Astros vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Reds MLB game on May 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Mike Burrows 1-4, 5.97 ERA
10
0
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Nick Lodolo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 5 10 13 0
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Spencer Steer strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Shewmake 2B10100001.0002.000
2 S. Whitcomb DH10110001.0002.000
3 I. Paredes 3B4011010.2500.900
4 C. Walker 1B5000000.0000.000
5 C. Smith RF3110010.3330.833
6 B. Matthews CF4220001.5001.500
7 Z. Cole LF11131001.0005.000
8 C. Vázquez C4111101.2501.250
9 N. Allen SS4110000.2500.500
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Friedl CF4000001.0000.000
2 J. Bleday LF3000010.0000.250
3 E. De La Cruz SS4020001.5001.250
4 S. Stewart 3B4010000.2500.500
5 N. Lowe DH4010002.2500.500
6 S. Steer 1B4000002.0000.000
7 T. Stephenson C3000001.0000.000
8 M. McLain 2B3010000.3330.666
9 W. Benson RF1000001.0000.000

Astros vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Astros vs. Reds
  • Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Reds favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Astros 45¢, Reds 55¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Astros: 48%
  • Reds: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 48%, while the Reds have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Reds are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.