Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Heat
120
103
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Heat
28 35 30 27 120
Cavaliers
19 27 44 13 103
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    >99%
  • Cavaliers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
28 35 30 27 120
Cavaliers
19 27 44 13 103
Q4 00:42 Keon Ellis misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:44 James Harden makes three point jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
Q4 3:00 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:24 James Harden misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:10
    Heat turnover
  3. Q4 00:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  4. Q4 00:39
    James Harden offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:42
    Keon Ellis misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:54
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  7. Q4 00:56
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:58
    Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 1:10
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  10. Q4 1:30
    Heat defensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  12. Q4 1:30
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:45
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  14. Q4 2:08
    Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
  15. Q4 2:08
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-103
  16. Q4 2:08
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-103
  17. Q4 2:14
    Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
  18. Q4 2:44
    +3
    James Harden makes three point jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)
    120-103
  19. Q4 2:57
    Sam Merrill personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  20. Q4 2:57
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  21. Q4 2:57
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-103
  22. Q4 2:57
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-103
  23. Q4 3:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:22
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  25. Q4 3:24
    James Harden misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 3:37
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  27. Q4 3:39
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  28. Q4 3:39
    Donovan Mitchell shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
  29. Q4 3:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  30. Q4 3:39
    Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  31. Q4 3:43
    Evan Mobley turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
  32. Q4 3:50
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  33. Q4 3:50
    Cavaliers personal foul
  34. Q4 3:50
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    120-103
  35. Q4 3:54
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  36. Q4 3:58
    Evan Mobley misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 4:10
    Heat turnover
  38. Q4 4:30
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  39. Q4 4:30
    Donovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)
  40. Q4 4:30
    Donovan Mitchell offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
  41. Q4 4:30
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  42. Q4 4:33
    Keon Ellis offensive rebound
  43. Q4 4:38
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 4:44
    Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
  45. Q4 4:46
    Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 4:54
    Heat turnover
  47. Q4 4:57
    +2
    Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot
    120-103
  48. Q4 5:09
    +3
    Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
    120-103
  49. Q4 5:28
    Kel'el Ware personal foul
  50. Q4 5:28
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:28
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  52. Q4 5:28
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-103
  53. Q4 5:42
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  54. Q4 6:05
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  55. Q4 6:08
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  56. Q4 6:19
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-103
  57. Q4 6:19
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  58. Q4 6:19
    Cavaliers personal foul
  59. Q4 6:19
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-103
  60. Q4 6:19
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  61. Q4 6:20
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  62. Q4 6:23
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  63. Q4 6:25
    Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
  64. Q4 6:28
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 6:42
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)
  66. Q4 6:42
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  67. Q4 6:42
    Dennis Schroder misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 6:42
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  69. Q4 6:42
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  70. Q4 6:58
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    120-103
  71. Q4 7:09
    +2
    Thomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)
    120-103
  72. Q4 7:30
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  73. Q4 7:32
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  74. Q4 7:38
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  75. Q4 7:57
    Heat personal foul
  76. Q4 7:57
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    120-103
  77. Q4 7:57
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  78. Q4 7:57
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    120-103
  79. Q4 7:57
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    120-103
  80. Q4 8:09
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    120-103
  81. Q4 8:25
    Cavaliers turnover
  82. Q4 8:38
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  83. Q4 8:38
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  84. Q4 8:40
    +3
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    93-90
  85. Q4 8:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  86. Q4 8:47
    Donovan Mitchell misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 9:04
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-90
  88. Q4 9:05
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  89. Q4 9:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  90. Q4 9:30
    +1
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-90
  91. Q4 9:30
    Heat personal foul
  92. Q4 9:30
    +1
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-103
  93. Q4 9:38
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  94. Q4 9:40
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
  95. Q4 9:57
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    90-90
  96. Q4 10:09
    Heat turnover
  97. Q4 10:26
    Donovan Mitchell personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  98. Q4 10:26
    Cavaliers turnover
  99. Q4 10:26
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  100. Q4 10:26
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  101. Q4 10:46
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot
    93-90
  102. Q4 10:57
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  103. Q4 11:00
    Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 11:07
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
  105. Q4 11:08
    Tyrese Proctor misses two point running layup
  106. Q4 11:13
    Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Dennis Schroder steals)
  107. Q4 11:25
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    120-103
  108. Q4 11:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    120-103
  109. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  110. Q4 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor)
  111. Q3 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:01
    Pelle Larsson offensive foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)
  114. Q3 00:01
    James Harden turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)
  115. Q3 00:01
    Pelle Larsson turnover (offensive foul)
  116. Q3 00:01
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  117. Q3 00:01
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  118. Q3 00:11
    +3
    Donovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot
    93-90
  119. Q3 00:27
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
  120. Q3 00:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  121. Q3 00:39
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  122. Q3 00:40
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    93-90
  123. Q3 00:49
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  124. Q3 00:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  125. Q3 1:13
    +3
    James Harden makes three point jump shot
    83-77
  126. Q3 1:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    100-95
  127. Q3 1:43
    +2
    Thomas Bryant makes two point jump shot
    100-95
  128. Q3 2:01
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup
    100-95
  129. Q3 2:10
    +2
    Donovan Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    93-90
  130. Q3 2:25
    James Harden defensive rebound
  131. Q3 2:28
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 2:30
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  133. Q3 2:30
    Heat offensive rebound
  134. Q3 2:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  135. Q3 2:33
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  136. Q3 2:36
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 2:51
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
    100-95
  138. Q3 2:57
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  139. Q3 2:59
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  140. Q3 3:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  141. Q3 3:10
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  142. Q3 3:12
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 3:22
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  144. Q3 3:25
    Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  145. Q3 3:46
    Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  146. Q3 3:46
    Thomas Bryant personal foul
  147. Q3 3:46
    Heat offensive rebound
  148. Q3 3:46
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  149. Q3 3:46
    Heat offensive rebound
  150. Q3 3:46
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    100-95
  151. Q3 3:59
    +3
    Donovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot
    93-90
  152. Q3 4:03
    Jump ball. (Dennis Schroder gains possession)
  153. Q3 4:06
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, James Harden)
  154. Q3 4:06
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
  155. Q3 4:06
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, James Harden)
  156. Q3 4:24
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin defensive rebound
  157. Q3 4:26
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  158. Q3 4:34
    Cavaliers turnover
  159. Q3 4:40
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  160. Q3 4:42
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  161. Q3 4:59
    +2
    Keon Ellis makes two point driving finger roll layup (James Harden assists)
    75-67
  162. Q3 5:14
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  163. Q3 5:19
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 5:36
    +2
    Sam Merrill makes two point running layup (Dennis Schroder assists)
    67-53
  165. Q3 5:36
    Heat violation
  166. Q3 5:36
    Heat 60 second timeout
  167. Q3 5:36
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson)
  168. Q3 5:36
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  169. Q3 5:37
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  170. Q3 5:40
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  171. Q3 5:54
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    67-53
  172. Q3 6:03
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  173. Q3 6:05
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 6:25
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  175. Q3 6:27
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  176. Q3 6:48
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-53
  177. Q3 6:48
    Evan Mobley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  178. Q3 6:48
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-83
  179. Q3 6:48
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  180. Q3 7:05
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    67-53
  181. Q3 7:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    83-83
  182. Q3 7:32
    Heat offensive rebound
  183. Q3 7:32
    James Harden personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  184. Q3 7:32
    Instant replay
  185. Q3 7:32
    Heat 60 second timeout
  186. Q3 7:33
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 7:38
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  188. Q3 7:43
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  189. Q3 7:46
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  190. Q3 7:50
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 7:52
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  192. Q3 7:59
    Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
  193. Q3 8:23
    +3
    Sam Merrill makes three point jump shot
    67-53
  194. Q3 8:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    67-53
  195. Q3 8:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    67-53
  196. Q3 9:03
    Cavaliers personal foul
  197. Q3 9:03
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-53
  198. Q3 9:03
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-53
  199. Q3 9:07
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  200. Q3 9:09
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  201. Q3 9:26
    Davion Mitchell turnover (Keon Ellis steals)
  202. Q3 9:42
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    67-53
  203. Q3 9:47
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  204. Q3 9:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 9:55
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  206. Q3 9:59
    Keon Ellis misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 10:13
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    67-50
  208. Q3 10:31
    +2
    Evan Mobley makes two point driving layup (Sam Merrill assists)
    67-50
  209. Q3 10:40
    Heat personal foul
  210. Q3 10:51
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    65-48
  211. Q3 11:02
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  212. Q3 11:04
    Evan Mobley misses two point turnaround jump shot
  213. Q3 11:13
    Jump ball. Evan Mobley vs. Andrew Wiggins (Cavaliers gains possession)
  214. Q3 11:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  215. Q3 11:27
    Norman Powell misses two point turnaround hook shot
  216. Q3 11:28
    James Harden defensive rebound
  217. Q3 11:46
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    67-53
