Nuggets vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Spurs NBA game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
136
131
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
25 28 41 42 136
Spurs
37 32 37 25 131
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    99%
  • Spurs
    1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
25 28 41 42 136
Spurs
37 32 37 25 131
Q4 1:36 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:55 Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 3:21 De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:27 Jamal Murray misses three point running jump shot
Q4 3:43 Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 4:54 Nikola Jokic blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Q4 5:17 Keldon Johnson misses two point tip layup
Q4 5:23 Dylan Harper misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 6:11 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Carter Bryant personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  3. Q4 00:01
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    135-131
  4. Q4 00:01
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    136-131
  5. Q4 00:04
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  6. Q4 00:12
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  7. Q4 00:12
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones)
  8. Q4 00:12
    Spurs personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  9. Q4 00:13
    Luke Kornet personal foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
  10. Q4 00:29
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  11. Q4 1:36
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 1:55
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot
    134-131
  13. Q4 2:25
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul
  14. Q4 2:48
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  15. Q4 3:01
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  16. Q4 3:02
    +3
    Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    128-119
  17. Q4 3:17
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  18. Q4 3:21
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 3:27
    Jamal Murray misses three point running jump shot
  20. Q4 3:34
    Devin Vassell turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)
  21. Q4 3:43
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
    128-119
  22. Q4 3:52
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  23. Q4 4:23
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  24. Q4 4:54
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  25. Q4 4:54
    Nikola Jokic blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
  26. Q4 5:16
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  27. Q4 5:17
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  28. Q4 5:17
    Keldon Johnson misses two point tip layup
  29. Q4 5:23
    Dylan Harper misses two point turnaround jump shot
  30. Q4 5:51
    Dylan Harper personal foul
  31. Q4 6:04
    Spurs personal foul
  32. Q4 6:11
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    116-119
  33. Q4 6:33
    +2
    Cameron Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
    134-131
  34. Q4 7:12
    Spencer Jones misses three point running jump shot
  35. Q4 7:15
    Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)
  36. Q4 7:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 7:35
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
    134-131
  38. Q4 7:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  39. Q4 8:08
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    112-113
  40. Q4 8:23
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    108-113
  41. Q4 8:23
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox)
  42. Q4 8:23
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  43. Q4 8:35
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  44. Q4 8:38
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 8:57
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    128-119
  46. Q4 9:17
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    134-131
  47. Q4 9:23
    Harrison Barnes turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)
  48. Q4 9:37
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  49. Q4 9:38
    +3
    Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    136-131
  50. Q4 9:47
    Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:48
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  52. Q4 10:10
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot (Julian Strawther assists)
    134-131
  53. Q4 10:12
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  54. Q4 10:14
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 10:25
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  56. Q4 10:27
    Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
  57. Q4 10:43
    +3
    Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Spencer Jones assists)
    134-131
  58. Q4 10:58
    Nuggets personal foul
  59. Q4 10:58
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    134-131
  60. Q4 10:58
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    136-131
  61. Q4 11:12
    +3
    Spencer Jones makes three point jump shot
    134-131
  62. Q4 11:35
    Mason Plumlee offensive rebound
  63. Q4 11:38
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Mason Plumlee, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  65. Q3 00:00
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  66. Q3 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  67. Q3 00:02
    Spurs personal foul
  68. Q3 00:02
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    128-119
  69. Q3 00:02
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Cameron Johnson, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  70. Q3 00:18
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    128-119
  71. Q3 00:29
    Nikola Jokic blocks Harrison Barnes's two point jump shot
  72. Q3 00:36
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
    128-119
  73. Q3 00:48
    Nikola Jokic personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  74. Q3 00:48
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    128-119
  75. Q3 00:48
    Spurs violation
  76. Q3 00:48
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    128-119
  77. Q3 1:03
    +2
    Cameron Johnson makes two point running dunk (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
    128-119
  78. Q3 1:06
    Spurs turnover
  79. Q3 1:23
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul
  80. Q3 1:23
    +1
    Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  81. Q3 1:23
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
  82. Q3 1:31
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point running finger roll layup (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    133-129
  83. Q3 1:33
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  84. Q3 1:35
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  85. Q3 1:51
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    133-129
  86. Q3 1:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  87. Q3 1:54
    Spurs offensive rebound
  88. Q3 1:55
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  89. Q3 2:22
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point running finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
    82-97
  90. Q3 2:25
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  91. Q3 2:28
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  92. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    82-97
  93. Q3 2:48
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
    82-97
  94. Q3 3:05
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-94
  95. Q3 3:05
    Carter Bryant personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
  96. Q3 3:05
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    82-97
