Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on May 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Rhett Lowder 3-2, 5.09 ERA
3
8
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Shota Imanaga 3-2, 2.40 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 3 9 0
Cubs
0 1 0 7 0 0 0 0 X 8 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathaniel Lowe called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 W. Benson RF0000010.0001.000
2 M. McLain SS4010011.2500.650
3 E. De La Cruz DH5010001.2000.600
4 S. Stewart 2B4211111.2501.400
5 S. Steer 1B3010020.3330.933
6 T. Stephenson C4000012.0000.200
7 J. Bleday LF4011010.2500.900
8 B. Dunn CF4121112.5001.850
9 N. Lowe PH1000001.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B4111010.2500.900
2 M. Ballesteros DH4001000.0000.000
3 A. Bregman 3B3100010.0000.250
4 I. Happ LF3100012.0000.250
5 M. Busch 1B4010000.2500.500
6 M. Conforto RF32321101.0003.333
7 D. Swanson SS3101010.0000.250
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3111010.3330.833
9 M. Amaya C2112011.5001.250

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Cubs
  • Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 36¢, Cubs 64¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 37%
  • Cubs: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 37%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.