Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Astros MLB game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mariners
Bryan Woo 2-2, 4.02 ERA
10
2
Daikin Park
Astros
Tatsuya Imai 1-0, 7.27 ERA
Daikin Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
0 2 0 4 1 0 1 0 2 10 11 0
Astros
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    100%
  • Astros
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brice Matthews flies out to right center field to Julio Rodríguez.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Donovan 3B4010010.2500.650
2 J. Rodríguez CF5000002.0000.000
3 J. Naylor 1B5010000.2000.400
4 C. Raleigh C4320011.5001.100
5 R. Arozarena LF44431001.0003.250
6 L. Raley RF3110010.3330.933
7 J. Crawford SS3112020.3330.933
8 D. Canzone DH4115101.2501.200
9 C. Young 2B4000010.0000.200
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Altuve 2B3110010.3330.833
2 Y. Alvarez DH3000012.0000.250
3 I. Paredes 3B4000002.0000.000
4 S. Whitcomb PH1000000.0000.000
5 C. Smith RF4000003.0000.000
6 Z. Dezenzo LF3110012.3331.167
7 B. Shewmake SS4021001.5001.000
8 B. Matthews CF4000000.0000.000
9 C. Vázquez C3000001.0000.000

Mariners vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mariners vs. Astros
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mariners -180, Astros 35¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mariners: 59%
  • Astros: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 59%, while the Astros have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.