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Pacers vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Lakers NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
117
128
Mar 7, 3:30AM Crypto.com Arena
Mar 7, 3:30AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 27 | 24 | 29 | 37 | 117 |
Lakers | 35 | 29 | 35 | 29 | 128 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 27 | 24 | 29 | 37 | 117 |
Lakers | 35 | 29 | 35 | 29 | 128 |
Q4 00:17 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
117-128
Lakers turnover
Chris Manon defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
115-128
Lakers personal foul
Ben Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-128
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-128
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Chris Manon defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
111-128
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
111-126
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
109-126
Dalton Knecht defensive rebound
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Chris Manon personal foul
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-123
Micah Potter misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-123
Kobe Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
107-123
Lakers personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-123
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Chris Manon, Kobe Bufkin, Bronny James, Dalton Knecht)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
103-124
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
103-123
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
103-121
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-121
Lakers personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Bronny James, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart)
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-119
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Bronny James, Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart)
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-119
Pacers defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff, Kobe Brown)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
98-119
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
96-119
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
96-117
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
93-117
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
93-114
Pacers defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-113
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-114
Pacers turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
91-112
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
91-110
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-106
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves)
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, T.J. McConnell, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-107
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
91-105
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
89-105
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
89-103
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
86-103
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
86-101
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-101
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
84-99
Lakers turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
82-99
Lakers turnover
Pacers misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
80-99
Lakers personal foul
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-96
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-96
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
79-94
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-93
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-94
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
77-92
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
74-92
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
74-90
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
72-90
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
72-88
Lakers personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-86
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-86
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt)
Lakers turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
70-86
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
Jump ball. Jake LaRavia vs. T.J. McConnell (Luke Kennard gains possession)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-85
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-86
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, T.J. McConnell, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Kobe Brown)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
68-84
Pacers 60 second timeout
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, Kobe Brown)
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith misses two point layup
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-81
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, Jake LaRavia, Rui Hachimura)
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Kobe Brown)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-82
Pacers turnover
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
68-80
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
68-78
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
66-78
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-75
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers violation
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-75
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-75
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
63-75
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
63-73
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
63-70
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-70
Jay Huff offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-70
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
58-70
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
58-68
Lakers personal foul
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
55-68
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
53-68
Pacers personal foul
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-65
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-66
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
53-64
Pascal Siakam misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Marcus Smart personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
Pacers personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-64
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-64
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Andrew Nembhard)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
51-62
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
51-62
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
49-59
Lakers defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point jump shot
51-62
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Jarace Walker turnover
+3
Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot
51-62
+2
Jay Huff makes two point jump shot
27-35
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers turnover
Andrew Nembhard personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Jarace Walker, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
27-35
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
27-35
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Jarred Vanderbilt personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Obi Toppin, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Andrew Nembhard)
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Ben Sheppard shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point driving dunk (Austin Reaves assists)
27-35
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-35
Lakers lineup change (Luka Doncic, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
27-35
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point jump shot
27-35
Quenton Jackson violation
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Pacers 60 second timeout
Austin Reaves turnover
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
Austin Reaves turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Lakers personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-35
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 3 of 3
27-35
Quenton Jackson personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 3
27-35
Lakers offensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-35
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-35
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-35
Jump ball. (T.J. McConnell gains possession)
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses two point putback layup
Pacers defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Austin Reaves misses two point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, T.J. McConnell, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Lakers lineup change (Drew Timme, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | J. Walker | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| C | 32 | J. Huff | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| C | 11 | M. Potter | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 26 | B. Sheppard | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| F | 24 | K. Brown | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 30 | C. Manon | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 4 | D. Knecht | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 17 | D. Timme | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 9 | B. James | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 18 | K. Bufkin | 0 | 0 | 1 |
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Pacers vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Lakers
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lakers favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +330, Lakers -400
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 24%
- Lakers: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 113-121 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 24%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lakers are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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