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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Mets MLB game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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May 16, 11:15PM Citi Field
May 16, 11:15PM Citi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Mets | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | X | 6 | 8 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jazz Chisholm grounds out to second base to Mark Vientos.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Rice | DH | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | A. Judge | RF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.350 |
| 3 | C. Bellinger | LF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | P. Goldschmidt | 1B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 5 | J. Chisholm | 2B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 6 | A. Rosario | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 7 | T. Grisham | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 8 | A. Volpe | SS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | A. Wells | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Benge | RF | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.750 |
| 2 | B. Bichette | SS | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 3 | J. Soto | LF | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 4 | M. Vientos | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 5 | M. Semien | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | A. Ewing | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | M. Melendez | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 8 | B. Baty | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 9 | L. Torrens | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Yankees vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Yankees vs. Mets
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET
- Venue: Citi Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Yankees -111, Mets +111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Yankees: 51%
- Mets: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 51%, while the Mets have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citi Field on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Yankees vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
