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Pacers vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Kings NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Pacers
109
114
Mar 11, 2AM Golden 1 Center
Kings
Mar 11, 2AM Golden 1 Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Pacers
25 34 46 0 109
Kings
24 18 67 0 114
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
PacersIND
Win %
2%
98%
KingsSAC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
25 34 46 0 109
Kings
24 18 67 0 114
Q4 00:04 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:09 Ben Sheppard makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:10 Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:15 Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Jay Huff makes two point driving dunk (Ben Sheppard assists)
Q4 1:16 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:01
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Q4 00:04
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06
Ben Sheppard personal foul (Take) (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
Q4 00:06
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q4 00:06
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q4 00:06
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q4 00:06
+1
Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q4 00:08
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)
Q4 00:08
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Q4 00:08
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 00:09
+2
Ben Sheppard makes two point tip layup
105-109
Q4 00:10
Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Q4 00:15
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:16
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 00:16
Pacers personal foul
Q4 00:16
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-109
Q4 00:16
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q4 00:36
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 00:38
Pacers offensive rebound
Q4 00:42
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54
Maxime Raynaud turnover
Q4 1:08
+2
Jay Huff makes two point driving dunk (Ben Sheppard assists)
105-109
Q4 1:14
Kam Jones defensive rebound
Q4 1:16
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Q4 1:36
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46
Ben Sheppard personal foul (Devin Carter draws the foul)
Q4 1:46
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q4 1:46
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q4 1:53
Jay Huff turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 1:53
Jay Huff personal foul (Loose ball) (Nique Clifford draws the foul)
Q4 1:53
Jay Huff turnover (lost ball)
Q4 1:53
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 1:53
Jay Huff turnover
Q4 1:53
Jay Huff turnover (lost ball)
Q4 2:07
+3
Devin Carter makes three point pullup jump shot
105-109
Q4 2:20
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Q4 2:22
Aaron Nesmith misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:46
Devin Carter turnover
Q4 2:56
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 3:09
+3
Devin Carter makes three point jump shot
101-104
Q4 3:23
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 3:27
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Q4 3:31
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:47
+2
Devin Carter makes two point driving layup
101-101
Q4 4:01
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q4 4:13
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q4 4:13
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q4 4:16
+3
Devin Carter makes three point stepback jump shot
105-109
Q4 4:29
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q4 4:33
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:54
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 5:04
Jarace Walker misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 5:04
Kings defensive rebound
Q4 5:12
Kam Jones offensive rebound
Q4 5:15
Ben Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:29
Kings 60 second timeout
Q4 5:29
Devin Carter personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)
Q4 5:29
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q4 5:42
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 5:59
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q4 6:27
+2
Daeqwon Plowden makes two point jump shot
95-92
Q4 6:37
Jarace Walker turnover (lost ball) (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
Q4 6:40
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Q4 6:44
Devin Carter misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:58
+2
Jay Huff makes two point driving hook shot (Kam Jones assists)
105-109
Q4 7:06
Kings personal foul
Q4 7:14
Kings personal foul
Q4 7:14
Nique Clifford turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 7:14
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q4 7:17
Nique Clifford defensive rebound
Q4 7:22
Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:37
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 7:48
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q4 7:51
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:06
Kam Jones defensive rebound
Q4 8:11
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:25
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q4 8:39
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 8:43
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Q4 8:46
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:49
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q4 8:51
Devin Carter misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 9:00
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 3 of 3
90-86
Q4 9:00
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q4 9:00
Aaron Nesmith personal foul
Q4 9:00
Instant replay
Q4 9:00
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 3
105-109
Q4 9:00
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 2 of 3
105-109
Q4 9:12
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q4 9:30
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
101-101
Q4 9:45
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q4 10:06
+2
Killian Hayes makes two point layup
84-77
Q4 10:09
Kam Jones turnover (lost ball) (Killian Hayes steals)
Q4 10:17
Drew Eubanks turnover (out of bounds step)
Q4 10:28
Killian Hayes defensive rebound
Q4 10:32
Jarace Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:51
+2
Drew Eubanks makes two point floating jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
105-109
Q4 11:03
Nique Clifford shooting foul (Micah Potter draws the foul)
Q4 11:03
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
101-101
Q4 11:03
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-109
Q4 11:26
+2
Devin Carter makes two point tip layup
90-86
Q4 11:26
Devin Carter offensive rebound
Q4 11:26
Pacers personal foul
Q4 11:26
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q4 11:26
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Q4 11:26
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-109
Q4 11:28
Daeqwon Plowden misses two point tip layup
Q4 11:28
Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
Q4 11:29
Nique Clifford misses two point cutting layup
Q4 11:31
Kobe Brown turnover (bad pass) (Daeqwon Plowden steals)
Q4 11:40
+2
Nique Clifford makes two point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
105-109
Q3 00:00
Instant replay
Q3 00:00
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
Pacers personal foul
Q3 00:00
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q3 00:00
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
+1
Drew Eubanks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 00:00
Pacers offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:10
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Q3 00:14
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:18
Devin Carter turnover (bad pass) (Kobe Brown steals)
Q3 00:31
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q3 00:34
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:56
Killian Hayes turnover (Taelon Peter steals)
Q3 1:10
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q3 1:13
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:19
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q3 1:22
Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:33
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
Q3 1:33
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-101
