Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Mets MLB game on June 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 7-1, 2.11 ERA
2
1
Citi Field
Mets
Zach Thornton 0-1, 8.31 ERA
Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 9 1
Mets
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jared Young called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4121000.5001.250
2 K. Schwarber DH3010010.3330.833
3 B. Harper 1B4031000.7501.500
4 A. Bohm 3B4000001.0000.000
5 B. Marsh LF4000002.0000.000
6 D. Hill RF4110003.2500.500
7 J. Realmuto C4010000.2500.750
8 B. Stott 2B3010011.3330.833
9 J. Crawford CF2000001.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF4010000.2500.500
2 J. Soto LF4000001.0000.000
3 B. Bichette DH4110001.2500.750
4 F. Lindor SS4010000.2500.500
5 J. Young 1B4011001.2500.500
6 A. Ewing CF2010010.5001.167
7 R. Mauricio 2B3000001.0000.000
8 B. Baty 3B3000001.0000.000
9 F. Alvarez C1000001.0000.000

Phillies vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Mets
  • Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 59¢, Mets 39¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 53%
  • Mets: 47%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 53%, while the Mets have a win probability of 47%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citi Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.