Timberwolves vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Timberwolves
103
116
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
22 31 23 27 103
Thunder
23 24 33 36 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Timberwolves
    <1%
  • Thunder
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
22 31 23 27 103
Thunder
23 24 33 36 116
Q4 00:02 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:01
    Timberwolves turnover
  4. Q4 00:02
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:03
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  7. Q4 00:05
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:23
    Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 00:28
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:50
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    103-116
  13. Q4 00:55
    Joe Ingles defensive rebound
  14. Q4 00:58
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  15. Q4 00:59
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  18. Q4 1:14
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    101-116
  19. Q4 1:26
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    98-116
  20. Q4 1:35
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  21. Q4 1:35
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:37
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  23. Q4 1:37
    Rocco Zikarsky misses two point tip layup
  24. Q4 1:37
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:46
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    98-113
  26. Q4 1:46
    Timberwolves personal foul
  27. Q4 1:46
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
  28. Q4 1:46
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    98-114
  29. Q4 1:46
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  30. Q4 1:46
    Timberwolves lineup change (Joe Ingles, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark, Rocco Zikarsky, Bones Hyland)
  31. Q4 1:46
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
  32. Q4 2:13
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    98-111
  33. Q4 2:23
    Thunder turnover
  34. Q4 2:44
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  35. Q4 2:46
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  36. Q4 2:54
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:03
    Timberwolves personal foul
  39. Q4 3:07
    Timberwolves turnover
  40. Q4 3:17
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    96-111
  41. Q4 3:41
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    96-108
  42. Q4 3:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    93-108
  43. Q4 3:59
    Timberwolves turnover
  44. Q4 4:00
    Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
  45. Q4 4:03
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  46. Q4 4:24
    Thunder personal foul
  47. Q4 4:24
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-106
  48. Q4 4:24
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-106
  49. Q4 4:42
    Timberwolves personal foul
  50. Q4 4:42
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-105
  51. Q4 4:42
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-106
  52. Q4 4:42
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell)
  53. Q4 4:43
    Timberwolves turnover
  54. Q4 4:46
    Thunder turnover
  55. Q4 4:58
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    91-104
  56. Q4 5:06
    Jump ball. (Donte DiVincenzo gains possession)
  57. Q4 5:19
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
    89-104
  58. Q4 5:36
    Thunder personal foul
  59. Q4 5:36
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  60. Q4 5:36
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  61. Q4 5:36
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-102
  62. Q4 5:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    88-102
  63. Q4 5:54
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  64. Q4 5:54
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  65. Q4 5:58
    Timberwolves turnover
  66. Q4 6:22
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  67. Q4 6:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  68. Q4 6:22
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  69. Q4 6:23
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 6:46
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    88-100
  71. Q4 7:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    85-100
  72. Q4 7:10
    Thunder personal foul
  73. Q4 7:10
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-97
  74. Q4 7:10
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  75. Q4 7:10
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-97
  76. Q4 7:22
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    83-97
  77. Q4 7:34
    Timberwolves personal foul
  78. Q4 7:34
    Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  79. Q4 7:35
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 8:05
    +2
    Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
    83-94
  82. Q4 8:16
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    81-94
  83. Q4 8:25
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  84. Q4 8:29
    Thunder personal foul
  85. Q4 8:29
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    81-91
  86. Q4 8:29
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  87. Q4 8:45
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
    80-91
  88. Q4 8:45
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  89. Q4 8:45
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  90. Q4 8:58
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  91. Q4 9:01
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 9:18
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    80-89
  93. Q4 9:27
    Timberwolves turnover
  94. Q4 9:40
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    80-86
  95. Q4 10:00
    Thunder personal foul
  96. Q4 10:00
    +1
    Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-84
  97. Q4 10:00
    +1
    Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-84
  98. Q4 10:13
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    78-84
  99. Q4 10:26
    Thunder defensive rebound
  100. Q4 10:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  101. Q4 10:28
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 10:30
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  103. Q4 10:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 10:46
    Thunder personal foul
  105. Q4 10:46
    +1
    Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-82
  106. Q4 10:46
    +1
    Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    78-82
  107. Q4 10:50
    Thunder turnover
  108. Q4 11:08
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  109. Q4 11:12
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  110. Q4 11:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    76-82
  111. Q4 11:32
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  112. Q4 11:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  113. Q4 11:42
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  114. Q4 11:46
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  116. Q3 00:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  117. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  118. Q3 00:00
    Alex Caruso misses three point pullup jump shot
  119. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe)
  120. Q4 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
  121. Q3 00:05
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    76-80
  122. Q3 00:15
