Mavericks vs. Pelicans Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Pelicans NBA game on March 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Mavericks
111
129
Smoothie King Center
Pelicans
Smoothie King Center
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
26 33 29 23 111
Pelicans
32 37 36 24 129
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mavericks
    <1%
  • Pelicans
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
26 33 29 23 111
Pelicans
32 37 36 24 129
Q4 00:08 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54 AJ Johnson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
Q4 00:59 AJ Johnson blocks Derik Queen's two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:15 Ryan Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:23 Jordan Hawkins makes three point running pullup jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
Q4 1:25 Derik Queen blocks AJ Johnson's two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:06
    Tyler Smith defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:08
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:08
    Micah Peavy offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:08
    Mavericks personal foul
  6. Q4 00:08
    Micah Peavy misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  7. Q4 00:08
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:08
    Micah Peavy misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  9. Q4 00:13
    Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:16
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 00:22
    Dwight Powell offensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:26
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 00:37
    John Poulakidas shooting foul (Jordan Hawkins draws the foul)
  14. Q4 00:37
    +1
    Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-129
  15. Q4 00:37
    +1
    Jordan Hawkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-129
  16. Q4 00:45
    Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
  17. Q4 00:49
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 00:54
    +2
    AJ Johnson makes two point running alley-oop layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    111-127
  19. Q4 00:55
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  20. Q4 00:59
    AJ Johnson blocks Derik Queen's two point pullup jump shot
  21. Q4 1:12
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:15
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  23. Q4 1:23
    +3
    Jordan Hawkins makes three point running pullup jump shot (Micah Peavy assists)
    111-127
  24. Q4 1:23
    Micah Peavy defensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:25
    Derik Queen blocks AJ Johnson's two point jump shot
  26. Q4 1:34
    Micah Peavy turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  27. Q4 1:42
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  28. Q4 1:45
    Pelicans personal foul
  29. Q4 1:45
    +1
    Tyler Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-129
  30. Q4 1:45
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Hawkins, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Micah Peavy)
  31. Q4 1:45
    Tyler Smith misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  32. Q4 1:48
    AJ Johnson defensive rebound
  33. Q4 1:52
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 2:12
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-129
  35. Q4 2:16
    Derik Queen turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Smith steals)
  36. Q4 2:30
    Mavericks turnover
  37. Q4 2:44
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones)
  38. Q4 2:44
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  39. Q4 2:44
    Mavericks personal foul
  40. Q4 2:44
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-129
  41. Q4 2:44
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-129
  42. Q4 2:45
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 2:51
    Pelicans turnover
  44. Q4 2:57
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  45. Q4 3:01
    John Poulakidas misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 3:12
    +3
    Karlo Matkovic makes three point jump shot
    111-129
  47. Q4 3:34
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-129
  48. Q4 3:46
    Herbert Jones personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
  49. Q4 3:46
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  50. Q4 3:47
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 3:55
    John Poulakidas defensive rebound
  52. Q4 3:58
    Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
  53. Q4 4:10
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:13
    Tyler Smith misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 4:19
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  56. Q4 4:21
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 4:43
    Karlo Matkovic personal foul
  58. Q4 4:43
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  59. Q4 4:43
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  60. Q4 4:43
    Mavericks lineup change (AJ Johnson, John Poulakidas, Ryan Nembhard, Dwight Powell, Tyler Smith)
  61. Q4 4:46
    AJ Johnson defensive rebound
  62. Q4 4:49
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 4:49
    AJ Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Karlo Matkovic steals)
  64. Q4 4:59
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  65. Q4 4:59
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg, Dwight Powell, Tyler Smith)
  66. Q4 4:59
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  67. Q4 4:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  68. Q4 5:01
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  69. Q4 5:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-129
  70. Q4 5:39
    +2
    Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
    104-119
  71. Q4 5:55
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  72. Q4 5:59
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 6:12
    Mavericks personal foul
  74. Q4 6:12
    Trey Murphy III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  75. Q4 6:12
    +1
    Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-129
  76. Q4 6:12
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  77. Q4 6:16
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  78. Q4 6:25
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  79. Q4 6:30
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  80. Q4 6:35
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  81. Q4 6:38
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    88-105
  82. Q4 6:38
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  83. Q4 6:38
    Marvin Bagley III personal foul
  84. Q4 6:38
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Cooper Flagg)
  85. Q4 6:54
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point turnaround jump shot
    88-105
  86. Q4 7:02
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  87. Q4 7:03
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  88. Q4 7:15