  218. Q2 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  219. Q2 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  220. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  221. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  222. Q2 00:04
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    63-46
  223. Q2 00:21
    Cavaliers personal foul
  224. Q2 00:21
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-44
  225. Q2 00:21
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-44
  226. Q2 00:21
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  227. Q2 00:35
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    61-44
  228. Q2 00:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  229. Q2 00:48
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
  230. Q2 1:00
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    61-41
  231. Q2 1:06
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  232. Q2 1:08
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  233. Q2 1:22
    James Harden defensive rebound
  234. Q2 1:24
    Cavaliers personal foul
  235. Q2 1:24
    +1
    Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-41
  236. Q2 1:24
    Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  237. Q2 1:34
    Heat personal foul
  238. Q2 1:34
    Instant replay
  239. Q2 1:34
    Heat 60 second timeout
  240. Q2 1:34
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  241. Q2 1:34
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    57-39
  242. Q2 1:34
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo)
  243. Q2 1:34
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    57-40
  244. Q2 1:34
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    57-41
  245. Q2 1:40
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  246. Q2 1:43
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  247. Q2 2:02
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    57-38
  248. Q2 2:16
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    57-36
  249. Q2 2:26
    Heat offensive rebound
  250. Q2 2:26
    Cavaliers personal foul
  251. Q2 2:27
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 2:32
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  253. Q2 2:35
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  254. Q2 2:44
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  255. Q2 2:49
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  256. Q2 3:03
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    55-36
  257. Q2 3:17
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    52-35
  258. Q2 3:17
    Heat personal foul
  259. Q2 3:17
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    52-36
  260. Q2 3:34
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    52-33
  261. Q2 3:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    49-33
  262. Q2 3:50
    James Harden defensive rebound
  263. Q2 3:52
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  264. Q2 3:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 3:56
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 4:19
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    49-31
  267. Q2 4:27
    Heat turnover
  268. Q2 4:41
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  269. Q2 4:43
    Heat personal foul
  270. Q2 4:43
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  271. Q2 4:43
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  272. Q2 4:43
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  273. Q2 4:43
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor, James Harden)
  274. Q2 4:55
    Keon Ellis defensive rebound
  275. Q2 4:58
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 5:05
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  277. Q2 5:08
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 5:21
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    49-29
  279. Q2 5:25
    Cavaliers turnover
  280. Q2 5:44
    James Harden defensive rebound
  281. Q2 5:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  282. Q2 5:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  283. Q2 6:03
    Heat 60 second timeout
  284. Q2 6:07
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    47-29
  285. Q2 6:25
    Heat personal foul
  286. Q2 6:25
    Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
  287. Q2 6:25
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Keon Ellis, Tyrese Proctor, James Harden)
  288. Q2 6:30
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  289. Q2 6:33
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  290. Q2 6:44
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  291. Q2 6:47
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  292. Q2 6:55
    James Harden defensive rebound
  293. Q2 7:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 7:14
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  295. Q2 7:19
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 7:36
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    47-27
  297. Q2 7:44
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  298. Q2 7:46
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  299. Q2 7:50
    James Harden turnover (lost ball)
  300. Q2 8:04
    Heat personal foul
  301. Q2 8:04
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-26
  302. Q2 8:04
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  303. Q2 8:04
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  304. Q2 8:04
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-27
  305. Q2 8:21
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    45-25
  306. Q2 8:24
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  307. Q2 8:27
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 8:46
    Cavaliers personal foul
  309. Q2 8:46
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    41-25
  310. Q2 8:46
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  311. Q2 8:46
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  312. Q2 8:46
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-25
  313. Q2 8:48
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  314. Q2 8:52
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  315. Q2 9:02
    Cavaliers personal foul
  316. Q2 9:02
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-25
  317. Q2 9:02
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-25
  318. Q2 9:02
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis)
  319. Q2 9:08
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  320. Q2 9:10
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 9:22
    Sam Merrill defensive rebound
  322. Q2 9:24
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    38-25
  323. Q2 9:24
    Cavaliers personal foul
  324. Q2 9:24
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  325. Q2 9:28
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    36-25
  326. Q2 9:41
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    36-23
  327. Q2 9:51
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  328. Q2 9:53
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  329. Q2 10:05
    Heat violation
  330. Q2 10:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    33-23
  331. Q2 10:27
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    31-23
  332. Q2 10:49
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    31-21
  333. Q2 11:09
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  334. Q2 11:12
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 11:23
    Heat turnover
  336. Q2 11:42
