Cincinnati vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. Chicago MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Cincinnati
3
2
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
H. Cuypers (16')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (28')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (24')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (31')
Soccer ball icon
K. Smith (56')
Red Card icon
Evander (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cincinnati
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Lajhar (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Penalty missed by H. Cuypers for Chicago Fire
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. D'Avilla (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander (pen.)
    3-2
  5. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces J. Dean
  6. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Chirila (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  7. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Lajhar replaces B. J. Ramirez Leon
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces K. Mboma
  9. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
  10. 68'
    Yellow Card
    K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Miazga replaces G. Valenzuela
  12. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Bamba replaces R. Lod
  13. 56'
    Red Card
    K. Smith (FC Cincinnati) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces T. Anunga
  15. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by K. Mboma
    2-2
  16. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by P. Zinckernagel
    1-2
  17. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander
    1-1
  18. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
    0-1

Cincinnati vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +320, Chicago -140, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 21.4%
  • Chicago: 58.9%
  • Draw: 19.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 Chicago (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Cincinnati vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.9%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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