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Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Marlins MLB game on May 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
9
7
May 5, 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park
May 5, 6:40 PM ET loanDepot park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orioles | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 1 |
Marlins | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Henderson | SS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | T. Ward | LF | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 3 | T. O'Neill | DH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | P. Alonso | 1B | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 2.133 |
| 5 | A. Rutschman | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 6 | L. Taveras | CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 7 | C. Cowser | RF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. Jackson | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | B. Alexander | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X. Edwards | 2B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 2 | L. Hicks | C | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .800 | 2.200 |
| 3 | O. Lopez | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 1.000 |
| 4 | K. Stowers | LF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 5 | J. Marsee | CF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 6 | C. Norby | DH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 7 | J. Sanoja | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | O. Caissie | RF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | G. Pauley | 1B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
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Orioles vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Orioles vs. Marlins
- Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET
- Venue: loanDepot park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Orioles +130, Marlins -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Orioles: 44%
- Marlins: 56%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 44%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Orioles vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