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    28-21
  337. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  338. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  339. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  340. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin)
  341. Q1 00:03
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    28-19
  342. Q1 00:23
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    25-19
  343. Q1 00:41
    Heat turnover
  344. Q1 00:48
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  345. Q1 00:50
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  346. Q1 1:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    24-17
  347. Q1 1:06
    Cavaliers personal foul
  348. Q1 1:06
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    25-17
  349. Q1 1:15
    Heat personal foul
  350. Q1 1:15
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-16
  351. Q1 1:15
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-17
  352. Q1 1:31
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  353. Q1 1:33
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  354. Q1 1:44
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  355. Q1 1:48
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  356. Q1 2:00
    Heat violation
  357. Q1 2:09
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    22-15
  358. Q1 2:21
    Cavaliers personal foul
  359. Q1 2:21
    Thomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
  360. Q1 2:28
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  361. Q1 2:32
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  362. Q1 2:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  363. Q1 2:43
    Cavaliers personal foul
  364. Q1 2:43
    Heat 60 second timeout
  365. Q1 2:43
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  366. Q1 2:45
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  367. Q1 2:48
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  368. Q1 3:04
    Heat turnover
  369. Q1 3:08
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  370. Q1 3:10
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  371. Q1 3:28
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    19-15
  372. Q1 3:43
    Heat personal foul
  373. Q1 3:43
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-14
  374. Q1 3:43
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-15
  375. Q1 3:47
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  376. Q1 3:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  377. Q1 3:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  378. Q1 4:05
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin personal foul
  379. Q1 4:05
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  380. Q1 4:05
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  381. Q1 4:05
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  382. Q1 4:05
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, James Harden)
  383. Q1 4:05
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Kel'el Ware)
  384. Q1 4:05
    Cavaliers lineup change (Donovan Mitchell, Dennis Schroder, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, James Harden)
  385. Q1 4:07
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  386. Q1 4:09
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  387. Q1 4:09
    Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
  388. Q1 4:13
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  389. Q1 4:23
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  390. Q1 4:25
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  391. Q1 4:38
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    16-13
  392. Q1 4:57
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  393. Q1 4:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  394. Q1 5:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 5:00
    Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)
  396. Q1 5:14
    Heat personal foul
  397. Q1 5:14
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    16-8
  398. Q1 5:14
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    16-9
  399. Q1 5:14
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
  400. Q1 5:14
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    16-10
  401. Q1 5:39
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    16-7
  402. Q1 6:00
    Cavaliers turnover
  403. Q1 6:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Dennis Schroder, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  404. Q1 6:04
    Heat turnover
  405. Q1 6:28
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    13-7
  406. Q1 6:52
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  407. Q1 6:52
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Keon Ellis, James Harden)
  408. Q1 6:53
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    13-4
  409. Q1 7:03
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    10-4
  410. Q1 7:06
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  411. Q1 7:08
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  412. Q1 7:20
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  413. Q1 7:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 7:29
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  415. Q1 7:31
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  416. Q1 7:43
    Heat personal foul
  417. Q1 8:05
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    10-2
  418. Q1 8:11
    Cavaliers turnover
  419. Q1 8:17
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  420. Q1 8:19
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  421. Q1 8:30
    Cavaliers personal foul
  422. Q1 8:38
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    8-2
  423. Q1 8:55
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    8-0
  424. Q1 9:06
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  425. Q1 9:09
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 9:19
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 9:19
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  428. Q1 9:19
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  429. Q1 9:20
    James Harden defensive rebound
  430. Q1 9:22
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  431. Q1 9:30
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  432. Q1 9:33
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  433. Q1 9:40
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  434. Q1 9:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  435. Q1 9:54
    Cavaliers turnover
  436. Q1 10:15
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    5-0
  437. Q1 10:25
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  438. Q1 10:28
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 10:37
    Heat personal foul
  440. Q1 10:44
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  441. Q1 10:46
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 11:07
    Heat defensive rebound
  443. Q1 11:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  444. Q1 11:08
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  445. Q1 11:34
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    2-0
Box Score
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Heat vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat 44¢, Cavaliers 56¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 44%
  • Cavaliers: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 120-121 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 44%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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