    Pelicans personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
  89. Q4 7:15
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Marvin Bagley III)
  90. Q4 7:18
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  91. Q4 7:23
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 7:27
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  93. Q4 7:29
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  94. Q4 7:42
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    111-129
  95. Q4 7:57
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point cutting layup (Marvin Bagley III assists)
    88-105
  96. Q4 7:57
    Marvin Bagley III misses two point tip layup
  97. Q4 7:57
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  98. Q4 7:57
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  99. Q4 7:57
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  100. Q4 7:57
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  101. Q4 7:57
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  102. Q4 8:00
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  103. Q4 8:15
    Derik Queen turnover (offensive foul)
  104. Q4 8:15
    Pelicans personal foul
  105. Q4 8:15
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  106. Q4 8:15
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  107. Q4 8:25
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  108. Q4 8:30
    +2
    Saddiq Bey makes two point tip layup
    88-105
  109. Q4 8:30
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  110. Q4 8:34
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  111. Q4 8:52
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
  112. Q4 8:52
    Saddiq Bey shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  113. Q4 8:52
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  114. Q4 8:52
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-105
  115. Q4 8:52
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Herbert Jones)
  116. Q4 8:52
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  117. Q4 8:57
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  118. Q4 9:01
    Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
  119. Q4 9:05
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  120. Q4 9:08
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  121. Q4 9:19
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  122. Q4 9:22
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  123. Q4 9:38
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point driving layup
    88-105
  124. Q4 9:46
    Pelicans personal foul
  125. Q4 9:55
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  126. Q4 9:57
    Mavericks personal foul
  127. Q4 9:57
    Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  128. Q4 9:57
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  129. Q4 9:57
    Jeremiah Fears misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  130. Q4 10:02
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  131. Q4 10:08
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  132. Q4 10:11
    John Poulakidas personal foul
  133. Q4 10:11
    +2
    Jordan Poole makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jeremiah Fears assists)
    88-105
  134. Q4 10:11
    Jordan Poole misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  135. Q4 10:14
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  136. Q4 10:16
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  137. Q4 10:42
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    88-105
  138. Q4 11:00
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
    88-105
  139. Q4 11:04
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  140. Q4 11:06
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  141. Q4 11:20
    +2
    Marvin Bagley III makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  142. Q4 11:22
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  143. Q4 11:23
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  144. Q4 11:35
    +2
    Jeremiah Fears makes two point cutting layup (Derik Queen assists)
    111-129
  145. Q4 11:39
    Derik Queen offensive rebound
  146. Q4 11:42
    Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
  147. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  148. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
  149. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  150. Q3 00:01
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  151. Q3 00:08
    Jordan Poole personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  152. Q3 00:26
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    88-105
  153. Q3 00:28
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  154. Q3 00:30
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  155. Q3 00:46
    Mavericks personal foul
  156. Q3 00:46
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-105
  157. Q3 00:46
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-105
  158. Q3 00:50
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  159. Q3 00:54
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  160. Q3 00:59
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  161. Q3 1:03
    Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 1:14
    Khris Middleton personal foul
  163. Q3 1:23
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  164. Q3 1:26
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  165. Q3 1:32
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    111-129
  166. Q3 1:50
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
    111-129
  167. Q3 1:56
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  168. Q3 1:59
    Jeremiah Fears misses two point jump shot
  169. Q3 2:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  170. Q3 2:12
    Pelicans defensive rebound
  171. Q3 2:19
    Jordan Poole blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving layup
  172. Q3 2:24
    Pelicans turnover
  173. Q3 2:38
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
    111-129
  174. Q3 2:38
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  175. Q3 2:38
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
  176. Q3 2:38
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  177. Q3 2:38
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
  178. Q3 2:38
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
  179. Q3 2:42
    Pelicans turnover
  180. Q3 2:55
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    80-96
  181. Q3 3:13
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    78-96
  182. Q3 3:16
    Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
  183. Q3 3:18
    Karlo Matkovic misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 3:24
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  185. Q3 3:26
    Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 3:35
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    111-127
  187. Q3 3:49
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-127
  188. Q3 4:02
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    111-127
  189. Q3 4:23
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    108-124