    Thunder personal foul
  123. Q3 00:26
    Timberwolves personal foul
  124. Q3 00:26
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-79
  125. Q3 00:26
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-80
  126. Q3 00:35
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 00:35
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  128. Q3 00:35
    Timberwolves turnover
  129. Q3 1:01
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    73-78
  130. Q3 1:11
    Timberwolves turnover
  131. Q3 1:32
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    73-75
  132. Q3 1:40
    Timberwolves turnover
  133. Q3 1:46
    Timberwolves personal foul
  134. Q3 1:46
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    73-72
  135. Q3 1:46
    +1
    Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    73-73
  136. Q3 1:51
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  137. Q3 1:53
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  138. Q3 2:02
    Naz Reid offensive rebound
  139. Q3 2:02
    Thunder turnover
  140. Q3 2:05
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 2:22
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  142. Q3 2:24
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 2:35
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    73-71
  144. Q3 2:45
    Thunder personal foul
  145. Q3 3:02
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    71-71
  146. Q3 3:08
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  147. Q3 3:11
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  148. Q3 3:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    71-68
  149. Q3 3:25
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  150. Q3 3:30
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  151. Q3 3:34
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  152. Q3 3:44
    Thunder turnover
  153. Q3 4:00
    Timberwolves turnover
  154. Q3 4:10
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  155. Q3 4:10
    Thunder personal foul
  156. Q3 4:10
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
  157. Q3 4:11
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  158. Q3 4:15
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  159. Q3 4:19
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 4:23
    Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
  161. Q3 4:27
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  162. Q3 4:36
    Thunder personal foul
  163. Q3 4:36
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    71-66
  164. Q3 4:36
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  165. Q3 4:49
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  166. Q3 4:51
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 5:03
    Naz Reid offensive rebound
  168. Q3 5:03
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    70-66
  169. Q3 5:05
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  170. Q3 5:19
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    68-66
  171. Q3 5:31
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 5:32
    Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
  173. Q3 5:32
    Timberwolves turnover
  174. Q3 5:56
    Timberwolves personal foul
  175. Q3 5:56
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-62
  176. Q3 5:56
    +1
    Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-63
  177. Q3 5:56
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  178. Q3 6:00
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  179. Q3 6:03
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  180. Q3 6:16
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    68-61
  181. Q3 6:25
    Timberwolves personal foul
  182. Q3 6:25
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  183. Q3 6:25
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
  184. Q3 6:41
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    68-59
  185. Q3 6:52
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  186. Q3 6:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  187. Q3 7:05
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  188. Q3 7:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  189. Q3 7:12
    Alex Caruso offensive rebound
  190. Q3 7:14
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
  191. Q3 7:34
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  192. Q3 7:36
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    66-59
  193. Q3 7:47
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    63-59
  194. Q3 7:59
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    63-57
  195. Q3 8:13
    Timberwolves personal foul
  196. Q3 8:13
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-56
  197. Q3 8:13
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-57
  198. Q3 8:13
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  199. Q3 8:23
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  200. Q3 8:24
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  201. Q3 8:37
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  202. Q3 8:39
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  203. Q3 8:49
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  204. Q3 8:54
    Thunder personal foul
  205. Q3 8:54
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-55
  206. Q3 8:54
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  207. Q3 8:57
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  208. Q3 8:58
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 9:13
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    60-55
  210. Q3 9:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    58-55
  211. Q3 9:35
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    58-53
  212. Q3 9:59
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  213. Q3 10:01
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 10:04
    Timberwolves turnover
  215. Q3 10:06
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  216. Q3 10:08
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  217. Q3 10:10
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  218. Q3 10:11
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 10:19
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  220. Q3 10:21
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  221. Q3 10:37
    Timberwolves personal foul
  222. Q3 10:37
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  223. Q3 10:37
    Thunder offensive rebound
  224. Q3 10:37
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-53
  225. Q3 10:54
    Timberwolves turnover
  226. Q3 10:54
    Timberwolves violation
  227. Q3 11:06
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    56-52
  228. Q3 11:18
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    56-49
  229. Q3 11:21
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  230. Q3 11:22
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  231. Q3 11:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  232. Q3 11:40
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    53-49
  233. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  234. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  235. Q3 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  236. Q2 00:01
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    53-47
  237. Q2 00:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  238. Q2 00:15
    Thunder personal foul
  239. Q2 00:25
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  240. Q2 00:29
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  241. Q2 00:33
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  242. Q2 00:35
