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Warriors vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Wizards NBA game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
121
115
Mar 16, 11PM Capital One Arena
Mar 16, 11PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 34 | 30 | 53 | 4 | 121 |
Wizards | 23 | 34 | 53 | 5 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 34 | 30 | 53 | 4 | 121 |
Wizards | 23 | 34 | 53 | 5 | 115 |
Q4 00:12 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Will Riley misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:01 Wizards makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:14 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:26 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Julian Reese offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
121-115
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Bilal Coulibaly personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Warriors personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
121-115
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-115
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly turnover (Brandin Podziemski steals)
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards personal foul
Warriors offensive rebound
Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards turnover
Will Richard personal foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-115
+1
Julian Reese makes regular free throw 1 of 1
121-115
Brandin Podziemski shooting foul (Julian Reese draws the foul)
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot (Julian Reese assists)
121-115
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Will Richard)
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot
121-115
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-115
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Will Riley personal foul
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-115
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-115
Anthony Gill turnover
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot
Jaden Hardy personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Bilal Coulibaly makes three point jump shot (Julian Reese assists)
121-115
Will Riley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
121-115
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
121-115
Draymond Green turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Julian Reese misses two point jump shot
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-95
Anthony Gill shooting foul (Pat Spencer draws the foul)
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-98
+3
Tristan Vukcevic makes three point running jump shot (Will Riley assists)
121-115
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Julian Reese)
De'Anthony Melton turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
121-115
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-92
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Wizards personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Wizards personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-115
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
+2
Will Riley makes two point running finger roll layup (Anthony Gill assists)
107-98
Draymond Green turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
104-92
Gui Santos offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
117-110
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Will Riley misses three point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
101-88
Warriors personal foul
+1
Tristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-87
+1
Tristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-110
Brandin Podziemski turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Tristan Vukcevic misses three point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Gui Santos)
Wizards lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Tristan Vukcevic)
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
+1
Sharife Cooper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-85
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
+1
Sharife Cooper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-110
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Wizards turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
98-84
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
95-84
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Sharife Cooper misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Pat Spencer makes three point jump shot
98-84
Pat Spencer misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Omer Yurtseven, Pat Spencer)
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Tristan Vukcevic misses three point jump shot
+2
Malevy Leons makes two point jump shot
95-84
Malevy Leons offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Tristan Vukcevic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Tristan Vukcevic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-82
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-81
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
88-81
Warriors turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
88-79
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-76
Wizards turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
86-76
Warriors 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Tristan Vukcevic)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
84-76
Warriors turnover
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes technical free throw 1 of 1
84-74
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bilal Coulibaly, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Julian Reese)
Bub Carrington ejected from the game (Other)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
83-74
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Bub Carrington, Julian Reese)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-72
Pat Spencer offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Tre Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-72
Tre Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Sharife Cooper, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Julian Reese)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-71
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-71
Julian Reese offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
79-71
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Will Riley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
79-69
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-67
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Julian Reese)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
Trae Young turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
77-67
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
75-67
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
75-65
Warriors turnover
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
75-62
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Trae Young turnover (bad pass) (Draymond Green steals)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
73-62
Wizards personal foul
Bilal Coulibaly turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors turnover
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
70-62
Wizards turnover
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
68-61
Warriors personal foul
+1
Julian Reese makes regular free throw 1 of 1
68-62
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
68-59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
66-59
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
66-57
Wizards misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Julian Reese, Trae Young)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-57
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Omer Yurtseven)
+1
Omer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-57
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-57
Will Riley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Will Riley offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Trae Young defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Malevy Leons turnover (lost ball)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
62-56
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Omer Yurtseven, Pat Spencer)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-54
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Wizards turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
61-54
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-54
Trae Young offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
57-54
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
56-52
Wizards personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
+1
Gary Payton II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
57-52
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
54-52
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
54-49
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
54-46
Warriors violation
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
52-46
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Trae Young misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-42
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-43
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
52-41
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
50-41
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
50-39
Wizards turnover
Wizards offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Gary Payton II turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
48-39
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
48-37
Wizards personal foul
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Richard misses two point cutting layup
Trae Young defensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
46-37
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Will Riley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
46-34
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
44-31
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards violation
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Anthony Gill, Will Riley, Trae Young)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
44-29
Warriors turnover
Will Richard defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Tristan Vukcevic, Trae Young)
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Nate Williams offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes technical free throw 1 of 1
44-27
Jump ball. (De'Anthony Melton gains possession)
Tristan Vukcevic turnover (lost ball)
Wizards lineup change (Bilal Coulibaly, Jamir Watkins, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Tristan Vukcevic)
Wizards 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
43-27
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
41-27
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Sharife Cooper turnover
Bub Carrington offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Tristan Vukcevic)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Anthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-24
+1
Anthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-25
Warriors lineup change (Malevy Leons, De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
39-23
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
36-23
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Draymond Green, Gui Santos, Nate Williams, Pat Spencer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
34-23
Wizards turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-23
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
30-23
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
Wizards turnover
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
28-23
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
25-23
Warriors turnover
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes technical free throw 1 of 1
24-21
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-21
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
23-21
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski, Malevy Leons, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Bub Carrington, Tristan Vukcevic)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
23-19
Wizards turnover
Warriors turnover
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-18
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-19
Wizards personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-17
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-17
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Jamir Watkins, Anthony Gill, Bub Carrington, Trae Young)
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Anthony Gill, Bub Carrington, Julian Reese, Trae Young)
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Malevy Leons, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
18-17
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
16-17
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Gui Santos, Pat Spencer)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
16-15
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
16-13
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Julian Reese, Trae Young)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
13-13
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
13-10
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
11-10
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard, Pat Spencer)
Wizards turnover
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green misses two point tip layup
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
9-10
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
7-10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton, Gary Payton II, Draymond Green, Will Richard)
Julian Reese defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Wizards violation
Warriors personal foul
Bilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-7
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
7-6
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Trae Young defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Julian Reese turnover (offensive foul)
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
5-6
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
5-4
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Warriors personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-3
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-4
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
3-2
+2
Will Riley makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jump ball. (Wizards gains possession)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bilal Coulibaly, Will Riley, Julian Reese, Trae Young)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 18 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 2 | B. Podziemski | 10 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 8 | D. Melton | 27 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 0 | G. Payton II | 15 | 6 | 2 |
| F-C | 7 | K. Porzingis | 30 | 5 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 27 | W. Riley | 21 | 4 | 5 |
| F | 16 | A. Gill | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| C | 15 | J. Reese | 12 | 6 | 1 |
| F | 0 | B. Coulibaly | 21 | 8 | 4 |
| G | 8 | J. Hardy | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Warriors vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Wizards
- Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors -300, Wizards +250
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 72%
- Wizards: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 120-113 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 72%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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