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Timberwolves vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Lakers NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
120
Mar 11, 3AM Crypto.com Arena
Mar 11, 3AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 21 | 63 | 22 | 0 | 106 |
Lakers | 16 | 83 | 21 | 0 | 120 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
18%
82%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 21 | 63 | 22 | 0 | 106 |
Lakers | 16 | 83 | 21 | 0 | 120 |
Q4 00:25 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Drew Timme makes three point jump shot (Bronny James assists)
Q4 00:52 Julian Phillips makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Jaylen Clark makes two point running layup (Julian Phillips assists)
Q4 1:59 Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Lakers turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
106-120
+3
Drew Timme makes three point jump shot (Bronny James assists)
103-120
+2
Julian Phillips makes two point jump shot
106-120
Julian Phillips defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Adou Thiero defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
106-120
+2
Jaylen Clark makes two point running layup (Julian Phillips assists)
106-120
Lakers turnover
Marcus Smart personal foul (Take) (Terrence Shannon Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
Timberwolves personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Bronny James, Adou Thiero, Dalton Knecht, Kobe Bufkin, Drew Timme)
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
84-99
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
84-99
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-99
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
84-99
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving floating jump shot
84-99
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
84-99
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaylen Clark, Terrence Shannon Jr., Joan Beringer, Joe Ingles, Julian Phillips)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point alley-oop dunk (Austin Reaves assists)
84-99
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
106-120
+2
Ayo Dosunmu makes two point jump shot
84-99
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
84-99
Luka Doncic personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Ayo Dosunmu, Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
84-99
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ayo Dosunmu turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot
84-99
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
84-99
Lakers 60 second timeout
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt personal foul (Away from play) (Bones Hyland draws the foul)
Jarred Vanderbilt technical foul (Double)
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-99
Donte DiVincenzo technical foul (Double)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Naz Reid personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-99
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Ayo Dosunmu, Terrence Shannon Jr., Rudy Gobert)
+2
Ayo Dosunmu makes two point jump shot
84-99
Lakers personal foul
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Naz Reid blocks Deandre Ayton's two point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Luke Kennard makes two point jump shot
84-99
Luke Kennard personal foul (Bones Hyland draws the foul)
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
+1
Bones Hyland makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Ayo Dosunmu personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-96
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
77-95
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point stepback jump shot
77-95
+3
Austin Reaves makes three point jump shot
77-95
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
106-120
Lakers violation
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
70-91
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-120
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Ayo Dosunmu makes two point jump shot (Rudy Gobert assists)
70-88
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Luke Kennard makes two point driving floating jump shot
77-95
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-99
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
84-99
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
Julius Randle offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Anderson shooting foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
84-99
Lakers challenge timeout
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
106-120
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+2
Bones Hyland makes two point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)
65-82
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic, Jarred Vanderbilt)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-99
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Luke Kennard blocks Anthony Edwards's two point driving floating jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
106-120
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
106-120
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
84-99
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-99
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-70
Luke Kennard personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
84-99
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point jump shot
84-99
Ayo Dosunmu personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-70
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson)
+3
Austin Reaves makes three point stepback jump shot
56-70
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-99
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Luka Doncic)
Luka Doncic turnover (Anthony Edwards steals)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels personal foul
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)
56-70
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-120
Ayo Dosunmu turnover (Jake LaRavia steals)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Naz Reid makes two point jump shot
56-70
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards personal foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-64
Jake LaRavia misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid personal foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-70
Lakers 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Ayo Dosunmu, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Jake LaRavia makes two point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)
56-70
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (traveling)
Lakers personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
Julius Randle personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-120
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Ayo Dosunmu, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid)
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Jaden McDaniels misses three point jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)
56-70
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-120
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid)
Lakers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Austin Reaves misses two point pullup jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-70
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
Lakers personal foul
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback bank jump shot (Jake LaRavia assists)
56-70
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
Jump ball. (Donte DiVincenzo gains possession)
Luka Doncic turnover
Marcus Smart personal foul (Anthony Edwards draws the foul)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic)
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-120
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-99
Timberwolves turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving layup
46-49
Timberwolves turnover
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
Lakers personal foul
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
56-70
Anthony Edwards personal foul
Anthony Edwards turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton, Luka Doncic)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
84-99
Timberwolves turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point stepback jump shot (Naz Reid assists)
56-70
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)
82-99
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Kyle Anderson)
Naz Reid personal foul
Lakers violation
+2
Julius Randle makes two point driving layup
84-99
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-99
+2
Naz Reid makes two point turnaround hook shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
84-99
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Marcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball) (Rudy Gobert draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Luka Doncic)
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Deandre Ayton, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 22 | J. Clark | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 4 | J. Phillips | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| F-G | 7 | J. Ingles | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 19 | J. Beringer | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G-F | 1 | T. Shannon Jr. | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 1 | A. Thiero | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 4 | D. Knecht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 17 | D. Timme | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 9 | B. James | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 18 | K. Bufkin | 2 | 0 | 0 |
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Timberwolves vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Lakers
- Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 229
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves -142, Lakers +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 58%
- Lakers: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 115-113 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 58%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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