Pirates vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [7/21/2026]
MLB
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Orioles MLB game on May 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
FINAL
MLB
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May 11, 6:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
May 11, 6:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | X | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Yankees
- Orioles
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Paul Goldschmidt singles to right field.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Grisham | CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | B. Rice | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.750 |
| 3 | A. Judge | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.750 |
| 4 | C. Bellinger | LF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 5 | J. Chisholm | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | R. McMahon | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Caballero | PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | M. Schuemann | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 1.000 |
| 9 | A. Wells | C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Ward | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | G. Henderson | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | A. Rutschman | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | P. Alonso | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | T. O'Neill | RF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.333 |
| 6 | C. Mayo | DH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 2.667 |
| 7 | L. Taveras | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | W. Wilson | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 9 | B. Alexander | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Yankees vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Yankees vs. Orioles
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Yankees -135, Orioles +136
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Yankees: 57%
- Orioles: 43%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 57%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 43%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Yankees vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
