Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Astros MLB game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mariners
George Kirby 4-2, 2.94 ERA
3
1
Daikin Park
Astros
Peter Lambert 2-2, 2.42 ERA
Daikin Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 0
Astros
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    100%
  • Astros
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Donovan 3B4000000.0000.000
2 J. Rodríguez CF4121101.5001.750
3 J. Naylor 1B4000001.0000.000
4 C. Raleigh C4000001.0000.000
5 R. Arozarena LF4120001.5001.000
6 C. Joe RF0000000.0000.000
7 J. Crawford SS4000000.0000.000
8 D. Canzone DH3011002.3330.666
9 C. Young 2B3011000.3330.666
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Altuve 2B5130001.6001.200
2 Y. Alvarez DH5010003.2000.400
3 I. Paredes 3B4031000.7501.500
4 C. Walker 1B3000012.0000.250
5 Z. Cole LF4000003.0000.000
6 C. Smith RF2000021.0000.500
7 B. Matthews CF4000003.0000.000
8 B. Shewmake SS4010000.2500.500
9 Z. Dezenzo PH1000000.0000.000

Mariners vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mariners vs. Astros
  • Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mariners 58¢, Astros 41¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mariners: 56%
  • Astros: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 56%, while the Astros have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.