Q3 1:33
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-101
Q3 1:33
Kings personal foul
Q3 1:35
Taelon Peter misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:38
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Q3 1:40
Micah Potter blocks Daeqwon Plowden's two point running dunk
Q3 1:43
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Q3 1:45
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:57
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
82-70
Q3 2:01
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Q3 2:02
Drew Eubanks defensive rebound
Q3 2:04
Drew Eubanks blocks Quenton Jackson's two point layup
Q3 2:04
Micah Potter misses two point layup
Q3 2:16
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q3 2:16
Kings personal foul
Q3 2:17
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 2:17
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:23
Pacers turnover
Q3 2:40
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 2:45
Pacers turnover
Q3 3:01
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Q3 3:04
Pacers personal foul
Q3 3:04
Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 3:04
Kings offensive rebound
Q3 3:04
Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 3:06
Pacers turnover
Q3 3:18
Pacers personal foul
Q3 3:18
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q3 3:18
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Taelon Peter, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Q3 3:18
Kings lineup change (Drew Eubanks, Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q3 3:18
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 3:28
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Q3 3:31
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:52
Pacers personal foul
Q3 3:52
Killian Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 3:52
Kings offensive rebound
Q3 3:52
+1
Killian Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 4:00
Kings personal foul
Q3 4:00
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q3 4:00
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 4:15
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
101-101
Q3 4:15
Pacers personal foul
Q3 4:15
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Nique Clifford, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q3 4:15
+1
Maxime Raynaud makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-109
Q3 4:15
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Micah Potter)
Q3 4:15
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q3 4:15
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Taelon Peter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Micah Potter)
Q3 4:17
Daeqwon Plowden defensive rebound
Q3 4:22
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:39
Pacers personal foul
Q3 4:39
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 4:39
Kings offensive rebound
Q3 4:39
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Russell Westbrook, Killian Hayes, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q3 4:39
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Q3 4:39
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 4:39
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter)
Q3 4:58
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q3 5:03
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Q3 5:09
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:17
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 5:20
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:36
Pacers personal foul
Q3 5:36
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-109
Q3 5:36
+1
Daeqwon Plowden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 5:39
Pacers turnover
Q3 5:51
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q3 5:55
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:09
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
71-51
Q3 6:23
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 6:36
+2
Jay Huff makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 6:56
+3
Russell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)
105-109
Q3 7:06
Jarace Walker personal foul
Q3 7:06
Pacers 60 second timeout
Q3 7:06
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q3 7:06
Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Maxime Raynaud, Daeqwon Plowden)
Q3 7:09
Ben Sheppard personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)
Q3 7:11
Precious Achiuwa defensive rebound
Q3 7:15
Obi Toppin misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:31
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q3 7:33
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:49
+2
Obi Toppin makes two point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
82-70
Q3 8:04
Pacers personal foul
Q3 8:04
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 8:04
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q3 8:04
Kings offensive rebound
Q3 8:04
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-109
Q3 8:26
+3
Obi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
82-70
Q3 8:44
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:44
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 8:55
Pacers personal foul
Q3 8:55
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q3 8:55
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q3 9:06
+3
Kam Jones makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
82-70
Q3 9:20
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 9:28
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 9:31
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:46
+2
Maxime Raynaud makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 9:46
+3
Jay Huff makes three point jump shot
105-109
Q3 9:51
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q3 9:54
DeMar DeRozan defensive rebound
Q3 9:55
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:01
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Q3 10:02
Kings personal foul
Q3 10:02
Instant replay
Q3 10:02
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Q3 10:02
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 3
105-109
Q3 10:02
Pacers offensive rebound
Q3 10:02
+1
Obi Toppin makes regular free throw 3 of 3
105-109
Q3 10:05
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:15
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q3 10:17
DeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:26
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q3 10:28
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:40
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-109
Q3 10:41
Nique Clifford offensive rebound
Q3 10:43
Maxime Raynaud misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:52
Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:05
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Q3 11:07
Precious Achiuwa misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:17
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 11:22
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:31
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Q3 11:33
Kings misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:48
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
61-42
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff)
Q3 12:00
Kings lineup change (Precious Achiuwa, Nique Clifford, DeMar DeRozan, Russell Westbrook, Maxime Raynaud)
Q1 8:45
Pacers violation
Q1 9:39
Kings offensive rebound
Q1 9:39
Kings misses two point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Pacers
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G7 K. Jones 14 4 9
C32 J. Huff 12 7 3
F5 J. Walker 8 9 2
G23 A. Nesmith 29 4 3
G26 B. Sheppard 9 4 3
Kings
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
G-F29 D. Plowden 10 6 0
C42 M. Raynaud 18 11 2
G3 K. Hayes 8 4 4
G22 D. Carter 24 5 3
G5 N. Clifford 12 5 2

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Pacers vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Kings
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -3
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +136, Kings -149

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 42%
  • Kings: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 116-119 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 42%, while the Kings have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Kings are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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