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Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Orioles MLB game on April 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
3
5
Apr 28, 10:35 PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Apr 28, 10:35 PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Orioles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | X | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jose Altuve grounds out to shallow infield, Blaze Alexander to Pete Alonso.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Correa | SS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | Y. Alvarez | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 3 | I. Paredes | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | J. Altuve | 2B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | C. Walker | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 6 | Y. Diaz | C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 7 | D. Harris | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 1.000 |
| 8 | C. Smith | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | B. Matthews | CF | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 2.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Henderson | SS | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 1.167 |
| 2 | T. Ward | LF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 3 | A. Rutschman | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 4 | P. Alonso | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 5 | S. Basallo | DH | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 6 | L. Taveras | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | T. O'Neill | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Alexander | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | J. Jackson | 2B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 | 0.666 |
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Astros vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. Orioles
- Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
- Time: 6:35 PM ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +125, Orioles -123
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 47%
- Orioles: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 47%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
