Miami vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Chicago MLS match on September 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Miami
1
:
1
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
R. Lewandowski (10')
Soccer ball icon
Casemiro (48')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Miami
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces A. Saletros
  2. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces F. Caicedo
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Shaw replaces T. Segovia
  4. 71'
    Yellow Card
    G. Berterame (Inter Miami) cautioned
  5. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces J. Dean
  6. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces M. Haile-Selassie
  7. 59'
    Yellow Card
    D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  8. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces R. Lod
  9. 50'
    Yellow Card
    J. Dean (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  10. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by Casemiro, assisted by L. Messi
    1-1
  11. 24'
    Yellow Card
    M. Falcon (Inter Miami) cautioned
  12. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Lewandowski, assisted by A. Gutman
    0-1
  13. 4'
    Yellow Card
    T. Segovia (Inter Miami) cautioned

Miami vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Chicago
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami 37¢, Chicago 41¢, draw 23¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (79¢/22¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 35.2%
  • Chicago: 44.9%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 2-2 Chicago (7.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Miami vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.9%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 2-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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