  190. Q3 4:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    108-124
  191. Q3 4:30
    Mavericks personal foul
  192. Q3 4:30
    +1
    Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    108-124
  193. Q3 4:30
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  194. Q3 4:34
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (AJ Johnson assists)
    73-86
  195. Q3 4:38
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  196. Q3 4:40
    Trey Murphy III misses two point driving layup
  197. Q3 5:06
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    106-122
  198. Q3 5:19
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    106-122
  199. Q3 5:20
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  200. Q3 5:20
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Dwight Powell)
  201. Q3 5:25
    Mavericks turnover
  202. Q3 5:40
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    106-122
  203. Q3 5:49
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  204. Q3 5:51
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving layup
  205. Q3 6:04
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  206. Q3 6:07
    Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 6:29
    +3
    Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    88-105
  208. Q3 6:44
    Pelicans turnover
  209. Q3 6:45
    Pelicans personal foul
  210. Q3 6:51
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  211. Q3 6:57
    Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 7:06
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  213. Q3 7:08
    AJ Johnson shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  214. Q3 7:08
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  215. Q3 7:08
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-105
  216. Q3 7:08
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
  217. Q3 7:22
    +3
    Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
    88-105
  218. Q3 7:34
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:34
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  220. Q3 7:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  221. Q3 7:34
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, AJ Johnson, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg)
  222. Q3 7:56
    Ryan Nembhard turnover
  223. Q3 8:07
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    66-81
  224. Q3 8:07
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  225. Q3 8:07
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  226. Q3 8:13
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  227. Q3 8:30
    Ryan Nembhard shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)
  228. Q3 8:30
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    66-81
  229. Q3 8:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  230. Q3 8:30
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    88-105
  231. Q3 8:37
    Zion Williamson defensive rebound
  232. Q3 8:39
    Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 8:57
    +3
    Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    66-81
  234. Q3 9:06
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    63-73
  235. Q3 9:11
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  236. Q3 9:15
    Trey Murphy III misses three point jump shot
  237. Q3 9:20
    Herbert Jones defensive rebound
  238. Q3 9:23
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  239. Q3 9:27
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  240. Q3 9:40
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)
    80-96
  241. Q3 9:53
    Pelicans personal foul
  242. Q3 9:53
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-96
  243. Q3 9:53
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-96
  244. Q3 9:58
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    80-96
  245. Q3 10:03
    Mavericks turnover
  246. Q3 10:22
    +2
    Saddiq Bey makes two point running finger roll layup (Trey Murphy III assists)
    59-69
  247. Q3 10:26
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  248. Q3 10:29
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  249. Q3 10:37
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  250. Q3 10:41
    Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
  251. Q3 10:47
    Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Trey Murphy III steals)
  252. Q3 10:56
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  253. Q3 10:58
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  254. Q3 11:14
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    66-81
  255. Q3 11:18
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  256. Q3 11:19
    Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
  257. Q3 11:19
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  258. Q3 11:23
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  259. Q3 11:40
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    80-96
  260. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  261. Q2 00:00
    Trey Murphy III blocks Cooper Flagg's three point pullup jump shot
  262. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  263. Q2 00:01
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:03
    Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 00:20
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  266. Q2 00:23
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  267. Q2 00:42
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)
    59-69
  268. Q2 00:50
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    54-65
  269. Q2 00:50
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  270. Q2 00:52
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  271. Q2 00:55
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  272. Q2 00:58
    Yves Missi misses two point driving reverse layup
  273. Q2 1:19
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    59-69
  274. Q2 1:20
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  275. Q2 1:22
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  276. Q2 1:22
    Yves Missi misses two point tip layup
  277. Q2 1:25
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  278. Q2 1:48
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    52-65
  279. Q2 2:07
    +3
    Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Herbert Jones assists)
    54-67
  280. Q2 2:17
    Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
  281. Q2 2:17
    Mavericks turnover
  282. Q2 2:21
    Herbert Jones blocks Ryan Nembhard's two point driving layup
  283. Q2 2:42
    Naji Marshall shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
  284. Q2 2:42
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-61
  285. Q2 2:42
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-62
  286. Q2 2:42
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson)
  287. Q2 2:42
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  288. Q2 2:56
    +3
    John Poulakidas makes three point running jump shot
    47-60
  289. Q2 3:00
    Pelicans turnover
  290. Q2 3:12
    +2