  97. Q3 3:05
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  98. Q3 3:06
    Bruce Brown shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  99. Q3 3:06
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  100. Q3 3:06
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  101. Q3 3:06
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
  102. Q3 3:19
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
    82-97
  103. Q3 3:26
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  104. Q3 3:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 3:33
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  106. Q3 3:36
    Keldon Johnson blocks Bruce Brown's two point cutting layup
  107. Q3 3:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    82-97
  108. Q3 4:03
    Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
  109. Q3 4:03
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    82-97
  110. Q3 4:03
    Nikola Jokic personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  111. Q3 4:03
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  112. Q3 4:03
    Nuggets personal foul
  113. Q3 4:03
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  114. Q3 4:03
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox)
  115. Q3 4:13
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  116. Q3 4:14
    Nuggets personal foul
  117. Q3 4:14
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  118. Q3 4:14
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  119. Q3 4:14
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  120. Q3 4:14
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
  121. Q3 4:22
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  122. Q3 4:26
    Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
  123. Q3 4:38
    Nuggets personal foul
  124. Q3 4:38
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  125. Q3 4:38
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper)
  126. Q3 4:38
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  127. Q3 4:52
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    133-129
  128. Q3 5:11
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  129. Q3 5:12
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
    76-83
  130. Q3 5:24
    Nuggets personal foul
  131. Q3 5:24
    Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  132. Q3 5:34
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  133. Q3 5:34
    Nuggets personal foul
  134. Q3 5:34
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  135. Q3 5:34
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  136. Q3 5:34
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  137. Q3 5:37
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  138. Q3 5:43
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  139. Q3 5:46
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  140. Q3 6:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    133-129
  141. Q3 6:07
    Spurs personal foul
  142. Q3 6:07
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  143. Q3 6:07
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  144. Q3 6:13
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  145. Q3 6:13
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  146. Q3 6:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  147. Q3 6:27
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point turnaround jump shot
    133-129
  148. Q3 6:42
    Nuggets personal foul
  149. Q3 6:42
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  150. Q3 6:50
    +2
    Christian Braun makes two point jump shot
    58-71
  151. Q3 6:50
    Spurs violation
  152. Q3 6:52
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  153. Q3 6:55
    Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
  154. Q3 6:59
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  155. Q3 7:01
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  156. Q3 7:06
    Spurs turnover
  157. Q3 7:18
    Spurs personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  158. Q3 7:18
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  159. Q3 7:18
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  160. Q3 7:28
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
    82-97
  161. Q3 7:39
    Mitch Johnson technical foul
  162. Q3 7:39
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  163. Q3 7:39
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    82-97
  164. Q3 7:39
    Spurs personal foul
  165. Q3 7:41
    Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
  166. Q3 7:44
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  167. Q3 7:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  168. Q3 7:58
    +2
    Cameron Johnson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
    82-97
  169. Q3 8:09
    Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
  170. Q3 8:12
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  171. Q3 8:26
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    82-97
  172. Q3 8:32
    Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
  173. Q3 8:35
    Nikola Jokic misses three point pullup jump shot
  174. Q3 9:01
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
    58-71
  175. Q3 9:13
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  176. Q3 9:14
    +3
    Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Cameron Johnson assists)
    58-71
  177. Q3 9:25
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  178. Q3 9:29
    Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 9:36
    Spencer Jones kicked ball violation
  180. Q3 9:39
    Christian Braun turnover (lost ball) (De'Aaron Fox steals)
  181. Q3 9:44
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  182. Q3 9:48
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  183. Q3 9:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 9:59
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-71
  185. Q3 9:59
    Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
  186. Q3 9:59
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    133-129
  187. Q3 10:01
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  188. Q3 10:04
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  189. Q3 10:13
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  190. Q3 10:16
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 10:27
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    133-129
  192. Q3 10:39
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    58-71
  193. Q3 10:39
    Luke Kornet personal foul
  194. Q3 10:39
    +1
    Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    133-129
  195. Q3 10:50
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point stepback jump shot
    56-71
  196. Q3 11:06
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  197. Q3 11:08
    Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 11:21
    Spurs turnover
  199. Q3 11:40
    +2
    Jamal Murray makes two point jump shot
    55-69
  200. Q3 11:40
    Luke Kornet shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  201. Q3 11:40
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    58-71
  202. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  203. Q2 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  204. Q2 00:00
    De'Aaron Fox misses heave shot
  205. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  206. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  207. Q2 00:02
    Jamal Murray turnover
  208. Q2 00:17
    Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  209. Q2 00:17
    Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  210. Q2 00:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  211. Q2 00:17
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  212. Q2 00:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic)
  213. Q2 00:21
    Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover
  214. Q2 00:40
