D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
4
:
4
Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Apr 22, 7:30 PM ET Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
J. Hall (15')
Soccer ball icon
R. Donkor (21')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (52')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (71')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (37')
Soccer ball icon
J. Hopkins (54')
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T. Baribo (59')
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T. Baribo (80')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Clark (DC United) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
86'
Yellow Card
M. Peltola (DC United) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Hopkins
81'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces B. Servania
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by S. Hefti
4-4
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Ruvalcaba
77'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces A. Herrera
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by R. Donkor
3-4
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces R. Mosquera
65'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces A. Mehmeti
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by Peglow
3-3
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by J. Hopkins, assisted by Peglow
2-3
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by E. Forsberg
1-3
50'
Yellow Card
A. Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Masanka Bungi replaces M. Dos Santos
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by J. Hopkins
1-2
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by R. Donkor
0-2
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by R. Donkor
0-1

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D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +300, NY Red Bulls -110, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.2%
  • NY Red Bulls: 60.3%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-1 NY Red Bulls (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.3%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.