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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Trail Blazers vs. Rockets NBA game on March 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
89
93
Mar 7, 1AM Toyota Center
Mar 7, 1AM Toyota Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trail Blazers | 34 | 22 | 26 | 7 | 89 |
Rockets | 27 | 30 | 20 | 16 | 93 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
9%
91%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trail Blazers | 34 | 22 | 26 | 7 | 89 |
Rockets | 27 | 30 | 20 | 16 | 93 |
Q4 00:09 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:32 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:52 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:50 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-93
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-93
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
89-93
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-93
Trail Blazers turnover
Rockets turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
89-93
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Matisse Thybulle defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
89-93
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
89-93
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-93
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-93
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-93
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Rockets personal foul
Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Jrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-93
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Robert Williams III)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-93
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
89-93
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot
89-93
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Robert Williams III)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-93
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Jerami Grant misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Clint Capela turnover (offensive foul)
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-91
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-89
Trail Blazers turnover
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
89-87
Trail Blazers personal foul
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
89-85
Rockets turnover
Trail Blazers turnover
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan)
Trail Blazers turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
87-85
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
87-82
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-81
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-82
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
85-79
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-80
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
85-77
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers turnover
Rockets turnover
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
82-77
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
80-77
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
80-75
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
78-75
Rockets personal foul
Blake Wesley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets violation
Trail Blazers violation
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Robert Williams III, Blake Wesley)
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Toumani Camara offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
76-75
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Trail Blazers turnover
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
73-75
Rockets 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Robert Williams III)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
71-75
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
71-72
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point driving floating jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
69-72
Jump ball. Jerami Grant (Amen Thompson gains possession)
Rockets defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-69
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-70
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Robert Williams III)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
69-68
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
67-68
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-66
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
67-65
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
64-65
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-63
Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-63
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
62-61
Rockets personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-61
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
60-61
Rockets personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-59
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-59
Jerami Grant defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
58-59
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
56-59
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan)
Alperen Sengun turnover (lost ball)
Alperen Sengun misses two point driving layup
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
56-57
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
54-57
Rockets personal foul
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-55
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
53-55
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
50-55
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
50-53
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
48-53
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Rockets personal foul
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-51
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-51
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-51
Trail Blazers turnover
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Vit Krejci offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-49
Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Donovan Clingan)
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
45-47
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
43-47
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-45
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-45
Rockets turnover
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
41-45
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers personal foul
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III)
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-42
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-41
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
41-39
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-38
Trail Blazers personal foul
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-39
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III)
Trail Blazers personal foul
Robert Williams III turnover (offensive foul)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Matisse Thybulle, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Blake Wesley)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith)
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Trail Blazers personal foul
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers turnover
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-35
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-36
Rockets personal foul
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-34
+1
Blake Wesley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-34
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-34
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-31
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-32
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
37-29
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-29
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Blake Wesley)
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason)
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
34-27
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-26
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-27
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
+1
Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-25
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-25
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-22
Trail Blazers personal foul
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-23
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-20
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Toumani Camara, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan, Blake Wesley)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Trail Blazers offensive rebound
+1
Toumani Camara makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-18
Rockets turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
30-18
Trail Blazers personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason)
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-18
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
27-17
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
26-15
Rockets personal foul
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Donovan Clingan)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Josh Okogie, Aaron Holiday, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
27-15
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
24-15
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
21-15
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
21-13
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Toumani Camara makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-13
Toumani Camara misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Vit Krejci, Robert Williams III)
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-13
Trail Blazers turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-11
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
17-9
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
14-9
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Scoot Henderson offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Scoot Henderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-9
Scoot Henderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Trail Blazers lineup change (Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, Toumani Camara, Jrue Holiday, Robert Williams III)
Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
12-9
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
+3
Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
10-9
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
10-6
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-6
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-4
+1
Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-4
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
5-4
+3
Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
5-2
Rockets turnover
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Scoot Henderson offensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
0-2
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Toumani Camara defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Clingan vs. Alperen Sengun (Scoot Henderson gains possession)
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 33 | T. Camara | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 5 | J. Holiday | 20 | 4 | 10 |
| C-F | 35 | R. Williams III | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| F | 9 | J. Grant | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| G-F | 4 | M. Thybulle | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 30 | C. Capela | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| F | 17 | T. Eason | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| G | 15 | R. Sheppard | 17 | 3 | 6 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 20 | 8 | 5 |
| G | 1 | A. Thompson | 26 | 7 | 7 |
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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Trail Blazers vs. Rockets
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5
- Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers +225, Rockets -263
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Trail Blazers: 31%
- Rockets: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Trail Blazers 108-114 Rockets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Trail Blazers a win probability of 31%, while the Rockets have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Toyota Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Trail Blazers vs. Rockets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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