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Thunder vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Wizards NBA game on March 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
132
111
Mar 21, 9PM Capital One Arena
Mar 21, 9PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 36 | 34 | 29 | 132 |
Wizards | 32 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 111 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 33 | 36 | 34 | 29 | 132 |
Wizards | 32 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 111 |
Q4 00:13 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
132-111
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
132-109
Wizards personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
130-107
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
131-107
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
132-107
Jaden Hardy offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
129-107
Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-105
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-105
Wizards turnover
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards turnover
Wizards violation
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder violation
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
127-105
Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
125-105
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
123-105
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-103
Wizards violation
Wizards turnover
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
121-103
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
119-103
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
119-101
Wizards personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-99
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
118-99
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
118-96
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
116-96
Wizards personal foul
Jared McCain misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
114-96
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-96
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-96
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Tristan Vukcevic offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
110-96
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Will Riley, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
Wizards violation
Wizards personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
108-96
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-96
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Wizards violation
Wizards personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
103-96
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
100-96
Tristan Vukcevic offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
100-93
Wizards turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-93
Wizards turnover
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-93
Wizards personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
93-92
Thunder personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-93
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-90
Thunder personal foul
Tristan Vukcevic misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Wizards offensive rebound
Tristan Vukcevic misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Tristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
91-90
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-89
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
90-89
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
90-87
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-85
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards personal foul
Tristan Vukcevic turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-85
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Bilal Coulibaly, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Brooks Barnhizer)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
87-85
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-83
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
85-83
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-80
Wizards personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-80
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill, Tristan Vukcevic)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
82-80
Thunder turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
82-77
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip dunk
82-75
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Wizards turnover
Thunder turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Wizards violation
Wizards 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Alex Sarr turnover (offensive goaltending)
Thunder turnover
Wizards personal foul
Alex Sarr turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-75
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-75
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-75
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
73-75
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point tip layup
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-71
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-72
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-70
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-70
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
69-70
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
69-68
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-65
Jamir Watkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Jamir Watkins)
Wizards personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-64
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
68-63
Stoppage (Other)
Instant replay
Wizards personal foul
Jaylin Williams technical foul (Double)
Wizards personal foul
Jaylin Williams technical foul (Double)
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Bub Carrington makes technical free throw 1 of 1
68-64
Bub Carrington misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Thunder defensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Justin Champagnie ejected from the game (Other)
Jaylin Williams ejected from the game (Other)
Cason Wallace ejected from the game (Other)
Ajay Mitchell ejected from the game (Other)
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-61
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-61
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-61
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-60
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-61
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-59
Wizards turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
62-59
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-59
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-59
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Wizards violation
Wizards personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
57-59
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-59
Wizards personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
57-59
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
54-59
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-55
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-56
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Will Riley)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Thunder turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
54-54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-52
Wizards turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
52-52
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-50
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
50-50
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
50-47
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
50-44
Thunder turnover
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Wizards turnover
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Jaden Hardy, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-42
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-42
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-42
Wizards turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-42
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Will Riley, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
39-42
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
39-39
Wizards violation
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
36-39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-36
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
35-36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-34
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-33
+1
Jamir Watkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-34
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe)
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-32
Tristan Vukcevic offensive rebound
+2
Tristan Vukcevic makes two point jump shot
31-32
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-30
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
28-29
Thunder personal foul
+1
Anthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-30
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-27
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-27
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
23-27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-24
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill, Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Tristan Vukcevic)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-24
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
20-24
Thunder personal foul
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Wizards violation
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bub Carrington, Bilal Coulibaly, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins)
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)
20-21
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-19
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
17-19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-16
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
15-16
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
15-13
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
15-10
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
15-8
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-6
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-6
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
11-6
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point jump shot
11-4
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
9-4
Thunder personal foul
Bub Carrington misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-2
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-2
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-2
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-2
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-2
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
0-2
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
(Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 9 | 4 | 3 |
| G-F | 34 | K. Williams | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 3 | J. McCain | 18 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 23 | B. Barnhizer | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | A. Gill | 13 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 0 | B. Coulibaly | 21 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 13 | S. Cooper | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| G | 7 | B. Carrington | 19 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 8 | J. Hardy | 10 | 1 | 2 |
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Thunder vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Wizards
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -21
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -2800, Wizards +2400
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 94%
- Wizards: 6%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 125-106 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 94%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 6%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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