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    58-71
  215. Q2 00:44
    Nuggets turnover
  216. Q2 00:52
    +3
    Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot
    53-66
  217. Q2 1:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    58-71
  218. Q2 1:22
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    82-97
  219. Q2 1:37
    Devin Vassell personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
  220. Q2 1:37
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-71
  221. Q2 1:37
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-97
  222. Q2 1:37
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  223. Q2 1:43
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  224. Q2 1:46
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  225. Q2 2:04
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point jump shot
    49-60
  226. Q2 2:15
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Spencer Jones draws the foul)
  227. Q2 2:16
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  228. Q2 2:18
    Keldon Johnson misses two point driving layup
  229. Q2 2:38
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    133-129
  230. Q2 2:45
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  231. Q2 2:46
    Luke Kornet blocks Spencer Jones's two point running layup
  232. Q2 2:51
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  233. Q2 2:53
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  234. Q2 3:02
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  235. Q2 3:02
    +2
    Spencer Jones makes two point tip layup
    108-113
  236. Q2 3:07
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  237. Q2 3:13
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  238. Q2 3:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  239. Q2 3:21
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  240. Q2 3:24
    Christian Braun misses three point jump shot
  241. Q2 3:27
    Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
  242. Q2 3:28
    Nikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot
  243. Q2 3:40
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-60
  244. Q2 3:40
    Christian Braun shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
  245. Q2 3:40
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  246. Q2 3:40
    Spurs offensive rebound
  247. Q2 3:53
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    53-69
  248. Q2 4:06
    Christian Braun defensive rebound
  249. Q2 4:09
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 4:17
    Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
  251. Q2 4:17
    Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  252. Q2 4:17
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  253. Q2 4:17
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
  254. Q2 4:17
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  255. Q2 4:17
    +1
    Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    133-129
  256. Q2 4:29
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    133-129
  257. Q2 4:51
    +3
    Julian Strawther makes three point jump shot
    53-69
  258. Q2 5:12
    Christian Braun shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  259. Q2 5:12
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    29-45
  260. Q2 5:12
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
    53-69
  261. Q2 5:22
    Spurs offensive rebound
  262. Q2 5:22
    Devin Vassell misses two point running layup
  263. Q2 5:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  264. Q2 5:22
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  265. Q2 5:28
    Nikola Jokic turnover
  266. Q2 5:37
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  267. Q2 5:39
    Julian Champagnie misses two point pullup jump shot
  268. Q2 5:58
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    53-69
  269. Q2 6:07
    Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
  270. Q2 6:10
    Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
  271. Q2 6:24
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  272. Q2 6:28
    Julian Strawther misses three point jump shot
  273. Q2 6:35
    Luke Kornet kicked ball violation
  274. Q2 6:44
    Nuggets lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Julian Strawther, Christian Braun, Spencer Jones, Nikola Jokic)
  275. Q2 6:44
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  276. Q2 6:44
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  277. Q2 6:45
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    29-45
  278. Q2 7:02
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  279. Q2 7:04
    Jonas Valanciunas misses two point turnaround jump shot
  280. Q2 7:14
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  281. Q2 7:18
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  282. Q2 7:23
    Nuggets turnover
  283. Q2 7:49
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-45
  284. Q2 7:54
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  285. Q2 7:58
    Dylan Harper blocks Christian Braun's two point layup
  286. Q2 8:04
    Julian Strawther defensive rebound
  287. Q2 8:09
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 8:15
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 8:15
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  290. Q2 8:28
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot
    82-97
  291. Q2 8:40
    +2
    Julian Strawther makes two point driving finger roll layup
    29-45
  292. Q2 8:48
    Spurs turnover
  293. Q2 8:55
    Julian Strawther personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)
  294. Q2 8:55
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Mason Plumlee, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
  295. Q2 9:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    112-113
  296. Q2 9:14
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  297. Q2 9:17
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  298. Q2 9:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
    29-45
  299. Q2 9:49
    Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Cameron Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
  300. Q2 9:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    112-113
  301. Q2 9:49
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  302. Q2 10:02
    Jamal Murray turnover
  303. Q2 10:17
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  304. Q2 10:17
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  305. Q2 10:17
    Nuggets personal foul
  306. Q2 10:17
    Spurs offensive rebound
  307. Q2 10:17
    Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Mason Plumlee, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
  308. Q2 10:17
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    112-113
  309. Q2 10:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  310. Q2 10:24
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  311. Q2 10:27
    Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
  312. Q2 10:41
    +3
    Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot
    58-71
  313. Q2 10:50
    Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
  314. Q2 10:51
    Jonas Valanciunas misses two point driving hook shot
  315. Q2 11:00
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  316. Q1 00:41
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  317. Q1 3:55
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  318. Q1 3:55
    Spurs challenge timeout
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Spurs
  • Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 242.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +132, Spurs -145

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 37%
  • Spurs: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 118-122 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 37%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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