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Spurs vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Kings NBA game on March 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
132
104
Mar 18, 2AM Golden 1 Center
Mar 18, 2AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 39 | 39 | 34 | 20 | 132 |
Kings | 22 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 39 | 39 | 34 | 20 | 132 |
Kings | 22 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 104 |
Q4 00:14 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Kings misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
132-104
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
132-102
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
129-102
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
129-99
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
129-97
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
129-95
Kings turnover
Kings personal foul
Bismack Biyombo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Bismack Biyombo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
127-95
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Kings personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Kings violation
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott)
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott)
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-95
Kings misses two point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Dylan Cardwell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Dylan Cardwell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-95
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-94
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-94
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Kings turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Maxime Raynaud misses three point jump shot
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
121-93
Spurs personal foul
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 1
121-94
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Lindy Waters III)
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
121-90
Lindy Waters III offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
119-90
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Kings 60 second timeout
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Precious Achiuwa)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
119-88
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
119-86
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Daeqwon Plowden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Kelly Olynyk, Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Lindy Waters III)
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Precious Achiuwa, Doug McDermott)
Daeqwon Plowden misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Doug McDermott defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
119-83
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
119-81
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
117-81
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
114-81
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Doug McDermott misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Kings turnover
Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Dylan Cardwell misses three point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Daeqwon Plowden, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
112-81
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
109-81
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
106-81
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
106-78
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
106-76
Spurs turnover
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
106-74
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-72
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-72
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
104-72
Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
104-69
Kings 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
Kings lineup change (Dylan Cardwell, Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Doug McDermott)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
104-66
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
101-66
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
98-66
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
98-64
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
95-64
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
96-62
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
93-62
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
93-60
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
90-59
Spurs personal foul
+1
Precious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 1
90-60
Kings misses two point jump shot
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
90-57
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-53
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-54
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa)
Precious Achiuwa offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julian Champagnie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
90-52
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
87-52
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-49
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
85-49
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
85-47
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
82-47
Kings 60 second timeout
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
80-47
End of 1st Half.
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point hook shot
78-47
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Nique Clifford misses three point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Daeqwon Plowden misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Daeqwon Plowden draws the foul)
+2
Daeqwon Plowden makes two point layup (Nique Clifford assists)
78-47
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
78-47
+2
Nique Clifford makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
74-45
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point reverse layup
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Luke Kornet personal foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-45
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
74-42
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
74-42
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
71-39
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
71-39
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
71-39
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
71-39
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
71-39
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
71-39
Maxime Raynaud shooting foul (Carter Bryant draws the foul)
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-39
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-39
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)
71-39
Luke Kornet turnover (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Russell Westbrook makes two point floating jump shot
60-29
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Precious Achiuwa blocks Stephon Castle's two point jump shot
Daeqwon Plowden turnover
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
Kings lineup change (Daeqwon Plowden, Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa)
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Lindy Waters III makes three point jump shot
60-31
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Carter Bryant makes two point jump shot
60-31
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Doug McDermott misses three point jump shot
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Maxime Raynaud personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Precious Achiuwa personal foul
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa, Doug McDermott)
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)
71-39
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Maxime Raynaud, Russell Westbrook, Precious Achiuwa, Doug McDermott)
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 43 | L. Waters III | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| F-C | 8 | K. Olynyk | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 0 | J. McLaughlin | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| C | 18 | B. Biyombo | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 11 | C. Bryant | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 42 | M. Raynaud | 32 | 9 | 3 |
| F | 7 | D. McDermott | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| G | 5 | N. Clifford | 15 | 8 | 6 |
| C | 32 | D. Cardwell | 7 | 8 | 2 |
| G | 3 | K. Hayes | 7 | 3 | 5 |
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Spurs vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Kings
- Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Golden 1 Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -681, Kings +669
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 84%
- Kings: 16%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 122-110 Kings.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 84%, while the Kings have a win probability of 16%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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