Pirates vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. D-Backs MLB game on May 6, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Paul Skenes 4-2, 2.91 ERA
1
0
Chase Field
D-Backs
Michael Soroka 4-1, 4.70 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Corbin Carroll grounds out to shallow infield to Ryan O'Hearn.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4121100.5001.750
3 B. Reynolds LF4020001.5001.000
4 R. O'Hearn 1B3000010.0000.250
5 J. Triolo 3B0000000.0000.000
6 M. Ozuna DH4010000.2500.500
7 B. Cook RF0000000.0000.000
8 K. Griffin SS4010002.2500.500
9 H. Davis C3000011.0000.250
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Perdomo SS3000011.0000.250
2 K. Marte 2B4000000.0000.000
3 C. Carroll RF4000000.0000.000
4 A. Del Castillo DH3000001.0000.000
5 I. Vargas 1B3000000.0000.000
6 L. Gurriel LF3010001.3330.666
7 N. Arenado 3B3010001.3330.666
8 G. Moreno C3000002.0000.000
9 J. Fernandez PH1000001.0000.000

Pirates vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. D-Backs
  • Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates 53¢, D-Backs 46¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 51%
  • D-Backs: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 51%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Chase Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.