Colorado vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Colorado vs. Sporting KC MLS match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Colorado
4
1
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
ColoradoCOL
S. Suleymanov (44')
Soccer ball icon
P. Aaronson (12')
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W. Frederick (45')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (71')
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P. Aaronson (75')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Colorado
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reynolds replaces C. Harris
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces J. Bartlett
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: A. Manyoma replaces P. Aaronson
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Rosenberry replaces J. Travis
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  6. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by P. Aaronson
    4-1
  7. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Rafael Navarro
    3-1
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: N. Cobb replaces R. Holding
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces S. Suleymanov
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: J. Atencio replaces D. Yapi
  11. 60'
    Yellow Card
    M. Navarro (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  12. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Agyabeng replaces W. Meyer
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by W. Frederick
    2-1
  14. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by S. Suleymanov
    1-1
  15. 42'
    Yellow Card
    R. Holding (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    L. Herrington (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  17. 38'
    Yellow Card
    J. Miller (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  18. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by P. Aaronson
    1-0
  19. 5'
    Yellow Card
    M. Garcia (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

Colorado vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Colorado vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Colorado +165, Sporting KC +165, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Colorado: 38.3%
  • Sporting KC: 37.5%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Colorado 1-1 Sporting KC (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Colorado vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

Colorado is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.3%.

The most likely correct score is Colorado 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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