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Thunder vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Lakers NBA game on February 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
110
Feb 10, 3AM Crypto.com Arena
Feb 10, 3AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 31 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 119 |
Lakers | 30 | 26 | 38 | 5 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
87%
13%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 31 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 119 |
Lakers | 30 | 26 | 38 | 5 | 110 |
Q4 00:17 Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Lakers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-99
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-99
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-99
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-99
Lakers 60 second timeout
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-99
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
100-99
Instant replay
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
Instant replay
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
100-99
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
100-99
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder personal foul
Lakers personal foul
Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
100-99
Austin Reaves turnover (out of bounds step)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-99
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
102-99
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses three point jump shot
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain misses two point running layup
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Lakers turnover
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Jared McCain misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-99
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
100-99
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Austin Reaves turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jared McCain defensive rebound
LeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 2
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lakers misses two point jump shot
LeBron James offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Lakers offensive rebound
Jump ball. (Marcus Smart gains possession)
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lost ball)
Thunder personal foul
Lakers personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Isaiah Hartenstein double lane violation
Deandre Ayton double lane violation
LeBron James personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (Luguentz Dort steals)
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot
98-97
+3
Alex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
98-97
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Deandre Ayton draws the foul)
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Lakers offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-97
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt personal foul
Lakers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point driving layup
Lakers defensive rebound
Lakers violation
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
93-94
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain)
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Lakers offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
93-94
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-89
Thunder personal foul
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-90
Jake LaRavia shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-89
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-89
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
88-89
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren turnover
Austin Reaves personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes technical free throw 1 of 1
88-89
Lakers turnover
Jaylin Williams turnover (Jarred Vanderbilt steals)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Jaxson Hayes shooting foul (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-87
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-89
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-89
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Isaiah Joe shooting foul (Jaxson Hayes draws the foul)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
87-87
Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-87
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Austin Reaves personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
Lakers violation
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-85
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-85
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
77-85
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Isaiah Joe personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-85
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-85
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
77-85
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
LeBron James misses two point bank jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-85
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-85
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-85
Lakers personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Jake LaRavia draws the foul)
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-85
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-85
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point driving layup
77-85
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
74-68
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-68
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-68
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
74-68
Thunder turnover
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-68
+1
Jake LaRavia makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-68
LeBron James defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
74-68
Deandre Ayton shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-68
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-68
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
74-68
Cason Wallace personal foul
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-68
+1
LeBron James makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-68
Thunder turnover
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
74-68
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
74-68
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-56
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura)
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
63-56
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Luke Kennard's two point driving reverse layup
Lakers personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-56
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-56
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop dunk (Austin Reaves assists)
63-56
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point layup (Luguentz Dort assists)
63-56
Austin Reaves turnover
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot
63-56
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Luke Kennard makes two point pullup jump shot
63-56
Lakers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaxson Hayes misses two point tip layup
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
LeBron James misses two point driving bank hook shot
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point pullup jump shot
63-56
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-52
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, LeBron James, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
63-56
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
56-47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Lakers offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Lakers personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-56
Jaxson Hayes turnover (offensive foul)
Lakers personal foul
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-56
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-56
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-56
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
54-43
Jaylin Williams personal foul
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain)
Deandre Ayton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Deandre Ayton misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-56
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
63-56
Thunder personal foul
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-56
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-47
Lakers 60 second timeout
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jaylin Williams turnover (bad pass)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Austin Reaves misses three point jump shot
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot
56-47
Austin Reaves turnover (Isaiah Joe steals)
Jaylin Williams turnover (Marcus Smart steals)
Jake LaRavia personal foul
Lakers lineup change (Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-56
LeBron James turnover (Jaylin Williams steals)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Jared McCain)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
63-56
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lakers turnover
Jake LaRavia offensive rebound
Lakers misses three point jump shot
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point cutting dunk (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
42-38
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point jump shot
+2
Jared McCain makes two point pullup jump shot
40-38
+2
LeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
38-38
+2
Isaiah Joe makes two point cutting layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
38-36
Thunder offensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Maxi Kleber, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
Jarred Vanderbilt turnover (out of bounds step)
Lakers lineup change (Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Maxi Kleber, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton)
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Thunder offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Luke Kennard personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
+2
Jarred Vanderbilt makes two point reverse layup (LeBron James assists)
36-36
LeBron James defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point turnaround jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot
36-34
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jared McCain shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
+3
Jared McCain makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
36-32
+2
LeBron James makes two point fadeaway jump shot
33-32
+2
Jared McCain makes two point stepback jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
33-30
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving dunk (Jaxson Hayes assists)
31-30
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain)
Start of 2nd Quarter
Thunder misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Maxi Kleber, Marcus Smart)
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins turnover (back court violation)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point tip layup
31-28
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point driving layup
31-26
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Jaxson Hayes misses two point layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point pullup jump shot
29-26
LeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
27-26
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point driving finger roll layup
24-26
LeBron James defensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, LeBron James, Austin Reaves)
Thunder offensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Luke Kennard shooting foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jarred Vanderbilt misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
24-24
Aaron Wiggins shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point pullup jump shot
21-23
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-24
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Luke Kennard makes three point pullup jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)
21-21
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
21-18
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Jaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop dunk (Austin Reaves assists)
18-18
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-16
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point running dunk
17-16
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Austin Reaves shooting foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Lakers lineup change (Jaxson Hayes, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Austin Reaves turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point tip layup
15-16
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point driving hook shot (Marcus Smart assists)
13-16
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Lakers lineup change (Luke Kennard, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Luguentz Dort offensive foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Austin Reaves makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
13-14
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
13-12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Deandre Ayton makes two point driving dunk (Austin Reaves assists)
11-12
Lakers turnover
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip layup
11-10
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point tip layup
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Thunder defensive rebound
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura)
Lakers 60 second timeout
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia blocks Jalen Williams's two point driving layup
+2
Rui Hachimura makes two point pullup jump shot
9-10
Cason Wallace misses three point pullup jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Jake LaRavia misses three point jump shot
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point turnaround hook shot
Cason Wallace blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving layup
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point turnaround hook shot (Cason Wallace assists)
9-8
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
7-8
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point running pullup jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Lakers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
LeBron James makes two point driving floating jump shot
7-5
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point running pullup jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
7-3
LeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)
+3
Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
5-3
+3
Jake LaRavia makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)
2-3
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving finger roll layup
2-0
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Rui Hachimura misses three point jump shot
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses two point running finger roll layup
Marcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Cason Wallace steals)
Start of 1st Quarter
Lakers lineup change (LeBron James, Jake LaRavia, Marcus Smart, Deandre Ayton, Rui Hachimura)
Chet Holmgren vs. Deandre Ayton (Marcus Smart gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Williams)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 7 | C. Holmgren | 13 | 10 | 2 |
| G | 5 | L. Dort | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| F | 8 | J. Williams | 23 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 22 | C. Wallace | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| G | 9 | A. Caruso | 17 | 1 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 10 | L. Kennard | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 19 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 28 | R. Hachimura | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 15 | A. Reaves | 16 | 2 | 7 |
| F | 23 | L. James | 22 | 6 | 10 |
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Thunder vs. Lakers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Lakers
- Date: Monday, February 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -238, Lakers +215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 71%
- Lakers: 29%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 113-107 Lakers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 71%, while the Lakers have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Lakers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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