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Celtics vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Thunder NBA game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
102
104
Mar 13, 1:30AM Paycom Center
Mar 13, 1:30AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 28 | 19 | 36 | 19 | 102 |
Thunder | 27 | 20 | 33 | 23 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
15%
85%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 28 | 19 | 36 | 19 | 102 |
Thunder | 27 | 20 | 33 | 23 | 104 |
Q4 00:00 Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:02 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
End of 4th Quarter.
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-103
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-104
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
102-104
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
102-102
Jaylen Brown personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-102
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-102
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
98-100
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
102-104
Baylor Scheierman offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-98
Thunder 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
+1
Neemias Queta makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-98
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
94-98
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard)
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta personal foul
Neemias Queta turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-96
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 3
94-96
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 3
102-104
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
102-104
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-92
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-93
Celtics personal foul
Jaylen Brown personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses two point driving layup
Thunder defensive rebound
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses two point driving layup
Celtics personal foul
Celtics turnover
Payton Pritchard personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Jaylin Williams offensive foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jaylin Williams makes two point cutting layup
102-104
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point jump shot
102-104
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luka Garza personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Luka Garza turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
95-98
Thunder personal foul
+1
Luka Garza makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-89
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
+1
Luka Garza makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-104
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-98
Thunder 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Payton Pritchard, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses two point turnaround hook shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Hugo Gonzalez offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
87-87
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
95-98
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-98
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-102
+3
Jared McCain makes three point running jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)
95-98
Celtics turnover
Cason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Neemias Queta steals)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-102
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard)
Payton Pritchard misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. Neemias Queta vs. Alex Caruso (Payton Pritchard gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot
95-98
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Hugo Gonzalez draws the foul)
+1
Hugo Gonzalez makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-102
+1
Hugo Gonzalez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-102
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
81-77
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-100
Hugo Gonzalez turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Ron Harper Jr. personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Jordan Walsh turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Wiggins steals)
Jump ball. Aaron Wiggins vs. Jordan Walsh (Aaron Wiggins gains possession)
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Ron Harper Jr., Hugo Gonzalez, Jordan Walsh, Neemias Queta)
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Thunder challenge timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Thunder turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
79-75
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point jump shot
95-98
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
95-98
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
83-80
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
83-80
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
71-71
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-98
Celtics 60 second timeout
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
95-98
Celtics turnover
Luka Garza personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-66
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-100
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-100
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-100
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
95-98
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
100-100
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-80
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
91-93
Ajay Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Loose ball) (Sam Hauser draws the foul)
Celtics personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Luka Garza misses three point jump shot
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point jump shot
83-80
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Sam Hauser misses three point jump shot
Baylor Scheierman offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luka Garza personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Baylor Scheierman misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-47
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
47-47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-47
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren personal foul (Loose ball) (Luka Garza draws the foul)
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Payton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
End of 1st Half.
+3
Payton Pritchard makes three point stepback jump shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)
47-47
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Payton Pritchard, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman)
Thunder personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Ron Harper Jr., Payton Pritchard, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
47-47
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-47
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
47-47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Hugo Gonzalez, Payton Pritchard, Luka Garza, Baylor Scheierman)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
47-47
+3
Hugo Gonzalez makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
47-47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-47
+3
Luka Garza makes three point jump shot
47-47
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Ajay Mitchell personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-47
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Hugo Gonzalez, Payton Pritchard, Luka Garza)
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 55 | B. Scheierman | 11 | 7 | 5 |
| G-F | 13 | R. Harper Jr. | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 30 | S. Hauser | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 34 | 6 | 7 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | C. Wallace | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 35 | 6 | 9 |
| F | 5 | L. Dort | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| C | 7 | C. Holmgren | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| G | 9 | A. Caruso | 7 | 4 | 2 |
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Celtics vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Thunder
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 216.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics +290, Thunder -325
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 23%
- Thunder: 77%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 105-113 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 23%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Celtics in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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