Toronto vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Chicago MLS match on May 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
1
2
May 23, 8:30 PM ET Soldier Field
Chicago
May 23, 8:30 PM ET Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
R. Lod (22')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gutman (65')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sargent (34')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Corbeanu (Toronto FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Brady (Chicago Fire) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Mueller replaces P. Zinckernagel
87'
Yellow Card
A. Saletros (Chicago Fire) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Edwards replaces J. Gilman
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Vilsaint replaces M. Henry
79'
Yellow Card
W. Zimmerman (Toronto FC) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces M. Haile-Selassie
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces D. Etienne
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by A. Gutman, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
1-2
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Waterman replaces M. Mbokazi
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces M. Pineda
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces J. Sargent
60'
Yellow Card
A. Gutman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces N. Gomis
40'
Yellow Card
H. Cuypers (Chicago Fire) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Sargent, assisted by A. Coello
1-1
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by R. Lod, assisted by M. Haile-Selassie
0-1
14'
Yellow Card
M. Henry (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Toronto vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +650, Chicago -233, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 16.1%
  • Chicago: 64.9%
  • Draw: 19.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 Chicago (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.9%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Toronto vs. Chicago, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.