    P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
    44-60
  291. Q2 3:31
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    47-62
  292. Q2 3:40
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  293. Q2 3:42
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 3:44
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  295. Q2 3:47
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 3:49
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  297. Q2 3:51
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  298. Q2 4:04
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot
    47-62
  299. Q2 4:19
    Zion Williamson shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  300. Q2 4:19
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    47-60
  301. Q2 4:19
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-60
  302. Q2 4:19
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton)
  303. Q2 4:19
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  304. Q2 4:19
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson)
  305. Q2 4:19
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  306. Q2 4:25
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  307. Q2 4:38
    Jordan Poole shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  308. Q2 4:38
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-56
  309. Q2 4:38
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  310. Q2 4:38
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  311. Q2 4:50
    +2
    Jordan Poole makes two point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
    40-56
  312. Q2 5:00
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:02
    Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 5:13
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    59-69
  315. Q2 5:21
    Jump ball. Marvin Bagley III (Jordan Poole gains possession)
  316. Q2 5:21
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson)
  317. Q2 5:21
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Zion Williamson)
  318. Q2 5:21
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III)
  319. Q2 5:26
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  320. Q2 5:26
    Instant replay
  321. Q2 5:26
    Mavericks personal foul
  322. Q2 5:26
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  323. Q2 5:35
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  324. Q2 5:37
    Cooper Flagg blocks Jordan Poole's three point jump shot
  325. Q2 5:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  326. Q2 5:37
    Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass)
  327. Q2 5:44
    Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
  328. Q2 5:47
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  329. Q2 5:55
    Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
  330. Q2 5:59
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 6:08
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  332. Q2 6:12
    Zion Williamson offensive rebound
  333. Q2 6:12
    Mavericks personal foul
  334. Q2 6:12
    +1
    Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-52
  335. Q2 6:12
    Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  336. Q2 6:14
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 6:33
    Mavericks turnover
  338. Q2 6:41
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    39-51
  339. Q2 6:41
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  340. Q2 6:41
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  341. Q2 6:41
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson)
  342. Q2 6:42
    Jordan Poole defensive rebound
  343. Q2 6:46
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  344. Q2 6:50
    Pelicans turnover
  345. Q2 7:01
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  346. Q2 7:05
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  347. Q2 7:22
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 7:22
    Mavericks personal foul
  349. Q2 7:22
    Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  350. Q2 7:22
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  351. Q2 7:22
    +1
    Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-49
  352. Q2 7:22
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  353. Q2 7:34
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  354. Q2 7:37
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  355. Q2 7:43
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  356. Q2 7:44
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  357. Q2 7:44
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  358. Q2 7:48
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  359. Q2 8:05
    Pelicans personal foul
  360. Q2 8:14
    Mavericks personal foul
  361. Q2 8:14
    Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  362. Q2 8:14
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  363. Q2 8:14
    +1
    Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-48
  364. Q2 8:26
    Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
  365. Q2 8:26
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    39-47
  366. Q2 8:32
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  367. Q2 8:47
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    37-47
  368. Q2 8:49
    Yves Missi defensive rebound
  369. Q2 8:52
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  370. Q2 9:05
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    37-43
  371. Q2 9:05
    Mavericks personal foul
  372. Q2 9:05
    +1
    Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    37-44
  373. Q2 9:12
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  374. Q2 9:28
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    35-41
  375. Q2 9:28
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  376. Q2 9:28
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  377. Q2 9:28
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
  378. Q2 9:31
    Mavericks turnover
  379. Q2 9:42
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    35-39
  380. Q2 9:58
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    35-36
  381. Q2 10:00
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  382. Q2 10:02
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  383. Q2 10:22
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    32-36
  384. Q2 10:26
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  385. Q2 10:29
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  386. Q2 10:34
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  387. Q2 10:38
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  388. Q2 10:55
    Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
  389. Q2 10:55
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    29-36
  390. Q2 11:00
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  391. Q2 11:08
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  392. Q2 11:11
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  393. Q2 11:28
    Herbert Jones offensive rebound
  394. Q2 11:28
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    29-34
  395. Q2 11:32
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  396. Q2 11:39
