Philadelphia vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Miami MLS match on May 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
4
6
Nu Stadium
Miami
Nu Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
G. Berterame (13')
Soccer ball icon
L. Suarez (29')
Soccer ball icon
G. Berterame (41')
Soccer ball icon
L. Suarez (44')
Soccer ball icon
L. Suarez (81')
Soccer ball icon
R. de Paul (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (3')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (pen.) (10')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (20')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Lujan (Inter Miami) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by R. de Paul, assisted by M. Silvetti
    4-6
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Allen (Inter Miami) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces I. Fray
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces Y. Bright
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: F. Sundstrom replaces F. Westfield
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: P. Ndinga replaces B. Damiani
  8. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by G. Berterame
    4-5
  9. 75'
    Yellow Card
    D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: M. Silvetti replaces L. Messi
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Rafanello replaces G. Martinez
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ayala replaces T. Segovia
  13. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces S. Reguilon
  14. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  15. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces A. Anello
  16. 49'
    Yellow Card
    S. Reguilon (Inter Miami) cautioned
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski (pen.)
    4-4
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Segovia (Inter Miami) cautioned
  19. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez
    3-4
  20. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by G. Berterame, assisted by L. Messi
    3-3
  21. 38'
    Yellow Card
    I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
  22. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by I. Fray
    3-2
  23. 24'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  24. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani
    3-1
  25. 16'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martinez (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  26. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by G. Berterame, assisted by L. Messi
    2-1
  27. 10'
    Yellow Card
    D. St.Clair (Inter Miami) cautioned
  28. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski (pen.)
    2-0
  29. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by F. Westfield
    1-0

Philadelphia vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Miami
  • Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Nu Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +650, Miami -250, draw +475
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 13.6%
  • Miami: 70.5%
  • Draw: 15.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-2 Miami (8.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 70.5%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-2 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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