Dallas vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Dallas vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Dallas
2
0
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
DallasFCD
P. Musa (54')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sarver (88')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Dallas
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Swann replaces Kaick
  2. 89'
    Yellow Card
    S. Sarver (FC Dallas) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Sarver, assisted by L. Farrington
    2-0
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Hall
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces S. Moreno
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces J. Valiente
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces R. Donkor
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces R. Binyamin
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Cappis replaces P. Musa
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces J. Mina
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces E. Forsberg
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces C. Cowell
  13. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by R. Binyamin
    1-0
  14. 31'
    Yellow Card
    M. Collodi (FC Dallas) cautioned

Dallas vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +155, NY Red Bulls +160, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Dallas: 34.0%
  • NY Red Bulls: 43.4%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Dallas 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Dallas vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.4%.

The most likely correct score is Dallas 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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