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Mavericks vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Pelicans NBA game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
129
Mar 17, 12AM Smoothie King Center
Mar 17, 12AM Smoothie King Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 26 | 33 | 29 | 23 | 111 |
Pelicans | 32 | 37 | 36 | 24 | 129 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 26 | 33 | 29 | 23 | 111 |
Pelicans | 32 | 37 | 36 | 24 | 129 |
Q4 00:08 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54 AJ Johnson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
Q4 00:59 AJ Johnson blocks Derik Queen's two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:15 Ryan Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:23 Jordan Hawkins makes three point running pullup jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
Q4 1:25 Derik Queen blocks AJ Johnson's two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Tyler Smith defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Micah Peavy offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Micah Peavy misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Micah Peavy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
John Poulakidas shooting foul (Jordan Hawkins draws the foul)
+1
Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-129
+1
Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-129
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
AJ Johnson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
111-127
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
AJ Johnson blocks Derik Queen's two point pullup jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Jordan Hawkins makes three point running pullup jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
111-127
Micah Peavy defensive rebound
Derik Queen blocks AJ Johnson's two point jump shot
Micah Peavy turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Tyler Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-129
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Hawkins, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Micah Peavy)
Tyler Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-129
Derik Queen turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Smith steals)
Mavericks turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones)
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-129
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-129
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
John Poulakidas misses three point jump shot
+3
Karlo Matkovic makes three point jump shot
111-129
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-129
Herbert Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
John Poulakidas defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Mavericks lineup change (AJ Johnson, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Tyler Smith)
AJ Johnson defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
AJ Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Karlo Matkovic steals)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Tyler Smith)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-129
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
104-119
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Trey Murphy III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-129
Pelicans offensive rebound
Naji Marshall personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
88-105
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Marvin Bagley III personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround jump shot
88-105
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Marvin Bagley III)
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
111-129
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point cutting layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)
88-105
Marvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
88-105
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point tip layup
88-105
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
Saddiq Bey shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-105
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones)
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup
88-105
Pelicans personal foul
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
88-105
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
John Poulakidas personal foul
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
88-105
Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
88-105
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
88-105
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Marvin Bagley III makes two point jump shot
88-105
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jeremiah Fears makes two point cutting layup (Derik Queen assists)
111-129
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
88-105
Jordan Poole personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
88-105
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-105
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-105
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton personal foul
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
111-129
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
111-129
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans defensive rebound
Jordan Poole blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving layup
Pelicans turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
111-129
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
Pelicans turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
80-96
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-96
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
111-127
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
111-127
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
111-127
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
108-124
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
108-124
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
108-124
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)
73-86
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses two point driving layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
106-122
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
106-122
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
Mavericks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
106-122
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
88-105
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
AJ Johnson shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-105
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
88-105
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
Ryan Nembhard turnover
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
66-81
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
66-81
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-105
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
+3
Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
66-81
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
63-73
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)
80-96
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-96
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-96
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
80-96
Mavericks turnover
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point running finger roll layup (Trey Murphy III assists)
59-69
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Trey Murphy III steals)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
66-81
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
80-96
Mavericks offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III blocks Cooper Flagg's three point pullup jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)
59-69
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
54-65
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
59-69
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
52-65
+3
Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)
54-67
Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Herbert Jones blocks Ryan Nembhard's two point driving layup
Naji Marshall shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-61
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-62
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
+3
John Poulakidas makes three point running jump shot
47-60
Pelicans turnover
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
44-60
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
47-62
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
47-62
Zion Williamson shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-60
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-60
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jordan Poole shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-56
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
40-56
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
59-69
Jump ball. Marvin Bagley III (Jordan Poole gains possession)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Instant replay
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Jordan Poole's three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-52
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
39-51
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson)
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-49
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-48
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
39-47
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
37-47
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
37-43
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-44
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-41
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
35-41
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
Mavericks turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
35-39
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
35-36
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
32-36
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
29-36
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
29-34
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
29-32
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
26-32
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Jeremiah Fears turnover (offensive foul)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
John Poulakidas defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
26-30
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-29
+1
Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-30
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
24-28
Pelicans personal foul
Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-26
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
23-25
Mavericks personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-26
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
23-23
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-19
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-20
Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
23-18
Mavericks turnover
Pelicans personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
23-15
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
23-13
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
Pelicans turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
21-13
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
18-13
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
18-11
Pelicans turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
16-11
Pelicans turnover
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
14-11
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
14-9
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
12-9
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
9-9
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Yves Missi assists)
6-9
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | J. Poulakidas | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| F-C | 7 | D. Powell | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 9 | R. Nembhard | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 8 | A. Johnson | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 23 | T. Smith | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-C | 17 | K. Matkovic | 13 | 10 | 1 |
| G | 0 | J. Fears | 17 | 6 | 5 |
| C | 22 | D. Queen | 9 | 6 | 2 |
| G-F | 14 | M. Peavy | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 24 | J. Hawkins | 5 | 2 | 0 |
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Mavericks vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Pelicans
- Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Smoothie King Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pelicans favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +270, Pelicans -325
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 26%
- Pelicans: 74%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 116-123 Pelicans.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 26%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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