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Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Thunder NBA game on February 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
88
79
Feb 7, 8:30PM Paycom Center
Feb 7, 8:30PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 28 | 18 | 34 | 8 | 88 |
Thunder | 28 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 79 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 28 | 18 | 34 | 8 | 88 |
Thunder | 28 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 79 |
Q4 00:04 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:49 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:52 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-79
Thunder personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Thunder offensive rebound
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Tari Eason offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-79
Thunder 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
Thunder turnover
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-79
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-79
Rockets turnover
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder challenge timeout
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jump ball. (Reed Sheppard gains possession)
Cason Wallace turnover (lost ball)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Alex Caruso makes three point jump shot
88-79
Rockets personal foul
Tari Eason turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-79
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder turnover
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point jump shot
88-79
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Luguentz Dort)
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
88-79
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-79
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-79
Rockets turnover
Rockets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-79
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Thunder personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-79
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-79
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-79
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-79
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-79
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-79
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
88-79
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-79
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Jared McCain misses three point jump shot
Instant replay
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
85-76
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
82-76
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-76
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-74
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-74
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Rockets offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-74
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-74
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
76-73
Thunder personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-73
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 3
74-71
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 3
74-72
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun)
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 3 of 3
74-73
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
74-70
Rockets defensive rebound
Jump ball. (JD Davison gains possession)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Josh Okogie double lane violation
Kenrich Williams double lane violation
Kenrich Williams turnover (lane violation)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Rockets personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
71-70
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder turnover
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Tari Eason)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
68-70
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-70
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
65-68
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
63-68
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
63-65
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-65
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
61-63
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
58-63
Rockets 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-63
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
56-61
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-58
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-56
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-56
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-56
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
54-54
Thunder 60 second timeout
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
52-54
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-54
Rockets personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
50-52
Thunder turnover
Rockets personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes technical free throw 1 of 1
47-52
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
JD Davison defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason)
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
45-52
Thunder personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-52
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-52
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
JD Davison defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort)
Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
43-49
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-49
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-49
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams turnover (lost ball)
Thunder personal foul
JD Davison defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
37-49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-49
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
34-46
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-46
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, JD Davison, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-44
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-41
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-42
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-40
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets turnover
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
32-39
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-38
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-39
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-37
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
30-35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-35
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-33
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-30
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
28-28
Thunder turnover
Thunder turnover
Rockets turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses two point turnaround hook shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-28
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-28
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
25-28
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
25-25
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams)
Rockets lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Reed Sheppard)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-25
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
22-22
Thunder personal foul
Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-22
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Clint Capela turnover
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-20
Rockets turnover
Rockets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela misses two point tip layup
Rockets offensive rebound
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, JD Davison, Clint Capela, Tari Eason)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-17
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
20-15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-15
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-13
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-11
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
15-9
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder turnover
Rockets turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
13-9
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-8
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-9
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
11-7
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-7
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
8-5
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
8-2
Thunder personal foul
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
5-2
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
3-2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
0-2
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Tari Eason, Reed Sheppard)
Start of 1st Quarter
(Cason Wallace gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Thunder
- Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 213.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets +140, Thunder -156
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 37%
- Thunder: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 105-109 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 37%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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