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  243. Q2 00:54
    Thunder personal foul
  244. Q2 00:54
    Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
  245. Q2 1:05
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  246. Q2 1:05
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  247. Q2 1:06
    +3
    Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot
    51-47
  248. Q2 1:13
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  249. Q2 1:15
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  250. Q2 1:32
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    48-47
  251. Q2 1:44
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    45-47
  252. Q2 1:46
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
  253. Q2 1:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  254. Q2 1:57
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  255. Q2 2:01
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
  256. Q2 2:26
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    45-45
  257. Q2 2:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    43-45
  258. Q2 2:52
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    43-43
  259. Q2 2:55
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  260. Q2 2:57
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  261. Q2 3:13
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    40-43
  262. Q2 3:23
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  263. Q2 3:26
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 3:39
    Jump ball. (Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
  265. Q2 3:43
    Timberwolves turnover
  266. Q2 3:50
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  267. Q2 3:50
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  268. Q2 3:50
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  269. Q2 3:50
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
  270. Q2 3:52
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  271. Q2 4:02
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  272. Q2 4:05
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  273. Q2 4:17
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  274. Q2 4:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  275. Q2 4:30
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  276. Q2 4:32
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  277. Q2 4:48
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    37-43
  278. Q2 4:55
    Timberwolves turnover
  279. Q2 5:09
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    37-41
  280. Q2 5:32
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    37-38
  281. Q2 5:41
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  282. Q2 5:43
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 5:57
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    34-38
  284. Q2 6:10
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    32-38
  285. Q2 6:20
    Thunder personal foul
  286. Q2 6:20
    Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  287. Q2 6:20
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  288. Q2 6:20
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-35
  289. Q2 6:20
    Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Bones Hyland)
  290. Q2 6:37
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    31-35
  291. Q2 6:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  292. Q2 6:39
    Thunder offensive rebound
  293. Q2 6:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  294. Q2 6:41
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 6:41
    Thunder offensive rebound
  296. Q2 6:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  297. Q2 6:58
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    31-32
  298. Q2 7:14
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    29-32
  299. Q2 7:15
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  300. Q2 7:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  301. Q2 7:22
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  302. Q2 7:22
    Thunder offensive rebound
  303. Q2 7:22
    Timberwolves personal foul
  304. Q2 7:43
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  305. Q2 7:43
    Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
  306. Q2 7:43
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
  307. Q2 7:44
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    29-29
  308. Q2 7:52
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  309. Q2 7:54
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 8:13
    Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
  311. Q2 8:13
    Timberwolves personal foul
  312. Q2 8:13
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
  313. Q2 8:13
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
  314. Q2 8:31
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  315. Q2 8:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-29
  316. Q2 8:33
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  317. Q2 8:52
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  318. Q2 8:55
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 9:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    27-27
  320. Q2 9:31
    Timberwolves personal foul
  321. Q2 9:35
    Timberwolves turnover
  322. Q2 10:00
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  323. Q2 10:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  324. Q2 10:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 10:17
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    27-25
  326. Q2 10:23
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  327. Q2 10:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  328. Q2 10:35
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  329. Q2 10:39
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  330. Q2 10:54
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    25-25
  331. Q2 11:14
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    25-23
  332. Q2 11:20
    Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
  333. Q2 11:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  334. Q2 11:32
    Timberwolves personal foul
  335. Q2 11:32
    Timberwolves personal foul
  336. Q2 11:32
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
  337. Q2 11:39
    Timberwolves personal foul
  338. Q2 11:39
    Naz Reid turnover (offensive foul)
  339. Q2 11:43
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  340. Q2 11:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  341. Q1 00:00
    Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
  342. Q1 00:00
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  343. Q1 00:00
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  344. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  345. Q2 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
  346. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe)
  347. Q1 00:03
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  348. Q1 00:21
    Timberwolves turnover
  349. Q1 00:28
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  350. Q1 00:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  351. Q1 00:45
    Thunder personal foul
  352. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-23
  353. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-23
  354. Q1 00:46
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  355. Q1 00:52
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  356. Q1 00:52
    Kyle Anderson misses two point tip layup
  357. Q1 00:52
