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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on February 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
116
Feb 5, 2:30AM Frost Bank Center
Feb 5, 2:30AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 26 | 32 | 27 | 21 | 106 |
Spurs | 39 | 34 | 22 | 21 | 116 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 26 | 32 | 27 | 21 | 106 |
Spurs | 39 | 34 | 22 | 21 | 116 |
Q4 00:21 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Chris Youngblood misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-116
Stephon Castle misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Chris Youngblood misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-116
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
104-114
Spurs violation
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-112
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
104-110
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
102-110
Spurs personal foul
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-108
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-108
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-108
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
100-106
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-104
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
98-104
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
95-104
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-102
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-102
Thunder personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-102
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
93-101
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
90-101
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-99
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
88-99
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
88-97
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
88-95
Spurs personal foul
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-95
Thunder personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-94
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-95
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs challenge timeout
Instant replay
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Aaron Wiggins turnover (lost ball)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-93
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
80-93
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Spurs challenge timeout
Instant replay
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes misses two point driving layup
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-91
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-90
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-90
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
78-89
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
75-89
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
75-87
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-84
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-84
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-81
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-81
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-79
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-77
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-77
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-77
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-77
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
66-77
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-75
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
64-75
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
64-73
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
61-73
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
58-73
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie turnover (lost ball)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
56-73
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
56-70
Thunder personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-70
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
53-69
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-66
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
50-66
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-63
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
48-63
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
48-60
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Brooks Barnhizer offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Luke Kornet steals)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
48-58
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
45-58
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
42-58
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-56
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-56
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point tip layup
42-56
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-54
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-54
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
+1
Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-54
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
36-54
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-53
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-54
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
33-52
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
30-52
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
30-50
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
30-48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-45
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-45
Thunder turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-42
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
26-42
Thunder turnover
Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
26-35
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
23-35
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Jaylin Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Cason Wallace)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
23-33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-30
Thunder turnover
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
21-28
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
21-26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-23
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
19-23
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
16-23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-21
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder challenge timeout
Instant replay
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Brooks Barnhizer, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-21
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-21
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
11-18
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-15
Spurs personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
Thunder lineup change (Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-15
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
9-14
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
6-14
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
6-11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-9
Cason Wallace shooting foul (De'Aaron Fox draws the foul)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-8
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-9
+2
Jaylin Williams makes two point jump shot
4-7
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop layup (Stephon Castle assists)
2-6
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
2-7
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox blocks Cason Wallace's three point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point alley-oop dunk (De'Aaron Fox assists)
2-4
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
1-2
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-2
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point turnaround jump shot (Julian Champagnie assists)
0-2
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Jaylin Williams blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point driving layup
Start of 1st Quarter
Cason Wallace vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | C. Youngblood | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| G | 23 | B. Barnhizer | 14 | 3 | 5 |
| F | 34 | K. Williams | 25 | 9 | 2 |
| G | 11 | I. Joe | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| C | 15 | B. Carlson | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 3 | K. Johnson | 25 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 5 | S. Castle | 14 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 15 | 4 | 10 |
| C | 1 | V. Wembanyama | 22 | 14 | 2 |
| F | 40 | H. Barnes | 9 | 7 | 1 |
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Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
- Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +335, Spurs -410
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 24%
- Spurs: 76%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 106-114 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 24%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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