Twins vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Twins vs. Mets MLB game on April 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Twins
Joe Ryan 2-2, 3.29 ERA
8
10
Apr 23, 7:10 PM ET Citi Field
Mets
Christian Scott 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Apr 23, 7:10 PM ET Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Twins
1 0 0 1 0 1 0 4 1 8 12 0
Mets
3 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 X 10 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Twins
    0%
  • Mets
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trevor Larnach strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Twins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Buxton CF5010002.2000.733
2 T. Larnach LF5210013.2000.533
3 J. Bell DH4111010.2500.650
4 R. Jeffers C3114121.3331.933
5 K. Clemens 1B4000011.0000.200
6 A. Martin RF4031010.7501.550
7 L. Keaschall 2B5000001.0000.000
8 B. Lee SS4330010.7501.550
9 T. Gray 3B5122101.4001.400
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bichette 3B5233002.6001.400
2 J. Soto DH3000020.0000.400
3 F. Alvarez C3001002.0000.000
4 L. Robert CF4111000.2500.750
5 B. Baty 1B4223101.5001.750
6 T. Taylor RF0000000.0000.000
7 M. Semien 2B4220001.5001.250
8 R. Mauricio SS4000002.0000.000
9 T. Pham LF0100010.0001.000

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Twins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Twins vs. Mets
  • Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Twins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Twins +106, Mets -105

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Twins: 59%
  • Mets: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Twins a win probability of 59%, while the Mets have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Twins are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Twins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.