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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA game on March 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
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NBA
Timberwolves
103
116
Mar 15, 5PM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 15, 5PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Timberwolves
22 31 23 27 103
Thunder
23 24 33 36 116
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
TimberwolvesMIN
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
22 31 23 27 103
Thunder
23 24 33 36 116
Q4 00:02 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:32 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 00:02
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:03
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q4 00:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:05
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Q4 00:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q4 00:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:50
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
103-116
Q4 00:55
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Q4 00:58
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 1:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:14
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
101-116
Q4 1:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-116
Q4 1:35
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 1:35
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 1:37
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:37
Rocco Zikarsky misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:37
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 1:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-113
Q4 1:46
Timberwolves personal foul
Q4 1:46
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 1:46
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-114
Q4 1:46
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q4 1:46
Timberwolves lineup change (Joe Ingles, Terrence Shannon Jr., Jaylen Clark, Rocco Zikarsky, Bones Hyland)
Q4 1:46
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 2:13
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
98-111
Q4 2:23
Thunder turnover
Q4 2:44
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 2:46
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:54
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Q4 2:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:03
Timberwolves personal foul
Q4 3:07
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 3:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
96-111
Q4 3:41
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
96-108
Q4 3:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
93-108
Q4 3:59
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 4:00
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Q4 4:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:24
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:24
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-106
Q4 4:24
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-106
Q4 4:42
Timberwolves personal foul
Q4 4:42
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-105
Q4 4:42
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-106
Q4 4:42
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell)
Q4 4:43
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 4:46
Thunder turnover
Q4 4:58
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
91-104
Q4 5:06
Jump ball. (Donte DiVincenzo gains possession)
Q4 5:19
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
89-104
Q4 5:36
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:36
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:36
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q4 5:36
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-102
Q4 5:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-102
Q4 5:54
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q4 5:54
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q4 5:58
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 6:22
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Q4 6:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:22
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 6:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:46
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
88-100
Q4 7:02
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-100
Q4 7:10
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:10
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-97
Q4 7:10
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 7:10
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-97
Q4 7:22
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-97
Q4 7:34
Timberwolves personal foul
Q4 7:34
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q4 7:35
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 7:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:05
+2
Rudy Gobert makes two point jump shot
83-94
Q4 8:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-94
Q4 8:25
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q4 8:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:29
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-91
Q4 8:29
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 8:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
80-91
Q4 8:45
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q4 8:45
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q4 8:58
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 9:01
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-89
Q4 9:27
Timberwolves turnover
Q4 9:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-86
Q4 10:00
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:00
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-84
Q4 10:00
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-84
Q4 10:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-84
Q4 10:26
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 10:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:28
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:30
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:46
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:46
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-82
Q4 10:46
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-82
Q4 10:50
Thunder turnover
Q4 11:08
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 11:12
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-82
Q4 11:32
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q4 11:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:42
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 11:46
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Alex Caruso misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
Q3 00:05
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
76-80
Q3 00:15
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:26
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 00:26
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-79
Q3 00:26
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-80
Q3 00:35
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:35
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q3 00:35
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 1:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
73-78
Q3 1:11
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 1:32
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-75
Q3 1:40
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 1:46
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 1:46
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-72
Q3 1:46
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-73
Q3 1:51
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q3 1:53
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:02
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Q3 2:02
Thunder turnover
Q3 2:05
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:22
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 2:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:35
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
73-71
Q3 2:45
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:02
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
71-71
Q3 3:08
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 3:11
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-68
Q3 3:25
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q3 3:30
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 3:34
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:44
Thunder turnover
Q3 4:00
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 4:10
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q3 4:10
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:10
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q3 4:11
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:15
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Q3 4:19
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:23
Kyle Anderson offensive rebound
Q3 4:27
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:36
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:36
+1
Anthony Edwards makes technical free throw 1 of 1
71-66
Q3 4:36
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q3 4:49
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q3 4:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:03
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Q3 5:03
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
70-66
Q3 5:05
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
68-66
Q3 5:31
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:32
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Q3 5:32
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 5:56
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 5:56
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-62
Q3 5:56
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-63
Q3 5:56
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q3 6:00
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q3 6:03
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
68-61
Q3 6:25
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 6:25
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Q3 6:25
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 6:41
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
68-59
Q3 6:52
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q3 6:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:05
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q3 7:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:12
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Q3 7:14
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:34
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q3 7:36
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
66-59
Q3 7:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-59
Q3 7:59
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-57
Q3 8:13
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 8:13
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-56
Q3 8:13
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-57
Q3 8:13
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 8:23
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 8:24
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:37
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q3 8:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:49
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:54
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-55
Q3 8:54
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 8:57
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 8:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:13
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
60-55
Q3 9:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-55
Q3 9:35
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
58-53
Q3 9:59
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 10:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:04
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 10:06
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q3 10:08
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:10
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 10:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 10:21
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:37
Timberwolves personal foul
Q3 10:37
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 10:37
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 10:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-53
Q3 10:54
Timberwolves turnover
Q3 10:54
Timberwolves violation
Q3 11:06
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
56-52
Q3 11:18
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
56-49
Q3 11:21
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:22
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q3 11:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-49
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Q2 00:01
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
53-47
