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Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 27, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
128
149
Mar 27, 11:30PM Rocket Arena
Mar 27, 11:30PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 19 | 38 | 21 | 128 |
Cavaliers | 40 | 41 | 24 | 27 | 149 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 19 | 38 | 21 | 128 |
Cavaliers | 40 | 41 | 24 | 27 | 149 |
Q4 00:10 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Riley Minix makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)
Q4 1:02 Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Tyrese Proctor misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:25 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-132
Cavaliers violation
Cavaliers delay of game violation
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Olivier Sarr misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Olivier Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
+3
Riley Minix makes three point jump shot (Larry Nance Jr. assists)
105-132
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Myron Gardner misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
+1
Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Nae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
105-132
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-132
Cavaliers personal foul
Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Keshad Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Tyrese Proctor misses three point jump shot
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
105-132
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
105-132
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-132
Cavaliers turnover
Riley Minix personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Heat personal foul
Larry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point jump shot
105-132
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyrese Proctor personal foul (Myron Gardner draws the foul)
Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Myron Gardner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
Cavaliers turnover
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
Tyrese Proctor personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
+2
Tyrese Proctor makes two point jump shot
105-132
Instant replay (Request)
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes technical free throw 1 of 1
105-132
+1
Tyrese Proctor makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
105-132
Cavaliers lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Tyrese Proctor, Riley Minix, Olivier Sarr, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
+1
Tyrese Proctor makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-132
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running pullup jump shot
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio)
Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Riley Minix, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
105-132
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point alley-oop layup
Thomas Bryant personal foul
Thomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-123
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio)
Thomas Bryant shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-132
Cavaliers lineup change (Tyrese Proctor, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
+3
James Harden makes three point jump shot
105-132
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
105-132
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Heat personal foul
Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+1
James Harden makes technical free throw 1 of 1
105-132
+1
Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
105-132
+1
Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
105-132
Cavaliers personal foul
Max Strus personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Myron Gardner, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-123
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Dennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-132
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)
96-123
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-132
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
105-132
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-132
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
James Harden turnover (bad pass) (Pelle Larsson steals)
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Pelle Larsson turnover (Donovan Mitchell steals)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
101-123
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-123
Heat personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-123
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-123
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-123
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
84-105
Heat 60 second timeout
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
84-105
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Evan Mobley makes two point driving dunk (Sam Merrill assists)
84-105
+3
Keon Ellis makes three point jump shot
84-105
Heat misses three point jump shot
Keon Ellis shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Instant replay
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
101-123
End of 3rd Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
84-105
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
84-105
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Max Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-105
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
84-105
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Thomas Bryant makes two point turnaround hook shot (Max Strus assists)
82-105
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Donovan Mitchell misses two point driving finger roll layup
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-102
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-103
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
82-101
Instant replay
Cavaliers personal foul
Instant replay
Heat 60 second timeout
Dennis Schroder turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-101
Dennis Schroder turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-101
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-101
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-101
Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-100
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-100
Cavaliers turnover
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers violation
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
70-100
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-98
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-98
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
68-98
James Harden defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-95
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-95
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
66-95
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-93
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
63-93
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-91
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-91
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat violation
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-91
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-91
Cavaliers turnover
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
59-91
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
59-89
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-89
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
53-89
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-87
Heat personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-86
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-87
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-84
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-85
James Harden defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
51-83
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
51-81
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-81
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
46-81
End of 1st Half.
Instant replay
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
46-78
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-75
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-75
Max Strus offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-75
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
42-73
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-71
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-71
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-71
James Harden defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-69
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
40-67
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers challenge timeout
Instant replay
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-65
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
39-65
James Harden defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
39-63
Cavaliers personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-61
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
38-61
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-58
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
36-58
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen)
Instant replay
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 1
36-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
36-55
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
36-52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-50
Heat 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
34-50
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-46
Heat personal foul
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
34-47
Heat misses three point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point running jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, Dennis Schroder, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
34-44
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo misses two point running layup
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-42
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-42
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
29-42
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-40
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-40
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
25-40
Heat personal foul
Keon Ellis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
25-37
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
22-37
Max Strus defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-34
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-32
Cavaliers turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-32
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
18-32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-29
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
16-29
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Thomas Bryant, Max Strus, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-27
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
14-27
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
14-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-21
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (James Harden gains possession)
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat challenge timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Max Strus, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley)
Sam Merrill misses two point driving layup
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-21
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-21
Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, James Harden, Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-21
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-21
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-19
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-17
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-16
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-17
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-15
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-15
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
2-13
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-8
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
0-8
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
0-3
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
0-4
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
0-5
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Bam Adebayo vs. Jarrett Allen (James Harden gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 14 | 8 | 1 |
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 15 | M. Gardner | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 35 | N. Tomlin | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F-C | 22 | L. Nance Jr. | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 12 | R. Minix | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| C | 33 | O. Sarr | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 24 | T. Proctor | 6 | 1 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Friday, March 27, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 256.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +192, Cavaliers -194
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 34%
- Cavaliers: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 117-122 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 34%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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