San Diego FC vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. Houston MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Diego FC
0
1
Apr 22, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Apr 22, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
I. Aliyu (35')
Soccer ball icon
O. Lingr (90')
Red Card icon
A. Pellegrino (79')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Sviatchenko replaces Felipe Andrade
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces O. Verhoeven
90'
Yellow Card
F. Negri (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
I. Pilcher (San Diego FC) cautioned
90'
Red Card
O. Lingr (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
79'
Red Card
A. Pellegrino (San Diego FC) sent off with a straight red card
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Vazquez replaces O. Soe
77'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces A. Mighten
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces M. Bogusz
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces A. Bouzat
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces D. Samassekou
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Ponce replaces Guilherme
66'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Ingvartsen replaces A. Godoy
66'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces L. Morgan
38'
Yellow Card
A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by I. Aliyu, assisted by O. Lingr
0-1
14'
Yellow Card
Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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San Diego FC vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +260, Houston +100, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 29.9%
  • Houston: 46.5%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 Houston (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Diego FC vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.5%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Diego FC vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.