Q2 00:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:15
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:25
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q2 00:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:33
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 00:35
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:54
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:54
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 1:05
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 1:05
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 1:06
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot
51-47
Q2 1:13
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q2 1:15
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:32
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
48-47
Q2 1:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
45-47
Q2 1:46
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q2 1:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:57
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 2:01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:26
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
45-45
Q2 2:37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-45
Q2 2:52
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
43-43
Q2 2:55
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q2 2:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:13
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
40-43
Q2 3:23
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q2 3:26
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:39
Jump ball. (Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
Q2 3:43
Timberwolves turnover
Q2 3:50
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q2 3:50
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q2 3:50
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q2 3:50
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Ajay Mitchell, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 3:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:02
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 4:05
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:17
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q2 4:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:30
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 4:32
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
37-43
Q2 4:55
Timberwolves turnover
Q2 5:09
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-41
Q2 5:32
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
37-38
Q2 5:41
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q2 5:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:57
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
34-38
Q2 6:10
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
32-38
Q2 6:20
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:20
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 6:20
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q2 6:20
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-35
Q2 6:20
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Bones Hyland)
Q2 6:37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-35
Q2 6:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:39
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 6:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:41
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 6:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:58
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
31-32
Q2 7:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
29-32
Q2 7:15
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 7:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:22
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 7:22
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 7:43
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 7:43
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
Q2 7:43
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 7:44
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
29-29
Q2 7:52
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q2 7:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:13
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 8:13
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 8:13
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
Q2 8:13
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 8:31
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 8:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-29
Q2 8:33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:52
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 8:55
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-27
Q2 9:31
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 9:35
Timberwolves turnover
Q2 10:00
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Q2 10:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:02
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:17
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
27-25
Q2 10:23
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Q2 10:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:35
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:39
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-25
Q2 11:14
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
25-23
Q2 11:20
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Q2 11:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:32
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 11:32
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 11:32
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
Q2 11:39
Timberwolves personal foul
Q2 11:39
Naz Reid turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 11:43
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Q2 11:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Ayo Dosunmu, Bones Hyland)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 00:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:21
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 00:28
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q1 00:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:45
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:45
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-23
Q1 00:45
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-23
Q1 00:46
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Q1 00:52
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:52
Kyle Anderson misses two point tip layup
Q1 00:52
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Q1 00:55
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Q1 00:56
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q1 00:56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:11
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
20-23
Q1 1:18
Thunder turnover
Q1 1:27
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 1:29
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:42
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q1 1:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:00
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-23
Q1 2:11
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:27
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 2:27
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q1 2:43
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-23
Q1 3:06
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
16-20
Q1 3:15
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q1 3:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:30
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
13-20
Q1 3:30
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:30
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-20
Q1 3:35
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Q1 3:37
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:46
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 3:46
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q1 3:46
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 4:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-20
Q1 4:14
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 4:18
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:21
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Q1 4:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:26
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 4:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-18
Q1 4:44
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 4:51
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q1 4:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:18
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
11-16
Q1 5:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-16
Q1 5:40
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 5:43
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:52
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q1 5:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:09
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 6:12
Thunder personal foul
Q1 6:12
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 6:12
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Q1 6:12
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q1 6:12
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 6:12
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 6:22
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q1 6:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:39
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
8-14
Q1 6:50
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 6:50
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Q1 6:50
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Ayo Dosunmu)
Q1 6:50
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-13
Q1 6:50
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-14
Q1 7:16
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
5-12
Q1 7:27
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Q1 7:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 7:41
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:03
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Q1 8:04
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 8:04
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-12
Q1 8:04
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 8:10
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 8:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
3-11
Q1 8:35
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 8:39
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:40
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Q1 8:47
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:52
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Q1 8:55
Ajay Mitchell misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:01
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q1 9:01
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 9:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:18
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
3-9
Q1 9:36
Timberwolves personal foul
Q1 9:36
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-8
Q1 9:36
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-9
Q1 9:38
Timberwolves turnover
Q1 9:39
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Q1 9:42
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-7
Q1 9:59
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 10:04
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:16
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 10:19
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:25
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Q1 10:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:32
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 10:36
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-5
Q1 11:01
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 11:05
Julius Randle misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
0-3
Q1 11:16
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 11:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:28
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q1 11:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:38
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 11:41
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Timberwolves
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G22 J. Clark 0 1 0
G-F1 T. Shannon Jr. 3 0 1
G8 B. Hyland 3 0 2
C44 R. Zikarsky 2 1 0
F-G7 J. Ingles 0 1 0
Thunder
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G22 C. Wallace 4 6 7
F6 J. Williams 5 3 2
G11 I. Joe 20 4 0
G21 A. Wiggins 0 0 0
G3 J. McCain 15 0 0

Game Prediction Article

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Timberwolves vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Timberwolves vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +320, Thunder -375

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Timberwolves: 25%
  • Thunder: 75%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 110-117 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 25%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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