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Celtics vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Mavericks NBA game on February 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
100
Feb 4, 1AM American Airlines Center
Feb 4, 1AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 32 | 20 | 34 | 24 | 110 |
Mavericks | 29 | 15 | 23 | 33 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 32 | 20 | 34 | 24 | 110 |
Mavericks | 29 | 15 | 23 | 33 | 100 |
Q4 1:07 Ryan Nembhard makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Payton Pritchard makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:31 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:18 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:34 Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Moussa Cisse misses two point tip layup
Q4 2:48 Baylor Scheierman blocks Naji Marshall's two point putback layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Celtics turnover (shot clock violation)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
+3
Ryan Nembhard makes three point jump shot
110-100
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
110-100
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-100
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Neemias Queta turnover (lost ball) (Jaden Hardy steals)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-100
Mavericks turnover
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly, Dwight Powell, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly, Dwight Powell, Ryan Nembhard)
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Moussa Cisse misses two point tip layup
Baylor Scheierman blocks Naji Marshall's two point putback layup
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse misses two point tip layup
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Cooper Flagg personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses two point cutting layup
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point driving layup
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-91
Baylor Scheierman personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
110-100
Cooper Flagg misses three point pullup jump shot
Jaylen Brown shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
110-100
+2
Max Christie makes two point driving floating jump shot
100-88
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy, Daniel Gafford, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-100
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-100
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
108-95
Luka Garza personal foul (Loose ball) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
+3
Payton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
110-100
+3
Max Christie makes three point jump shot
110-100
Sam Hauser personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Neemias Queta shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
110-100
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point tip layup
110-100
+2
Derrick White makes two point jump shot
110-100
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
110-100
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
88-69
+2
Neemias Queta makes two point jump shot
88-69
Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Naji Marshall misses heave shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Luka Garza personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Luka Garza shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Celtics challenge timeout
Daniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-100
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard)
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot
88-69
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Hugo Gonzalez assists)
88-69
Ryan Nembhard turnover (Hugo Gonzalez steals)
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point pullup jump shot
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-100
Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Hugo Gonzalez, Jordan Walsh)
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard)
Hugo Gonzalez misses three point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
88-69
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
88-69
Hugo Gonzalez offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot
Miles Kelly turnover
+3
Luka Garza makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
88-69
Celtics personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 3
88-69
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 3 of 3
88-69
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 3
110-100
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
88-69
Mavericks personal foul
Hugo Gonzalez misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point layup
Celtics personal foul
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-100
+1
Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-100
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Hugo Gonzalez misses two point tip layup
Hugo Gonzalez offensive rebound
Luka Garza misses two point tip layup
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Luka Garza misses two point tip layup
Luka Garza offensive rebound
Daniel Gafford blocks Payton Pritchard's two point driving layup
Caleb Martin personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
110-100
Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball)
Jump ball. (Naji Marshall gains possession)
Luka Garza blocks Naji Marshall's two point driving layup
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown)
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard turnover
+2
Moussa Cisse makes two point alley-oop layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
88-69
+2
Neemias Queta makes two point jump shot
72-60
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
110-100
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
88-69
+3
Baylor Scheierman makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
88-69
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
110-100
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
110-100
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
110-100
Celtics turnover
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
88-69
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Naji Marshall personal foul (Sam Hauser draws the foul)
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
108-95
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point cutting dunk (Naji Marshall assists)
88-69
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
88-69
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
52-46
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Celtics offensive rebound
Cooper Flagg blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving floating jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman, Jaylen Brown)
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
72-60
Celtics turnover
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point driving floating jump shot
58-48
Jump ball. Dwight Powell vs. Derrick White (Max Christie gains possession)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Dwight Powell personal foul
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball)
Mavericks challenge timeout
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point fadeaway jump shot
58-48
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Sam Hauser blocks Naji Marshall's two point jump shot
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Dwight Powell, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall)
Baylor Scheierman misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Max Christie misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-40
Baylor Scheierman shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
Max Christie defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Payton Pritchard, Baylor Scheierman, Jordan Walsh, Jaylen Brown)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Max Christie assists)
50-40
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin personal foul
+2
Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
50-40
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
50-40
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Daniel Gafford, Miles Kelly, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Miles Kelly turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Derrick White misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Moussa Cisse offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)
Moussa Cisse turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
52-40
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
52-40
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Cooper Flagg misses two point running layup
Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Mavericks offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Neemias Queta shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Luka Garza, Derrick White, Baylor Scheierman, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Miles Kelly defensive rebound
Sam Hauser misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Moussa Cisse, Miles Kelly, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-40
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-40
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Moussa Cisse, Max Christie, Ryan Nembhard)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks violation
+2
Sam Hauser makes two point jump shot (Baylor Scheierman assists)
47-34
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
47-34
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
47-34
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
47-34
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
47-34
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
32-32
Derrick White turnover
Neemias Queta personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point running pullup jump shot
Neemias Queta offensive rebound
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Neemias Queta misses two point layup
Payton Pritchard misses two point jump shot
Baylor Scheierman defensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point pullup jump shot
Instant replay (Request)
End of 1st Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Baylor Scheierman)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-29
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Derrick White misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Klay Thompson makes technical free throw 1 of 1
32-29
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
30-28
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
32-29
+2
Neemias Queta makes two point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
28-26
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Neemias Queta, Payton Pritchard, Hugo Gonzalez, Jaylen Brown)
Mavericks personal foul
Celtics 60 second timeout
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-26
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Jaden Hardy, Daniel Gafford, Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard)
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks turnover
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Hugo Gonzalez defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
25-26
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
23-26
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point reverse layup
23-24
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 27 | J. Walsh | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 26 | 4 | 7 |
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 33 | 11 | 3 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| C | 88 | N. Queta | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 14 | M. Kelly | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| F-C | 7 | D. Powell | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 30 | M. Cisse | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| G | 1 | J. Hardy | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 9 | R. Nembhard | 3 | 0 | 3 |
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Celtics vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Mavericks
- Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -250, Mavericks +215
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 72%
- Mavericks: 28%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 115-109 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 72%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 28%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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