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Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/22/2026]
MLB
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Nationals MLB game on June 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Jun 22, 10:45 PM Nationals Park
Jun 22, 10:45 PM Nationals Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | ||
Nationals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | X | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
24%
76%
Win Probability
D. Hill
LHP F. Griffin
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Marsh homers to right field.
90 Pitches
| W-L | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-2 | 84.0 | 70 | 35 | 31 | 23 | 415 | 3.321 |
| Today | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | E. Sosa | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | B. Marsh | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.666 |
| 7 | D. Hill | CF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.500 |
| 8 | B. Stott | 2B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | R. Marchán | C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wood | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 1.000 |
| 2 | C. Mead | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | D. Crews | LF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.667 |
| 4 | C. Abrams | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | J. Young | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 6 | D. Lile | DH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | K. Ruiz | C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.167 |
| 8 | L. García | 1B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 1.666 |
| 9 | N. Nuñez | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
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Phillies vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Nationals
- Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nationals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies +115, Nationals -111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 49%
- Nationals: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 49%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
