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
0-5
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Bam Adebayo vs. Jarrett Allen (James Harden gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 9 | P. Larsson | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 45 | D. Mitchell | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 8 | D. Schroder | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| F | 4 | E. Mobley | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| C-F | 3 | T. Bryant | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 14 | K. Ellis | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 256.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +192, Cavaliers -194
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 34%
- Cavaliers: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 117-122 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 34%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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