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  358. Q1 00:55
    Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
  359. Q1 00:56
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  360. Q1 00:56
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  361. Q1 00:58
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  362. Q1 1:11
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    20-23
  363. Q1 1:18
    Thunder turnover
  364. Q1 1:27
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  365. Q1 1:29
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  366. Q1 1:42
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  367. Q1 1:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  368. Q1 2:00
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    18-23
  369. Q1 2:11
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  370. Q1 2:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  371. Q1 2:27
    Timberwolves turnover
  372. Q1 2:27
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  373. Q1 2:43
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    16-23
  374. Q1 3:06
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    16-20
  375. Q1 3:15
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  376. Q1 3:18
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  377. Q1 3:30
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    13-20
  378. Q1 3:30
    Thunder personal foul
  379. Q1 3:30
    +1
    Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    14-20
  380. Q1 3:35
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  381. Q1 3:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  382. Q1 3:46
    Timberwolves turnover
  383. Q1 3:46
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  384. Q1 3:46
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  385. Q1 4:09
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    11-20
  386. Q1 4:14
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  387. Q1 4:18
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  388. Q1 4:21
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  389. Q1 4:23
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 4:26
    Timberwolves turnover
  391. Q1 4:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    11-18
  392. Q1 4:44
    Timberwolves turnover
  393. Q1 4:51
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  394. Q1 4:53
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 5:18
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    11-16
  396. Q1 5:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    8-16
  397. Q1 5:40
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  398. Q1 5:43
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  399. Q1 5:52
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  400. Q1 5:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  401. Q1 6:09
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  402. Q1 6:12
    Thunder personal foul
  403. Q1 6:12
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  404. Q1 6:12
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  405. Q1 6:12
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
  406. Q1 6:12
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
  407. Q1 6:12
    Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  408. Q1 6:22
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  409. Q1 6:25
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  410. Q1 6:39
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    8-14
  411. Q1 6:50
    Timberwolves personal foul
  412. Q1 6:50
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  413. Q1 6:50
    Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
  414. Q1 6:50
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-13
  415. Q1 6:50
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    5-14
  416. Q1 7:16
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    5-12
  417. Q1 7:27
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  418. Q1 7:29
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  419. Q1 7:39
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  420. Q1 7:41
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  421. Q1 8:03
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  422. Q1 8:04
    Timberwolves personal foul
  423. Q1 8:04
    +1
    Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    3-12
  424. Q1 8:04
    Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  425. Q1 8:10
    Timberwolves turnover
  426. Q1 8:21
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    3-11
  427. Q1 8:35
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  428. Q1 8:39
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 8:40
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  430. Q1 8:47
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  431. Q1 8:52
    Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
  432. Q1 8:55
    Ajay Mitchell misses two point jump shot
  433. Q1 9:01
    Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
  434. Q1 9:01
    Timberwolves personal foul
  435. Q1 9:04
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  436. Q1 9:18
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    3-9
  437. Q1 9:36
    Timberwolves personal foul
  438. Q1 9:36
    +1
    Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    0-8
  439. Q1 9:36
    +1
    Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    0-9
  440. Q1 9:38
    Timberwolves turnover
  441. Q1 9:39
    Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
  442. Q1 9:42
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  443. Q1 9:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    0-7
  444. Q1 9:59
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  445. Q1 10:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 10:16
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  447. Q1 10:19
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  448. Q1 10:25
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  449. Q1 10:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  450. Q1 10:32
    Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
  451. Q1 10:36
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  452. Q1 10:51
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    0-5
  453. Q1 11:01
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  454. Q1 11:05
    Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 11:14
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  456. Q1 11:16
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  457. Q1 11:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  458. Q1 11:28
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  459. Q1 11:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 11:38
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  461. Q1 11:41
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  462. Q1 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
  463. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Timberwolves
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
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Timberwolves vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Timberwolves vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +320, Thunder -375

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Timberwolves: 25%
  • Thunder: 75%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 110-117 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 25%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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