D-Backs vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Cubs MLB game on May 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
D-Backs
Zac Gallen 1-1, 3.14 ERA
5
6
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Colin Rea 3-1, 4.61 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 11 0
Cubs
3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 X 6 8 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Perdomo SS5123101.4001.400
2 I. Vargas 2B40410101.0002.000
3 C. Carroll RF5000003.0000.000
4 K. Marte PH1000000.0000.000
5 G. Moreno C5000003.0000.000
6 J. Fernandez 1B4110000.2500.500
7 N. Arenado 3B4010002.2500.500
8 T. Tawa LF1100010.0000.500
9 J. Barrosa CF4221000.5001.500
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Shaw 2B3000001.0000.000
2 M. Ballesteros DH3000011.0000.250
3 A. Bregman 3B4111000.2500.750
4 I. Happ LF2100021.0000.500
5 S. Suzuki RF3000011.0000.250
6 M. Busch 1B4022001.5001.250
7 C. Kelly C4121000.5001.000
8 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4110000.2500.500
9 D. Swanson SS4111000.2500.500

D-Backs vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Cubs
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 43¢, Cubs 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 48%
  • Cubs: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 48%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.