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Pelicans vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Rockets NBA game on March 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
105
107
Mar 14, 12AM Toyota Center
Mar 14, 12AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 24 | 25 | 23 | 33 | 105 |
Rockets | 28 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 107 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 24 | 25 | 23 | 33 | 105 |
Rockets | 28 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 107 |
Q4 00:00 Trey Murphy III misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 3:15 Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:37 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 4:57 Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:25 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:59 Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:06 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:20 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:40 Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot
Q4 6:54 Zion Williamson makes two point driving layup (Herbert Jones assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Trey Murphy III misses three point fadeaway jump shot
End of 4th Quarter.
Pelicans offensive rebound
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Pelicans violation
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Clint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-97
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
92-96
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
92-96
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-95
Pelicans personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-97
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones personal foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)
Herbert Jones turnover
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot
88-94
Pelicans personal foul
Reed Sheppard misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
+1
Reed Sheppard makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
92-96
Rockets offensive rebound
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point driving layup (Herbert Jones assists)
88-94
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson misses two point driving layup
+3
Karlo Matkovic makes three point jump shot
92-97
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
92-97
Karlo Matkovic defensive goaltending violation
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III turnover (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
88-93
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot
92-97
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
92-97
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
+2
Karlo Matkovic makes two point cutting layup (Saddiq Bey assists)
83-88
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
92-97
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point jump shot
92-97
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Jeff Green, Amen Thompson)
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Jeff Green misses three point jump shot
+3
Trey Murphy III makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
92-97
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)
Zion Williamson misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Zion Williamson blocks Jabari Smith Jr.'s two point cutting dunk
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive foul (Charge) (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
Zion Williamson turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Rockets offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Jeff Green, Amen Thompson)
Saddiq Bey personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Pelicans turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Saddiq Bey steals)
Pelicans turnover
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard personal foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-88
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-88
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Fears turnover
+3
Amen Thompson makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
70-80
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Clint Capela blocks Herbert Jones's two point layup
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
68-69
Clint Capela shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
Herbert Jones misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
70-80
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-80
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
68-69
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point running dunk (Josh Okogie assists)
68-69
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Clint Capela personal foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)
Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-80
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Clint Capela misses two point driving reverse layup
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-67
Rockets personal foul
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-80
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
72-80
+3
Jeremiah Fears makes three point jump shot (Yves Missi assists)
65-67
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason)
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Yves Missi misses two point jump shot
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
68-69
Pelicans lineup change (Jeremiah Fears, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
68-69
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason misses two point tip layup
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Zion Williamson makes two point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)
60-65
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot
60-65
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
60-65
+3
Herbert Jones makes three point jump shot (Trey Murphy III assists)
60-65
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point jump shot
60-65
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-65
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-69
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Herbert Jones draws the foul)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-69
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Herbert Jones offensive rebound
Herbert Jones misses two point putback layup
Trey Murphy III misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
68-69
+2
Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
68-69
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Zion Williamson misses two point turnaround hook shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
49-57
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
49-57
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
49-57
Amen Thompson shooting foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-53
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-53
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Zion Williamson draws the foul)
+1
Zion Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-53
Zion Williamson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-52
Rockets 60 second timeout
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
49-57
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-50
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-47
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-48
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones)
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
43-46
Rockets turnover
Pelicans turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
41-46
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
41-43
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-43
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-41
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
36-41
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Karlo Matkovic blocks Kevin Durant's two point jump shot
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Dejounte Murray misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-41
Jeff Green offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
34-41
Tari Eason personal foul (Yves Missi draws the foul)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Dejounte Murray, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, Jeff Green)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-30
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Karlo Matkovic offensive rebound
Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-30
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
24-30
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeff Green misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Jeff Green personal foul
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
24-30
+1
Saddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-30
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-30
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Jeff Green blocks Jeremiah Fears's two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jeff Green offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Saddiq Bey makes two point jump shot
24-30
Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-30
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-30
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Derik Queen offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Derik Queen misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Reed Sheppard turnover
Jeremiah Fears turnover (lost ball)
End of 1st Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Jeff Green, Amen Thompson)
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Karlo Matkovic, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
24-28
Pelicans offensive rebound
Instant replay (Challenge)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets challenge timeout
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela personal foul (Derik Queen draws the foul)
Derik Queen defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears misses three point jump shot
+2
Clint Capela makes two point jump shot
24-26
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Saddiq Bey misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela turnover (Saddiq Bey steals)
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-24
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Zion Williamson, Yves Missi)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
24-21
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-21
Pelicans personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson)
Pelicans lineup change (Saddiq Bey, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herbert Jones, Yves Missi)
+2
Dejounte Murray makes two point running layup
21-18
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 1 | Z. Williamson | 21 | 5 | 1 |
| F-C | 17 | K. Matkovic | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 25 | T. Murphy III | 14 | 6 | 8 |
| C | 21 | Y. Missi | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| G | 5 | D. Murray | 35 | 7 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 32 | 6 | 5 |
| G | 1 | A. Thompson | 23 | 12 | 8 |
| C | 30 | C. Capela | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| C | 2 | D. Finney-Smith | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 10 | J. Smith Jr. | 16 | 5 | 3 |
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Pelicans vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Rockets
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +205, Rockets -213
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 33%
- Rockets: 67%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 113-117 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 33%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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