Pirates vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [7/21/2026]
MLB
Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Astros MLB game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
3
1
May 11, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
May 11, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mariners | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Mariners
- Astros
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Donovan | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | J. Rodríguez | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 3 | J. Naylor | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | C. Raleigh | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | R. Arozarena | LF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 6 | C. Joe | RF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Crawford | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | D. Canzone | DH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 9 | C. Young | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Altuve | 2B | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.200 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.500 |
| 4 | C. Walker | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 5 | Z. Cole | LF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | C. Smith | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 7 | B. Matthews | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Shewmake | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | Z. Dezenzo | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Mariners vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mariners vs. Astros
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM ET
- Venue: Daikin Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mariners -138, Astros +141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mariners: 56%
- Astros: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 56%, while the Astros have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mariners vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