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    29-32
  397. Q2 11:40
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  398. Q2 11:47
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  399. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    26-32
  400. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  401. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  402. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  403. Q1 00:08
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  404. Q1 00:11
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  405. Q1 00:32
    Pelicans personal foul
  406. Q1 00:32
    Jeremiah Fears turnover (offensive foul)
  407. Q1 00:38
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  408. Q1 00:41
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 00:43
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  410. Q1 00:43
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  411. Q1 00:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  412. Q1 00:43
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  413. Q1 00:45
    John Poulakidas defensive rebound
  414. Q1 00:49
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  415. Q1 00:55
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  416. Q1 00:57
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  417. Q1 1:03
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  418. Q1 1:06
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 1:08
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 1:08
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  421. Q1 1:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  422. Q1 1:20
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    26-30
  423. Q1 1:31
    Mavericks personal foul
  424. Q1 1:31
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-29
  425. Q1 1:31
    +1
    Derik Queen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-30
  426. Q1 1:35
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  427. Q1 1:38
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 1:51
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    24-28
  429. Q1 2:03
    Pelicans personal foul
  430. Q1 2:03
    Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  431. Q1 2:03
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  432. Q1 2:03
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-26
  433. Q1 2:03
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones)
  434. Q1 2:12
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    23-25
  435. Q1 2:12
    Mavericks personal foul
  436. Q1 2:12
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  437. Q1 2:12
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, Dwight Powell)
  438. Q1 2:12
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    23-26
  439. Q1 2:17
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  440. Q1 2:20
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 2:37
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    23-23
  442. Q1 2:47
    Derik Queen defensive rebound
  443. Q1 2:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  444. Q1 3:11
    Mavericks personal foul
  445. Q1 3:11
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-19
  446. Q1 3:11
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams)
  447. Q1 3:11
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears)
  448. Q1 3:11
    +1
    Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-20
  449. Q1 3:19
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  450. Q1 3:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 3:28
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  452. Q1 3:31
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  453. Q1 3:41
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  454. Q1 3:44
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  455. Q1 3:47
    P.J. Washington offensive rebound
  456. Q1 3:50
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  457. Q1 4:04
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    23-18
  458. Q1 4:25
    Mavericks turnover
  459. Q1 4:37
    Pelicans personal foul
  460. Q1 4:37
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams)
  461. Q1 4:55
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    23-15
  462. Q1 5:11
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    23-13
  463. Q1 5:11
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  464. Q1 5:11
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg)
  465. Q1 5:11
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
  466. Q1 5:14
    Pelicans turnover
  467. Q1 5:23
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    21-13
  468. Q1 5:45
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    18-13
  469. Q1 6:04
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    18-11
  470. Q1 6:09
    Pelicans turnover
  471. Q1 6:35
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    16-11
  472. Q1 6:40
    Pelicans turnover
  473. Q1 6:42
    Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
  474. Q1 6:45
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  475. Q1 7:07
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    14-11
  476. Q1 7:21
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    14-9
  477. Q1 7:21
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  478. Q1 7:21
    Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Marvin Bagley III, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg)
  479. Q1 7:21
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Saddiq Bey, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
  480. Q1 7:32
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  481. Q1 7:35
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  482. Q1 7:41
    Yves Missi offensive rebound
  483. Q1 7:45
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  484. Q1 7:59
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    12-9
  485. Q1 8:05
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  486. Q1 8:07
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  487. Q1 8:19
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    9-9
  488. Q1 8:35
    +2
    Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Yves Missi assists)
    6-9
Box Score
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts

Mavericks vs. Pelicans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mavericks vs. Pelicans
  • Date: Monday, March 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pelicans favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +270, Pelicans -325

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mavericks: 26%
  • Pelicans: 74%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 116-123 Pelicans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 26%, while the Pelicans have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Smoothie King Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mavericks vs. Pelicans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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