LA Galaxy vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Austin MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
2
1
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
M. Uzuni (85')
Soccer ball icon
M. Yoshida (34')
Soccer ball icon
E. Thommy (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Desler (Austin FC) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Thommy (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marcinkowski (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by M. Uzuni
    2-1
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: H. Miller replaces Gabriel Pec
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: D. Pereira replaces J. Rosales
  7. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by E. Thommy, assisted by C. Garces
    2-0
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces C. Ramirez
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme Biro (Austin FC) cautioned
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces M. Reus
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: C. Garces replaces J. Aude
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Joao Klauss replaces L. Sanabria
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Nelson replaces M. Yamane
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Nelson replaces N. Dubersarsky
  15. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: M. Desler replaces J. Gallagher
  16. 52'
    Yellow Card
    B. Sabovic (Austin FC) cautioned
  17. 42'
    Yellow Card
    E. Cerrillo (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  18. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by M. Yoshida, assisted by M. Reus
    1-0
  19. 30'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces I. Sanchez
  20. 24'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cuevas (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned

LA Galaxy vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy +190, Austin +140, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 31.7%
  • Austin: 43.5%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-1 Austin (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.5%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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