Cincinnati vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. Toronto MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Cincinnati
1
:
1
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
G. Flores (o.g.) (83')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (71')
Red Card icon
K. Mboma (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Mboma, assisted by A. Jabbari
    1-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces E. Echenique
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Mboma replaces B. J. Ramirez Leon
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces P. Bucha
  5. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by G. Flores (o.g.)
    0-1
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces J. Cifuentes
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces D. Etienne
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces Matheus Pereira
  9. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Stefanovic replaces Z. Monlouis
  10. 71'
    Red Card
    K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) sent off for a second yellow card
  11. 70'
    Yellow Card
    R. Fraser (Toronto FC) cautioned
  12. 69'
    Yellow Card
    K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces M. Miazga
  14. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
  15. 58'
    Yellow Card
    B. J. Ramirez Leon (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
  17. 38'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kuscevic (Toronto FC) cautioned

Cincinnati vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +210, Toronto +150, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 31.5%
  • Toronto: 44.7%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-1 Toronto (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.7%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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