Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Cubs MLB game on May 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Brady Singer 2-2, 5.57 ERA
6
7
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Colin Rea 4-1, 4.41 ERA
Wrigley Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 6 10 0
Cubs
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 7 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Michael Busch walks. Seiya Suzuki to second. Alex Bregman to third. Nico Hoerner scores.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF1000001.0000.000
2 J. Bleday LF5021002.4000.800
3 E. De La Cruz SS4003002.0000.000
4 K. Hayes 3B0000000.0000.000
5 B. Dunn DH0000000.0000.000
6 S. Steer 1B5111101.2001.000
7 W. Benson RF4120010.5001.100
8 T. Stephenson C11100001.0002.000
9 M. McLain 2B3221100.6672.334
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B5100000.0000.000
2 M. Amaya PH0000000.0000.000
3 A. Bregman 3B4110002.2500.650
4 I. Happ LF5232101.6001.800
5 S. Suzuki RF4111001.2500.900
6 M. Busch 1B3011022.3330.933
7 C. Kelly C4110001.2500.500
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF3122100.6672.417
9 D. Swanson SS4010001.2500.500

Reds vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Cubs
  • Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds 39¢, Cubs 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 41%
  • Cubs: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 41%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.