Orlando vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. Miami MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Orlando
4
3
May 2, 7:15 PM ET Nu Stadium
Miami
May 2, 7:15 PM ET Nu Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
I. Fray (4')
Soccer ball icon
T. Segovia (25')
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L. Messi (34')
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M. Ojeda (39')
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M. Ojeda (68')
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M. Ojeda (pen.) (78')
Soccer ball icon
T. Spicer (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by T. Spicer, assisted by B. Ojeda
4-3
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces M. Ojeda
90'
Yellow Card
M. Crepeau (Orlando City) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. Brekalo replaces A. Gomez
78'
Yellow Card
L. Messi (Inter Miami) cautioned
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
3-3
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces L. Suarez
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by A. Gomez
2-3
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces I. Fray
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces J. Ellis
59'
Yellow Card
R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
55'
Yellow Card
G. Hoyos (Inter Miami) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces Luis Otavio
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
45'
Yellow Card
D. St.Clair (Inter Miami) cautioned
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by J. Ellis
1-3
36'
Yellow Card
A. Gomez (Orlando City) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by L. Suarez
0-3
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia, assisted by L. Messi
0-2
18'
Yellow Card
R. Jansson (Orlando City) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Inter Miami by I. Fray, assisted by T. Segovia
0-1

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Orlando vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Nu Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +850, Miami -320, draw +550
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-400/+300)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 11.4%
  • Miami: 74.9%
  • Draw: 13.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-3 Miami (8.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Orlando vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 74.9%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-3 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Orlando vs. Miami, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.