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MLS
Cincinnati vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. NY City MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET Yankee Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
N. Mercau (20')
N. Mercau (35')
A. Ojeda (53')
Talles Magno (79')
K. Denkey (32')
K. Denkey (65')
A. Chirila (90')
Evander (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- NY City
- Cincinnati
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces T. Gray
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Chirila, assisted by P. Bucha
3-4
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander (pen.)
4-4
T. Anunga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. Ojeda
Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces N. Mercau
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
Goal scored for New York City by Talles Magno, assisted by A. Ojeda
2-4
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces H. Wolf
K. Smith (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by G. Valenzuela
2-3
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces E. Echenique
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces G. Flores
Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda, assisted by A. O'Neill
1-3
G. Flores (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Chirila replaces A. Powell
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau, assisted by M. Moralez
1-2
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by E. Echenique
1-1
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces T. Hadebe
Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
0-1
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Cincinnati vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY City
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Cincinnati +290, NY City -115, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Cincinnati: 21.7%
- NY City: 58.0%
- Draw: 20.3%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 NY City (9.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score
NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.
The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 NY City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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